Have you ever given much thought to the type of people there will be after an emergency or disaster occurs? I have, and better yet over the last 30 years through my work as a first responder I have seen them first hand. I’ve also worked with them. Better yet, have you ever thought much about what label to put on people after a “grid-down” event? Yup, right again, I have. And that is the point of this post – what kind of people will there be after “grid-down.”
Based on what I’ve seen firsthand I put a lot of thought into this unique phenomena and how it might affect survival. I mean, come on, the biggest threat you will face after a “grid-down” will be people. I believe it will breakdown into a short list of categories; sheep, shepherds, predators (wolves), sheep dogs, owners/masters and herding dogs. The trick is trying to figure out which category people fit into and who is the most dangerous. Based on that I did a little reflect on my experience with emergencies and disasters and how people acted during them. Then I compared it back to what I knew of them before the emergency or disaster. That way I think we can make some general assumptions of what people are like now and project what kind of people they may become after grid-down.
Let me describe what I think are the personality attributes to people after grid-down:
Sheep – These are the folks are easily identified and are basically lost, unprepared, and having no clue what to do. They will be seeking assistance and direction. They will start out benignly and humbly requesting help of any kind and will wait for someone to take care of them and their family. They will not be able to take care of themselves and will panic easily. They will also be easily manipulated and controlled. They will have a breaking point. But by then most will be utterly useless and of little threat or danger. A small percentage of this group will become dangerous and must be considered as such in direct proportion to their capability to be so. Example: access to weapons. Their greatest weakness will be Normalcy Bias. Many will be useful, they will be good people who just didn’t have it together in terms of preparedness. These sheep can become productive resources in the right group setting.
Predators (wolves) – These folks are also easy to spot. They will typically be armed and demanding. They will prey on anyone that they can dominate or overwhelm by surprise, numbers or superior power. They will have no scruples, morals, or ethical base. They will simply feel entitled to what other have that they themselves lack, or simply want. They will have no reservation to hurt, maim, or kill. At first they will act fairly independently but will quickly form packs with a clear hierarchy that is strictly and violently enforced. Some wolves will have true predatory skills while others will be purely “posers” and “wannabes” trying to act the part. The later will be quickly crushed by the true predators. All predators will be dangerous regardless of their current weapon status. If lacking weapons they will use cunning, deception and subterfuge to gain any weaponry they may need or want. For the most part their greatest weakness will be their Competency Bias. That will not be true for the upper level predators that will have skills, experience and intelligence.
Sheep Dogs – These are folks who will be prepared for emergencies and disasters. Although their level of preparedness will probably vary widely from minimal preparations to multiple-years worth of supplies and appropriate gear. Some may only have their skills vs. supplies & gear but will quickly assume the role of sheep dog because of inherent desire and skills. These folks will be honest of heart and have a true desire to help and protect the sheep. The “help” may manifest itself in feeding, medical assistance or protection. While sheep dogs may be reluctant to share their supply of food, they will always step up when sheep need to be protected. Sheep dogs have been known to attack large packs of predators even when highly out numbered and have given their lives to
protect the lives of their flock. Sheep dogs will be neighbors and community members that have a strong sense of family and duty. They will most likely be Christians and feel a God-given calling to help take care of people. Sheep dogs will be highly drawn to shepherds and allow themselves to be led by those shepherds that they trust. Sheep dogs will be naturally opposed to owner/masters and will rebel against them. Sheep dogs will generally be tolerant of herding dogs to a point. Sheep dogs will tend to feel that they can change a herding dog into a sheep dog with enough work and being a good example. However, should a herding dog show too much aggression a sheep dog will not hesitate to attack a herding dog to defend the flock or the shepherd.
Herding Dogs – While superficially herding dogs might be appear to be sheep dogs, there is a significant difference. Sheep dogs live, eat, and sleep with the sheep; they are part of the flock. Herding dogs work for the sheep owner and respond to their master’s commands. Those commands are given for the specific intention, to strictly to control the flock of sheep. The herding dogs circle the sheep and move them by acting much as a predator would; which in-turn makes the sheep respond to the non-verbal body language of the herding dog. A herding dog is actually a predator who is so highly trained that they won’t kill sheep (normally) but will not hesitate to “nip” (i.e. light bite) the back legs of the sheep. Herding dogs are also know for a game called “sheep tag.” Herding dogs will run amongst the sheep biting them and then run
off. To them, sheep are little more than “chew toys.” Herding dogs are not known for protecting a flock, they are there to control the flocks movement and behavior. And they don’t respond to the needs of the flock and rarely repel approaching predators on their own. They only respond to commands given to them by their master/owner. Herding dogs will view sheep dogs with contempt and disgust. Herding dogs will see sheep dogs as beneath them, lacking skills & intelligence and not living up to their potential. Herding dogs and sheep dogs will be natural opposites and will have open conflict with one another. Herding dogs may change allegiance from a flock to a pack of predators. Should an owner/master not provide enough incentive (or strong enough leadership), a herding dog could be easily persuaded to join a predator pack who promises greater rewards. Should the right set of circumstances present itself, a herding dog could betray an entire flock to a predator pack. A herding dog sees sheep as just another animal, beneath them in status and not truly worthy of anything other than to be controlled. They have virtually no allegiance to the sheep other than as a means to gain rewards from the owner/master.
Shepherds – These folks will be few and far between. They are of high moral and ethical character. They will be leaders of sheep. They will also be the leaders of sheep dogs. They will have the ability to change some herding dogs into sheep dogs, but rarely due to the natural instincts of herding dogs. Although they will understand predators and not hate them, they will protect the flock from predators to the point of freely giving their lives. Shepherds will naturally draw sheep dogs to them. Sheep dogs will see the leadership and “goodness” in a shepherd and want to serve him while following their instinct of protecting the flock. The sheep dog will see that a shepherd frees them up to concentrate on what they do best – protection. Shepherds will “serve” their flock. The will make decisions that in the best interest of the flock and not for the gain of the shepherd himself. Shepherds will be those folks who will gain close-knit followings of sheep and sheep dogs who are committed to not just surviving by thriving. Some herding dogs will be drawn to shepherds but will rebel against the nature of the shepherd’s leadership, preferring to control the sheep vs. lead the sheep. For those of us that are believers, we have a great example in The Good Shepherd
Owner/masters – These folks will be those that have a sense of entitlement to leadership. They will feel it is their right, even their duty, to lead sheep. They will voice that they are doing their best to protect the sheep from harm and danger but their true intentions will simply be to control and manipulate. They will make decisions primarily serving their own gain. And any benefit to the flock will be secondary, even accidental. However, the owner/master will take great efforts to make the appearance of what they do is completely for the benefit of the flock. When pushed they will be ruthless with all members of the flock. They will have no trouble sacrificing flock members for their own gain or protection. They will use flowery speeches and quote learned men; they may even use scripture verses to justify what they do. But all that they do will be primarily for their own benefit. Owner/masters will readily identify herding dogs and elevate their flock status. They will reward herding dogs with special privileges such as food, liberties and sexual partners. They will provide them with higher quality food, tools, weapons, and living accommodations. Additionally, the owner/master will provide a sense of “purpose” to the herding dogs. They will touch the herding dogs’ sense of duty and work ethic. They will manipulate the herding dog to think they are as noble as a sheep dog. An owner/master will naturally not like sheep dogs; they will see them as competition for leadership. They will see in sheep dogs everything that they are not. They will try and change sheep dogs into herding dogs. If that is not possible they will try and ostracize them. Should that fail, the owner/master will use whatever means necessary to remove the seep dog from the flock. And that will include an owner/master killing the sheep dog should the sheep dog be seen as a big enough threat by the owner/master.
So there are the basics of how I see people will fall into the basic post-disaster caste system. I have seen it on smaller-scale disasters (i.e. hurricanes, floods, wildfires, etc.) over the last 30 years or so and I have no reason to believe anything different would happen after a major “grid-down” experience. Actually, I think the likeliness of this caste system occurring increases in direction proportion to the scale of the disaster.
So what do you do with this information? Where is the value? What does it all mean?
It makes the difference between life and death in all probability. Yeah, that dramatic.
I wrote a series on Situational Awareness (SA) and this information on post-disaster types of people is directly related to good SA. If you don’t know what kind of people to expect then you are likely to get sucked into a bad situation or worse. In the next post I will cover how to identify the different post-disaster personalities : POST-DISASTER PERSONALITIES : Part 2 – How to Identify Them In Today’s world
Series Articles –
- POST-DISASTER PERSONALITIES : Part 1 – Who are they?
- POST-DISASTER PERSONALITIES : Part 2 – How to Identify Them In Today’s World
- POST-DISASTER PERSONALITIES : Part 3 – The Hybrids
- POST-DISASTER PERSONALITIES : Part 4 – Warning & Summary
2015 Copyright © AHTrimble.com ~ All rights reserved No reproduction or other use of this content without expressed written permission from AHTrimble.com See Content Use Policy for more information.