The Republicans and President Trump got some very bad news last week that is shaping up to be a political catastrophe…maybe worse. How so?
It is plain to see every day that the country is in bad shape…both home and abroad. Just look at your bill the last time you went to the grocery store. Then turn on the news and see “no-kings” and anti-ICE protests going on all over the country for awhile now. Plain and simple…it ain’t looking good. To say the nation is divided would be an immense understatement…divided in just about any way you want to look at it.
I’m not making this about Trump, good or bad…or Republicans, good or bad. It’s not about left vs right, conservative vs liberal. It’s not even about political ideology. None of that. What this is about is what 2026 is shaping up to be for the country…and why.
Last week in my “2026 – Outlook” article I spoke a little bit to what we could be looking at…and it’s gotten worse since 
then. Two weeks ago Trump’s disapproval number was at 54%, it’s now 56%. Yeah, that’s statistically the same as Biden’s disapproval numbers when he left office. That is horrible news for Trump…what makes it worse is Trump’s disapproval rating is headed downhill with no sign of turning around. The momentum is against him. The really, really bad news comes at the end of this article.
Let’s touch on the good news for Trump and Republicans…50% of the country approve of how Trump is handling the southern border…42% disapprove. That is the only area Trump is doing well…and I am part of that 50% for absolute sure! He has done a great job securing the border! But it goes downhill badly from there.
Remember I talked about the Epstein Files in detail and Trump’s handling of that scandal? Yeah, well, it is a major scandal 
and it is hurting Trump dreadfully. Only 22% approve of how he is handling it. Yeah, the disapproval digs in deeply into even his most fever pitched base. But a reasonable person can fully understand why people detest his handling of the scandal. Now consider this…a member of Congress released a statement recently saying Trump told them, if the Epstein Files were released his “friends would get hurt.”
On to the economy…
Only 24% said life was more affordable now under his administration. But a staggering 57% said Trump was focused on 
the wrong issues. That is tone deafness at its worst !
Here is the bottom line…Americans do not like what Trump is doing by a wide margin. Yup, they just don’t like his administration, his job performance, or where the country is headed. And it appears that Trump is completely tone deaf to it. So Trump is basically doing as badly as Biden when you look at the actual numbers. It’s just Trump is on the right vs Biden on the left…with only both of their hardcore followers showing any kind of actual support.
But here is the bad part…mid-term elections. Based on recent off-year and special elections and how Americans (registered voters) view how the country is doing…Republicans will be politically slaughtered at the polls come November in the mid-term elections. It is looking really bad…seriously bad.
Honestly, as far as republicans vs democrats…I don’t give a damn. Both parties are pretty much worthless. Granted, democrats are more worthless…but not by much. And the polls under Biden and the polls under Trump prove that to be 100% accurate. Neither party is doing the will of the majority of people…they’re only serving their respective parties…a lust for power. But that is not the part I am worried about the most.
When the republicans lose control of the House and/or Senate it will be the end of Trump’s presidency…maybe the end of Trump as President. Yeah, meaning he could well be impeached and removed from office. If that doesn’t happen, whichever body of Congress that democrats control will conduct hearings paralyzing Trump as President. And if you think about it…they should…57% of Americans say Trump is focused on the wrong issues. Yeah, he is not doing the will of the majority of American people…the polls clearly show that…a clear majority of Americans feel that way.
It may be tempting to talk about Trump’s “mandate” and voter “consensus” via the 2024 election. Let’s do the numbers…Trump received 49.9% of the popular vote of those who voted. Yeah, he didn’t even get ½ of the popular vote, although close. Now consider only about 65% of eligible US voters actually voted. In reality the numbers show Trump only received about 1/3rd of the potential vote (49.9% of 65%). And interestingly…only 1/3rd of the registered voters in the US are registered Republicans. So, by the numbers Trump only won the Republican vote…meaning, the huge majority of voters didn’t vote for Trump…that’s 68% of voters didn’t vote for Trump…hence, no mandate or consensus. And further, to make it even more interesting…the people who voted for Trump pretty closely match only those who currently approve of his job performance.
If the “popular vote” represents the US population as a whole…more than 236,000,000 of the US population (348million) didn’t/don’t want Trump as President. That is just plain old statistics…fact.
But it could get worse…
Think about it…Trump is very aggressive in politics and as President. How do you think he might act if he loses both the 
House and Senate and they begin holding hearings? Bad enough, eh? Now think if they start to impeach him…what does he do? Would he go off his nut?
And what might the streets look like with a Democrat Congress and Trump as President? Demonstrations maybe? Violence maybe? Other issues maybe?
Some folks might feel that the polls are rigged and Americans view Trump as doing way better than the poll numbers show. Well, then the same logic would have to be applied to the polls under Biden. And remember, we are talking not just a single poll, or a single demographic, etc. Some of the polls are also from right-wing media sources.
Then there are some folks that might say this is all about political ideology. To a degree they are right. Both Biden and 
Trump have a radical-left and a radical-right bases supporting them no matter what…defying all logic, facts, evidence. But when you really look at the numbers…way more than half of the country disapproves of Trump’s job performance…that’s the radical-left and virtually everyone else other than his radical-right base.
Republicans are in deep trouble, and as I have been saying for months…as of now, unless something seriously changes, the Republicans are going to lose the mid-terms…probably both houses of 
Congress. And that is going to further split and divide the country. And it will throw Washington further into chaos and confusion and conflict. Kind of hard to imagine the chaos, confusion, and conflict getting any worse than it already is but it sure looks as if the country is hell-bent on making it so. Have you thought to yourself, “Why?”
The political divide right now is bad enough, but bottom line…people are going to vote their wallet. I hope you are really watching the serious economic problems that exist in this country right now…the vast majority of Americans see it. And I hope you are preparing to overcome the economic problems that we have now…and how to deal with the steamroller of economic problems that could be coming at us in the next 6 – 12 months.
As for the political turbulence that will occur and the civil violence that will probably occur…I sure hope you are thinking through those possible issues as well.
To answer the question…”Political Catastrophe or Worse ?” I am seeing this all line up as “worse”. The key will be exactly how bad will “worse” be.
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