Feedback & Comments: 4/5/2020

AH Trimble Feedback and CommentsIn response to Initiative ’17 – Part #1 Jack writes…

Thank you. This fits what we need to know right now. All things seem to be in commotion. Many do not realize the danger we all face with this virus panic.  We need to be aware of where we are and what is happening around us all the time. This is not only a pandemic it is also a power grab from us to them. If successful, we can find ourselves more enslaved than we already are. As some have said “arm up carry on”

 

 

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Feedback & Comments: 4/5/2020

AH Trimble Feedback and CommentsPaul writes…

Freedom is NOT a non-essential. It was only a few months ago when Christians and conservatives would often use this quote from Benjamin Franklin: “Those who would give up essential Liberty, to purchase a little temporary Safety, deserve neither Liberty nor Safety.” Hardly any of them are using that quote today. Instead, they are expressing enthusiastic endorsement for the assaults against their liberties—in the name of SAFETY from corona.

More than that: They are frothing venom and hatred against anyone who dares to stand up for our constitutional liberties. These conveniently confused Christians and conservatives are regurgitating the very words and ideas that the Tories expressed toward our American patriot forebears. Recall that the great champion of liberty, the Rev. James Caldwell of New Jersey, was assassinated by a fellow American loyal to the tyrannous British Crown. These modern Tories would be happy to do the same thing to those preachers standing for freedom right now.

I know, because I receive and hear their hate-filled threats almost daily. Do you not find it interesting that the same Trump-worshipping Christians and conservatives who for the last three years kept telling us that the mainstream media (MSM) was “fake news” are now aggressively attacking anyone who doesn’t buy what the MSM is saying about the coronavirus? Talk about blatant two-facedness!

Make no mistake about it: We are in the beginning of a war against our liberties that will not subside until the American people decide, AGAIN, that essential liberty is more valuable than temporary safety.

As loudly as I know how to say it: FREEDOM IS NOT A NON-ESSENTIAL!!

 

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Feedback & Comments: 3/29/2020 – 2

AH Trimble Feedback and CommentsIn regards to to my post Hoax Alert: Coronavirus could kill 81,000 in U.S.posted on 3/28 (click here)

Barry writes…

“While I appreciate your alerts, I’m not sure that this qualifies as a hoax. This model could turn out to be accurate. The deaths due to Covid-19 in the U.S. are growing exponentially. We all hope that doesn’t continue, that as the weather warms up this thing slows down, that treatments like chloroquine work, and that other successful treatments are discovered along with a vaccine.”


My full response…

It is a hoax…in my opinion. They took a snap-shot sample of data in the MOST infected area of the country, during a time when it was growing the most rapidly for their model. There are several articles that were almost immediately published that have already discredited their report. But yes, there is always the chance that their model will be correct…but it is a mighty slim chance. And I am sure both of us hope they are wrong.

So, that being said…can we agree it is a very probable hoax?

And as a side note…..How many people in the US died from the flu in the 2017/2018 flu season?
Answer: 80,000 according to the CDC. Kinda interesting perspective.

Also, another note: The reason COVID-19 will more than likely slow down (as all flu does) as summer approaches is the sun. Flu viruses are very susceptible to UV (ultraviolet) light…it kills the virus. But, a word of caution, the Spanish Flu also died down during the summer, then came roaring back that fall.


Barry responded to my response…

“If you are modeling a hurricane in the Gulf do you use weather data from the Pacific North West? If you are trying to model an outbreak doesn’t it make sense to model the area currently getting hit the hardest? We can hope other areas don’t get hit as hard but the pattern will probably be similar. All areas being hit will experience their own curve.

At this time the average flu numbers look much worse. However we’re still early in the cycle and still on the way up on the bell-shaped curve. The number of cases and deaths are doubling every few days.”


My response to Barry’s response to my response to his feedback…

Great questions and somber words to ponder!

If you are modeling a hurricane in the Gulf you use Gulf data because the model’s projections only apply to that specific hurricane, in that specific location, during that specific time-frame, based on a very specific snapshot of data. So, we agree on that. So you can’t predict hurricanes in the Pacific Northwest based on data from the Gulf of Mexico. Entirely different data set (i.e. location, environment, temperatures, winds, tides, ocean currents, etc.) applies.

So any projections of the COVID-19 based on the state of Washington would only apply to the state of Washington (or general geographic area). And that would only be true if the data snapshot they used for the model was valid and reliable (i.e. credible). I am posting an article today that shows that these guys, and most so-called “experts”, are using math projections that are entirely wrong…”by orders of magnitude”.

But getting back to my point, no projections based on Washington data applies to anywhere else. Well, maybe to Oregon due to its close proximity. But, if the data snapshot came from an urban area of Washington alone, then the projections wouldn’t even apply to the rural areas of the state of Washington due to significant social differences (i.e. space between homes/property, number of daily interactions with people, contact with contaminated surfaces, healthier life style, etc.).

“...the pattern will probably be similar…” Again, no area where COVID-19 has appeared repeats the exact outbreak pattern or the same statistical numbers. So no, I don’t believe the pattern will be the same because that has not been the case so far. Similar? Maybe. But so far, the differences in pattern are greater than the similarities in pattern.

“All areas being hit will experience their own curve.” Absolutely true! And in each area, as more data becomes available, it is proving that statement to be true about experiencing their own specific bell curve. So each area is different in all aspects…with one exception…it appears that ALL mortality rates are grossly overstated. It appears now, based on the entire outbreak data pool and accurate application of mathematical formulas, that the true mortality rate could be somewhere between .1% to .06%, with the more accurate estimate closer to the .06%. However, if it is indeed as bad as the .1%, then the COVID-19 mortality rate matches a normal flu season outbreak’s mortality rate. And those numbers are almost certain to change as more valid and reliable data becomes available.

“The number of cases and deaths are doubling every few days.” Well, not entirely accurate. While the number of reported deaths are doubling approximately every four days may be somewhat accurate. We have absolutely no idea how many new cases there are…not even a clue. Why? Because; 1) there are simply not enough test kits, 2) many people who contract COVID-19 never show symptoms, 3) many people who show symptoms never have them severe enough to go to a doctor or the hospital, 4) many people who go to a doctor or the hospital never get tested because there aren’t enough test kits, 5) there are numbers now showing that, depending on the brand/type of test kit, there could be result error rates from 30 – 50%. So we still don’t have a good picture of accurate numbers…and probably won’t until well after the COVID-19 issues passes. And then it will still be estimates…albeit better informed estimates.

Thank you again Barry for the great interaction. I appreciate your free thinking and willingness to engage. Please keep it coming. While we both may have our opinions set in-place…others may benefit from our exchanges.

 

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Feedback & Comments: 3/29/2020 – 1

AH Trimble Feedback and CommentsIn regards to the Just Water Filter information I posted on 3/27 (click here > > IMPORTANT ! – Monolithic Water Filters  )

  • Duana writes…

“These are the filters my group here in Texas has been buying for several years. I love them!!”

 

  • Scott writes…

“Are these as good as Berkey brand filters?”

I responded…

In my opinion they are as good or better…and far less expensive!
My research of laboratory results shows it removes 85 – 90% of all insecticides, herbicides, pesticides. It removes 96 – 99% of metals. It removes 99.999 – 100% of all the ugly virus and bacteria junk. It removes 98% of all particles greater than .2 microns. It even removes Anthrax! Berkey filters run about $120 per pair. Just Water filters can be bought for about $40 each. Substantial price difference! And the Just Water filters are to be installed in regular buckets…even plastic trash cans! You can install one filter or 10. The more filters the higher the flow rate.

These filters remove:
> 99% Arsenic 5 and 99% Arsenic 3 (special order)
> 99% Hydrogen Sulfide (H2S)
> 95% Chlorine and Chloramines
> 99% Taste
> 99% Odor
> 98% Aluminum
> 96% Iron
> 98% Lead
> 90% Pesticides
> 85% Herbicides
> 85% Insecticides
> 90% Rodenticides
> 85% Phenols
> 85% MTBE
> 85% Perchlorate
> 80% Trihalomethanes
> 95% Poly Aromatic Hydrocarbons
> 99.999% of particles larger than 0.5 micron (Staffordshire University Labs) (includes Anthrax)
> 99.7% of particles larger than 0.3 micron (Staffordshire University Labs)
> 98% of particles larger than 0.2 micron (Staffordshire University Labs)
> 100% Giardia Lamblia
> 100% Cyclospora
> 100% removal of live Cryptosporidium (WRc Standard)
> 100% removal of Cryptosporidium (NSF Standard 53 – A.C. fine dust – 4 log challenge)
> 100% removal of E. Coli, Vibrio Cholerae (Johns Hopkins University)
> 99.999% removal of Salmonella Typhil, Shigella Dysenteria, Kiebsiella Terrigena (Hyder Labs)

And this filter system comes with a great list of laboratories that certify how good it is:
National Sanitation Foundation (NSF) Standard 42
National Sanitation Foundation (NSF) Standard 53
ISO 9002 Quality Standard
USA AEL Laboratories
USA Analytical Food Laboratories
USA Johns Hopkins University
British 5750 Quality Standard
England’s Water Research council (WRc)

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Feedback & Comments: 3/24/2020 – 4

AH Trimble Feedback and CommentsRon writes…

My local grocery store has made 6 am to 9 am for seniors only. I guess so they can shop without being tramped. People are scared acting. I hope the grabbing of mega amounts of stuff goes away and people shop like they normally would. My daughter asked me if I ever filled my shopping cart like she is seeing and I told her no, that we have always been fortunate to have a grocery store close by. I do have some extra food but I bought it a few extra cans at a time. I don’t think my kids are going back to school after this break and i think my work is closing up soon. Staying away from people for a while would be a wise precaution.

 

 

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Feedback & Comments: 3/24/2020 – 3

AH Trimble Feedback and CommentsJohn writes…

Mr Trimble, It’s past time for all of us to rise to the occasion and do something positive. My wife and I had a similar conversation as you had with your wife. It’s time to get over the panic and do something proactive to make this situation better. My wife is a seamstress, an avid quilter, and like most quilter’s she has a huge supply of fabric. She decided to go online to find out how to sew face masks for our first responders. She found a youtube video and now she is already up in her sewing room doing something to help lessen the shortage of masks.

I have decided to contact my nearest neighbors, to check on how they are doing, find out if there anything they need, and is there anything they can share. I will widen my circle of contact and if I find a neighbor in need perhaps I can pair them with a neighbor who has a surplus. We can start conversations and be the catalyst to help our neighbors overcome the shortages. By doing this, I am certain we will become closer to our neighbors, while still practicing social distancing.

Of course, the ultimately goal is to beat coronavirus! But, we can’t allow social distancing to separate us from our friends.

 

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Feedback & Comments: 3/24/2020 -2

AH Trimble Feedback and CommentsWHL writes…

I can not control what others do.
For years I have discussed the need for at least minimal preparations with co-workers, friends, and family. Nearly all of them laughed at the idea, assuming “the government” or some other third party provider would step in. That is on them. Thankfully, all my adult children have to some extent listened to my warnings.

Personally, my wife and I have been preparing for years, a bit at a time, so we did not need to “panic buy”. Did we top up on some items, both in person and online? You bet, because my first duty is to my wife and myself. Beyond that is my family, and then friends. Yes, we do phone calls and emails. Yes, we have offered our home as a bug out location to other family members. Yes, we are prepared to defend what we have. Yes, I will help out my neighbors with some things, but there is very little I’ll do in person or in public. We are in one of the “at risk” groups, and for that reason, we choose to NOT socialize in person. We are unwilling to risk our health, even if the risk is very small. I think one of the best contributions anyone can make is to stay healthy and NOT become a burden to the health care system.

I must also say I DO NOT TRUST THE NUMBERS GIVEN OUT BY GOVERNMENTS, whether China, Italy, the USA or any other. Test samples are too small, and the tests themselves were (and perhaps still are) unreliable. Infection growth curves, particularly China’s are suspect. All governments, and the creations they spawn (WHO, CDC, AMA, the Fed, and others) have their own agendas. Finally, even if the virus is gone in a couple of months, it is likely the economic effects will last much longer.

 

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