7 Days of September – Part #2: Threat of Violence

7 Days of September - threat of violenceIs the threat of violence really the #1 threat a person faces in emergencies, disasters, or grid-down? Not a simple answer…but, one thing for sure…it has the highest fatality factor, with the highest severity aspect, and an relatively unknown probability factor.  So, yes, violence is the #1 threat/risk against you and your family overall because if you fail at mitigating the threat of violence…the outcome can be terminal and incurable.

What can you reasonably do to mitigate the threat or risk of Violence during grid-down, emergencies, and disasters is number one #1 threat and riskviolence against you and your family? Well, remember that there are two ways to mitigate risk; 1) reduce or eliminate the probability that it will occur, 2) if it does occur, you reduce the severity of the impact. That being said there are steps you can take to work on both mitigation tasks in relation to the threat/risk of violence.

To protect yourself and your family you want to keep the bad guys as far away from you as possible. Preferably they will never even know you are there. However, we will exclude the “invisibility” (a.k.a. grey man) concept from this discussion and concentrate on how to actually protect your family.

#1 Intangible –

Situational Awareness! In my series of articles concerning Situational Awareness (SA). I go into great detail on what it is, how to improve it, and how to avoid SA problems. < click here to read Situational Awareness articles > SA in the strictest of terms by the purists is a “state of knowledge.” In other words we need to have realistic knowledge of the things taking place around us in our environment. Further, SA is being able to correctly assess that knowledge. To bring SA into reality we need to define Situational Awareness as the acquisition of, the processing of, a state of, and taking action on knowledge. That knowledge comes from the environment around you.

Here is the short version of SA:

First, you must understand the environment that you will be operating it; establish a baseline or what is normal and therefor expected in that environment. Hence, anything that occurs that is outside of that baseline is not normal and to be noted. You do acquire that knowledge by observing what is happening around you – Situational Awareness.

Second, you then must identify the key cues that will indicate that something is sufficiently abnormal (i.e. different) that it would represent an increased threat or risk.  And you must monitor those environment elements identified for any change or deviation from the baseline, recognize when they occur and their relative importance – Situational Understanding.

Third, you project the outcome of the events that are taking place that are deemed a threat or risk to determine the effect it will have on your situation.  You then decide on an option to mitigate that threat or risk – Situational Judgement.

Fourth, take timely and decisive corrective action if required. Yes, I believe that SA without “action” is a waste of time and energy. But that also makes me outside of the mainstream advocating that SA includes an element of action – Situational Influence.

That is the intangible version of mitigating the threat of violence…you identify that it is there and avoid it.

Put into practice…Man in store with rifle1 – You are in a store and there is a man with an AR-style rifle slung over his shoulder. Is that normal? No. your SA should come alive.

2 – Magazine inserted in rifle. That indicates he is loaded and ready for action. Is that normal? No. You SA should be screaming at you.

3 – He appears to have an Obama “Hope” t-shirt on. Is that normal? An Obama t-shirt would be more closely associated with anti-gun, anti-Constitution radicals vs. pro-gun folks. Again, SA should be heightened even more.

4 – Body posture is relaxed and appears to be buying cookies. Both of those indicates the opposite of a person about to go off his nut. Both good indicators that the threat is lessened.

5 – Muzzle slung down. That is a universal indicator of non-aggression, a non-offensive indicator. Another indicator that the threat isn’t as high as it could be.

Summary – What do you do next with you and your family in this situation?

Personal & Family Defense –

Let’s move on to the stage where you simply weren’t able to avoid all threat of violence…now what?

To keep the threat/risk of violence as far from you as possible the best way to do so is with a high-quality, long-range rifle, top quality optics, along with a great set of shooting skills. You become the “American Sniper.” But, what happens if the bad guys get right in your face? Then you better have a way to deal with that imminent threat as well. Since an “in-your-face” scenario might actually be so close you can’t bring a weapon into action, you should have the ability to defend yourself with nothing more than your bare hands to some reasonable degree. This would be the inner-most ring of your defensive layers protecting you and your family from the threat or risk of violence.

Why be able to defend yourself, your family, your home? I call this the Castle Principle. Simply put, you are responsible for the safety of your home (i.e. your “Castle”) and all those that dwell therein. If you are not going to defend the people taking refuge in your home, who will? Seriously, if you are not prepared to defend your family and friends that have taken refuge in your home, what good are you?

If someone else is going to defend them instead of you, is it really your castle? The whole concept of the Castle Principle is you being responsible for defending your home and the people in it. If not you, who?

OK, back to defending against the bad guy from a distance or in-your-face…

Why not an AR-15 vs. your bare hands against a bad guy that has come close-in and is in your face? Because at close range it would probably be impossible to get an AR up and pointed at a guy. He could be so close that it is Kelly Alwoodphysically impossible to raise the rifle. When I took onPoint Tactical’s “Surviving Deadly Contact” class I was able to neutralize a hardcore operator’s carbine from being brought into action. Yup, me! But, his greater skill-sets allowed him to forget the carbine entirely and deal with me using only his bare hands…and a training knife. Yeah, I didn’t come out so good on that one. My point is, a barehanded person can neutralize that weapon, even an experienced soldier carrying one.

However, if your attacker were just a few inches further away, you may be able to pull a knife. As he did in the example above. If there is maybe a foot or two separation between the two of you, you may have space and time to draw a pistol for defense. Add another foot or two of separation and now maybe there is enough space and time to employ an AR or shotgun.

If the guy is 100 yards away then an AR is going to be far more accurate than a shotgun. You get to 400 – 600 yards then the long-range rifle is a better choice than an AR. Although, with practice an AR-15 can be shot very effectively at ranges of 400- 600 yards.

Layers of protection against the threat of violence.

Layers of protection against the threat of violence.

Now look at all those concentric circles with you and your family in the center. The first circle is your bare hands capabilities. The next circle is a knife as a defensive weapon. The circle after that is a pistol. Then a shotgun, then an AR, and finally a long-range rifle.

With each circle you keep the bad guys further from your castle, and further from those you love and whom you are trying to protect. You have created defense in layers. You have an answer for each separate and consecutive threat. In other words, you have multiple layers of defense to protect your family. Each layer having a specific purpose, its own mission.

Bottom line, your goal is to keep all risks and threats as far away from you and your family as possible.  However, as the threat gets closer you have defensive measures in-place to deal with it. And hopefully you have developed the mindset that you will employ those defenses when needed, without hesitation, and the best you possibly can.

In priority order I propose the following –
  1. A really good fighting or defensive knife (i.e. boot knife). For this you might want to consider –
  2. A really good pistol. For more information on this you may want to read < Choosing the Right Gun : Pistols >
  3. A really good shotgun. For more information on this you may want to read < Choosing the Right Gun : Shotguns >
  4. A really good carbine. For more information on this you may want to read < Choosing the Right Gun : Carbine/Rifle >

If you already own weapons and you want additional thoughts:

  1. Go to the range and practice sometime during the month of September. Don’t just punch holes in paper, shot at 6” paper plates from different positions (sitting, squatting, laying down, from behind a barrier). Then shot at those same size paper plates while moving laterally, while moving forward, while moving backward, in tandem with another shooter. Don’t just stand there and shoot. Not only is it boring, it doesn’t improve your skills. You need to become a “shooter” and that means working on actual shooting skills. Practice with 3 rounds in your first mag, force yourself to switch mags while moving. Do all kinds of things that you think you might have to actually do in a gunfight. Use a 9-hole, that is an amazing training tool. And finally, remember to replace the ammo that you used at the range.
  2. Buy more ammo! If you know how much ammo you have, then you don’t have enough. Buy the decent stuff. You don’t have to buy the best ammo out there, but buy dependable ammo. Remember, in a gunfight you don’t want the cheapest crap ammo running through your gun.
  3. Buy a good tactical holster. I will be doing a series of articles shortly concerning tactical holsters vs. EDC holsters. I like Blackhawk Drop Leg Platform with a SERPA holster.
  4. Buy more magazines. For pistols I think the minimum number of magazines you should own is 3. One for the gun, two for the mag pouch. Having another spare or two is a great idea. I like Mec-Gar magazines. They are high-quality, less expensive that original manufacture, just as good as original manufacture, and they have a slightly higher round capacity. FYI…many gun manufactures have Mec-Gar make their mags for them.
  5. If you have a good fighting or boot knife, make sure you have a good sharpener for it.
  6. Find a shooting class, preferably a tactical class, in your area and take the training. Take your wife with you, take your oldest son with you, you best friend, your neighbor, go as a group, have fun, learn a lot…and when you are done with the class know you are better trained than ever before.
  7. Upgrade your optics. Or, buy another spare battery or two for your optics.
Home Defense –

Much of the above can be said for defending your property, another aspect of my Castle Principle. You start by having strong steel doors with deadbolt locks. But you also have reinforcing bars to prevent your doors from being kicked in. But if the bad guys get inside the house you still have a bedroom door that is solid core and can withstand some considerable amount of force being applied to it. Then you have a bathroom with a strong, solid door as well. You look at this last vestige of safety that you can pull back into, your Alamo.

Here are some of the things you can do:

  1. You have a stone wall or fence around your property.
  2. Between the wall/fence and your house you have one or more dogs.
  3. You have motion activated lights around your house.
  4. You have sensors on your doors and windows to alert you that someone is opening them.
  5. You have motion sensor inside your home that you can turn on at night.
  6. You have a sensor at the end of your driveway to notify you of someone approaching.
  7. You have a sensor on your roll-up garage door to alert you if someone comes in your garage.
  8. Install a security door on your exterior doors.

And the list goes on and on. The point being, you implement those measures that protect your house as if it were a castle stronghold. For more information you can read Strengthening Your Door < click here to read article >

Summary –

So now you have plenty of solid principles, lots of ideas and thoughts on what you can do to protect yourself and your family from the threat of violence. One of the things, one of the best things, you can do is work together with one or more other families. Come up with plans to work together to protect the combined group of folks. A very old saying that truly applies in this situation is “There is safety in numbers.” Don’t discount that concept.

What I want you to do now is based on the promptings you got while reading this article…take action. Take action in the next couple of days. Even if it is a no cost idea…go to the range. Do something, do what the prompting was when you felt it.

Personal note to you –

Personal Note from AH TrimbleThere are lots of changes concurring in the world right now. Recent decisions by the Progressive/Liberal Supreme Court have reinforced anti-gun laws. I would encourage you to think about purchasing a gun, specifically an AR-style carbine/rifle. Remember the gun ban put in place during the first Clinton presidency? That gun ban was aimed specifically at AR’s & AK’s . There may come a time soon where you might need one and can’t buy one. Same could be said for high-capacity magazines and ammunition as well. Please consider it.

Coming up –

In the next article I will go into the Threat of Injury or Sickness. See you in four days!

Associated Articles –

Related Articles –
Guns & Gun Gear:
Knives:
Tactical Gear:

 

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15 thoughts on “7 Days of September – Part #2: Threat of Violence

  1. Pingback: 7 Days of September – Summary | A.H. Trimble - Emergency preparedness information for disasters and grid-down

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  7. Pingback: 7 Days of September – Part #1: Introduction | A.H. Trimble - Emergency preparedness information for disasters and grid-down

  8. Pingback: 7 Days of September – Part #3: Threat of Injury or Sickness | A.H. Trimble - Emergency preparedness information for disasters and grid-down

  9. why do this in Sept? I’m busting my ass in the garden and then putting up the harvrst, to mess with this stuff. I’m sure a lot of others ate ad well, they just did not comment. love you Mr. Trimbel.

    Cavguy

    Liked by 1 person

    • Hey Cavguy…having a bad day are you?
      I love you too, but dude, slow down and the garden is the right place to put your efforts. Any pictures you would like to share? I can imagine the masterpiece of a garden you have. And yes, I love you too 😉

      Like

  10. Howdy

    I coordinate a group who work on buying emergency supplies together hee in the Dallas area and each month I email them 20 articles around self reliance and emergency preparedness that I have found. Can I have your permission to share these 7 days of September articles with them in my October email?

    I appreciate so much you’re sharing your knowledge and skills with us.

    Liked by 1 person

    • First off…thank you for helping your fellow preppers!!!
      Second…yes! Of course you can share the articles. I would only ask that you include the source link with them.
      Lastly, I am humbled by your thank you. This is a gift yo me that I have this opportunity to share what I know and what I learn. You, and all the other preppers that visit this site, are the reason, motivation, and purpose for me.
      Thank you!
      AH

      Like

  11. A question on front door securing. What are your thoughts on installing a front door to swing out instead of in? I would think it would decrease the possibility of someone breaking in the door. Also, thank you for your 7 days of September articles. You are giving us some great information.

    Liked by 1 person

    • I have two doors; 1) solid core, steel door that swings in, 2) security door that swings out. The steel door swinging in gives me the ability to “bar it” whereas if it swung out I would not be able to do that. Also, when it would swing in that provides a blind spot to those making entry. If the door swung out there would be no blind spot for those inside to take advantage of. The security door can be pulled out off its mounting with ease by someone who knows what they are doing. But that would take 10 – 45 seconds…and that is the extra time I can put to good use preparing for those trying to get past the steel door.

      And you are very welcome for the 7 Days of September series. It truly was by inspiration that it came about. I hope that the info continues to meet your expectations. Thank you for your nice compliment and your patronage.

      AH

      Liked by 1 person

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