What I might do – Part #2

note: If you haven’t read the post on September 1, 2019 that explains this post…well, go read that post first and then this port will make more sense.

So the basis of the article is the first steps to take when we have a hard grid-down. Let me explain the scenario background first:

  1. We have the exact same situation in the scenario world as we do today.Hansens-001
  2. We are talking a family of 5. The Hansen family –
    • Dad (Brad) is 45, 4-year Navy veteran, currently construction project manager
    • Mom (Ashley) is 44, was a teacher, stay-at-home mom
    • Son (Sam), 17, a senior in high school, cross-country runner on track team
    • Daughter (Jenifer), 15, a sophomore in high school, smart, glee club
    • Son (Joseph), 10, 5th grade, smart.
  3. Christian, church goers, limited involvement in community, some involvement in block watch
  4. It is a Wednesday.
  5. School is in session, kids are at school.
  6. Dad is at work.
  7. Mom is out shopping for groceries.

Narrative – Tensions with Russia have been getting worse by the day for the last month. Muslim terrorists really stepped up strikes in Europe, especially France. For the last month there have been numerous attacks on malls, Christian churches, and a few government facilities here in the USA. The neo-cons led by Lindsey Graham are calling for all-out war in the Middle East and for economic sanctions against Russia. Price of oil, natural gas, and gasoline has been steadily going up the last two weeks.

The Hansen family has been working on preps for three years; really dedicated preppers for the last year. The FamilyPlanningMeetingHansens are best friends with the Goodman family (mom & dad, 2 teens). The Goodmans live about one mile away and are hardcore preppers. The Hansens are also friends with the Smiths who live in the same neighborhood one block away. The Smiths (mom & dad, 2 teens & toddler) are so-so preppers, the wife never saw the need for prepping.

Summary of prepping level based on the AHTrimble.com priority system:

  • Hansen family – all “short, medium and long term priorities” plus more.
  • Goodman family – all “short and medium term priorities” plus a couple of the “long term priorities”.
  • Smith family – most “short term priorities”, a couple of the “medium term priorities” and most of the “immediate priorities”.
  • All families have Ham radio communication capabilities.
  • All families have guns and ammo. Hansen & Goodman families are well trained. Smith dad is well trained. Smith mom is afraid of guns.

All the families have a meal together about once a month or so and have gone on a couple weekend camp-outs together and enjoy each others company. They have a very loose “plan” for emergencies, disasters, and grid-down. Smith mom thinks it is all a little whacko but enjoys the group’s activities because of the other women.

At 8am local time this morning a suicide bomber blew themselves up at the entrance of the Pentagon. As 10am local time three Muslim gunman attacked the Mall of the Americas in Minneapolis. The situation is still on-going, gunman are in the mall with a large number of people are trapped in the mall. At lunchtime there were attacks in New York City, Washington DC, Philadelphia, Detroit and Paterson, NJ. All were a combination of suicide attacks and gunman. All of the attacks took place at middle and high schools.

The groups Black Lives Matter and The Nation of Islam are calling for attacks on white people, especially white police officers. CAIR (Council on American–Islamic Relations) is saying that the attacks are against Muslims by the US Government. CAIR is calling this a provocation against Muslims and that Muslims need to defend themselves against police. Tensions everywhere in the US are rising quickly. Schools along the east coast have cancelled classes for the day and sending student home.

At 2pm the New York Stock Exchange announces it will close early at 2:15pm. Oil futures price spike Stock Market Crash is a concern, threat, risk for preppers during grid-down.world-wide. The DOW has been dropping all day, down 1500points, now it takes a dive of another 500points based on the closure announcement

At 2:10 local time a powerful car bomb explodes outside of the New York Stock Exchange killing dozens, injuring over 120, and destroying the entire front of the building. Before trading can be halted on the other exchanges, all indices drop 10% within minutes.

Now, what are the steps this little group should take? Here’s what they started with…

Step #1 –
  • Situational Awareness…Validate the information that is most likely to affect them. There can be a lot going on, but what is really going to affect them and “how?”.
  • Establish communications with all family members and group members (in that order). Exchange information, confirm trigger events.
Step #2 –
  • Make an operational decision of what to do.
  • Get buy-in on the decision by all affected people.
  • Communicate that decision to all group members.

UPDATE: In this case the decision is; 1) pull all family members back to their respective homes, 2) once that is done, reassess the situation, 3) Hansen mom will turn on the mobile Ham radio unit that is already set-up. She will monitor it as well as the emergency short-wave radio and TV for updated information.

Step #3 –
  • Assign one or more people to continuously monitor the situation (observe and orient).
  • Implement the operational decision.
    1. All adults arm themselves with their everyday carry (EDC) weapons. That would include knives, pistols, and trunk guns are loaded and readily available. Smith mom won’t because she doesn’t know how to use a gun.
    2. All adults confirm that their BOKs & IFAKs are at hand and readily available.
    3. All adults check that their communications are working, including handheld radios and cell phones.
    4. Goodman and Smith moms will return home. Once there they will secure their homes.
    5. Hansen mom (Ashley) will pick up their youngest son at school that is close to their home. Husband Brad will pick up the two oldest at high school on the other side of town.
    6. Husbands and wives will check-in with each other when the kids have been secured and are en-route to home. If someone can’t reach their spouse they will check in with Ashely Hansen monitoring the Ham mobile.
    7. No Ham call signs will be used to protect identity. Pre-arranged call signs will be used instead. They are using their ComPlan outline.

UPDATE: Children are secured and everyone is at their respective homes.

Step #4 –
  • Situation Awareness – Reassess the situation.
  • Protect the home and family members against violence by getting all tactical gear ready.
  • Check all communications gear.
  • Fill any suitable containers with water.
  • Families agree on some organizational structure for now.
  • Charge all rechargeable power batteries.

UPDATE: Three shopping malls are four more schools attacked. Rioting breaks out in multiple cities. All schools nationwide have been let out and all classes are cancelled for tomorrow. The President tells people to not jump to conclusions and that this is not the work of true Muslims. Washington DC is put under martial law.

Step #5 –
  • Make strategic decisions. Group meeting is called for dinner at the Hansen’s home. Situation is discussed. Contingency plans are decided upon. Smith mom asks for gun training. Communications check-in times are decided upon. Hansens will continue to monitor the base station. Families head home by 10pm.

UPDATE: Overnight there have been riots in most major cities. Attacks continue, police have been targeted, multiple cities have declared a state of emergency, the National Guard has been called out in 5 major cities.

Step #6 –
  • Situation Awareness and maintain communications. One person from each family have been designated to monitor developments. They will talk at 0800, 1200, 1600, & 2000 to collaborate on what is happening.
  • The families do a radio check on their tactical net every 4 hours.

UPDATE: At 4pm the power goes off for unknown reasons. Rioting has broken out in the local town and gunfire can be heard. Police are overwhelmed and ineffective. Multiple fires are present in town and the fire department is not responding due to threat of violence.

Step #7 –
  • Situational awareness. Families talk via cell phone conference call.
  • Make a decision. Families decide that they are safer as a group. But due to concerns of movement at night, they decide that they will consolidate all three families at the Hansen home by 5pm the next day. They transition will begin at 9am. They will first move the Smith family to the Hansens, then the Goodman family. The wives and oldest child will stay at each home for security until all supplies are moved. The husbands and next capable children will make the move in three vehicles convoying with food and supplies at the same time.

UPDATE: The move is complete, all families are now at the Hansen home. More rioting is reported all across the country. Drug, electronic, and liquor stores are being looted. Muslim mosques, Jewish temples, and Christian churches have been targeted and are being looted and burned. All major cities have declared a state of emergency, National Guard units have been mobilized to those cities as well. Most National Guard units are less than 40% manned. Law enforcement is ineffective. Streets are becoming very unsafe.

Step #8 –
  • Set formal security in-place.
  • Designate first aid responder(s).
  • Create a sanitation plan.
  • Agree upon group organization (ICS).
  • Sec formal ComPlan in-place.
  • Ensure everyone is drinking sufficient water.
  • Establish eating schedule.
Step 9 –
  • Reinforce the house.
  • Coordinate with neighbors and immediate community.
  • Agree on tactical defensive response with neighbors.
  • Contact wider area preppers for information updates.
Step #10 –
  • Bug-out:
    • Confirm location
    • Establish trigger points
    • Create travel plan
  • Bug-in:
    • Establish criteria
    • Create long-term plan
    • Establish trigger point to cancel and return home
Summary –

This has been a nice break from the average article that I have been writing lately, a little creative diversion. But, there is some good information in this article. Summarizing some of the first steps to take during a “grid-down”:

  1. Situational Awareness and make a decision. And then communicate that to all family and group members.
  2. Take defensive actions and prepare to defend yourself and family from violence.
  3. Ready all medical kits and ensure that everyone has a BOK & IFAK with them at all times.
  4. Establish and maintain alternative communications capability.
  5. Organize an interim plan of action and organize the folks that you have.
  6. Make sure everyone is getting some water and food in them.
  7. Plan to shelter for the first night; where, where, and how.

I have intentionally left some gaps and holes in what the families are doing. And, I want some input from website visitors…Now, what else could, or should, the family have done?

Use “reply” to give your input, ideas, and thoughts…

Which Way to go for prepping

 

2009 - 2019 Copyright © AHTrimble.com ~ All rights reserved
No reproduction or other use of this content 
without expressed written permission from AHTrimble.com
See Content Use Policy for more information.

4 thoughts on “What I might do – Part #2

  1. Pingback: Days of September….. | A.H. Trimble - Emergency preparedness information for disasters and grid-down

  2. The more I re-read these articles the better they become.
    Readers can think of this series as a simple blueprint from which to construct an over-all plan; or a template to fill in their own version of needs wants and necessities.
    This is a well-thought out series, including some updating from when these articles were originally published.
    Thanks again for all work that you have invested into these articles

    Like

    • Well thank you kind sir! Your appreciation is….ah, appreciated 🙂
      We looked at Idaho a few years ago but decided on AZ instead.
      I love ID, fought fire there a bunch of times. A bit cold though in the winter.
      But you never know… we might need a “Plan B” 🙂

      Like

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s