Immediate Action Warning!


US Economy

As I have been warning about for a very long time…the economy is in terrible shape and getting much worse. There is a fairly high probability that we are seeing the continuing early stages of the economic collapse of the US economy.

The numbers/statistics out this morning show a horrible picture of our US economic condition:

  • GDP down 33% (historic record number)
  • Initial unemployment claims jumped to 1.25million last week
  • Personal consumption down 34% (historical number) – represents 2/3 of the US economy
  • Over 30 million people are receiving unemployment benefits
  • Estimates are another 15 – 25 million people are unemployed but receiving no assistance
  • Retail spending dropped 15% in April
  • Spending on services down over 40%
  • Domestic investment down 49%
  • State and local government spending down over 5%
  • Total US economic activity dropped 5% (Q1 2020)

And to make it all worse…the US federal spending rose nearly 3%! And that is money we don’t have and borrowed. 3% may not sound like much…but when you are already spending $6 trillion (including aid package) that amounts to an increase in additional federal spending of $180 billion in just the Q1 of 2020!!

The economy is collapsing and the federal government “fiddled while Rome burned.”

What does all this mean to you? Get your financial house in order to cope with the financial disaster that is occurring…and which will get worse…maybe even collapse. Then prepare every other needful thing.



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Immediate Action Warning!


Militias / Violence / Civil Unrest

In my SitRep of 7/17/2020 I specifically wrote about what is happening in regards to militias, civil unrest, etc…and it has now reached critical mass and I must issue more specific information and this specific warning.

The Not Fucking Around Coalition (NFAC) is a black nationalist militia, members number over 1,000. They were formed in the Spring of this year, 2020, in response to growing civil unrest and their perception of violence against blacks. The group was earlier referred to in news reports as the New Black Panthers, it is not. The NFAC is not the New Black Panther Party (NBPP) or the Black Panther Militia (BPM), both of those groups were formed back in the 1980’s – 1990’s and are relatively inactive. The NFAC is an entirely new group stating “We aren’t protesters, we aren’t demonstrators. We don’t come to sing, we don’t come to chant. That’s not what we do.”

By their own admission the group is militant, well-armed, veterans among their ranks, refer to themselves as “shooters”, and self-declare “We don’t threaten” implying they are there to act not simply protest or threaten but to act or react with violence.

On July 25th they organized a protest in Louisville, KY. The protest was against police brutality, and hundreds of their members showed up heavily armed. And the group has shown they have a significant amount of small arms and tactical gear at their disposal. It is reported that a “negligent discharge” occurred and several members of their group were injured and required medical treatment at a local hospital. But the protest nor the negligent dischrge is the point…the point is there were hundreds of members of a heavily armed militia group ready to march in that city. AND…there was another militia there as well in opposition. The opposition group that was there, rightly or wrongly, was linked to while nationalists.

So you have a black nationalist militia consisting of hundreds of members about to square off with a white nationalist militia consisting of only a couple dozen members…what could possibly go wrong? Fortunately both groups cooperated with the heavily armed police presence and a confrontation was avoided. But for how long?

The general purpose of a militia is to defend the rights of a group of citizens that feel their rights and safety are threatened. On that Saturday you had the potential for a clash of opposing militias…with law enforcement in the middle. What could have that outcome looked like?

The NFAC is not affiliated with Black Lives Matter (BLM) or other black rights groups or any other black nationalist groups…at this time. Should that change, the potential for armed confrontation goes up exponentially. And increases even more if NFAC starts providing security at BLM or similar events.

I return to, and repeat, my multiple earlier warnings of:

  • Civil unrest
  • Violence
  • Militia groups

> This is not the time to join, form, or be a member of a militia.

> This not the time to show up at a protest armed and looking for a fight.

It is only a matter of time before opposing militias violently clash with each other or clash with law enforcement.

It is only a matter of time before we see a crackdown by law enforcement, especially at the federal level, against militia members.

Do NOT be part of any of that…now is NOT the time!


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Immediate Action Warning!


Violence & Civil Unrest

On March 13 and again on May 1 I issued Immediate Action Warnings for violence. In the 11 weeks since the initial warning we’ve seen some sporadic violence, but almost all at the individual level. That all changed earlier this week when Minneapolis police officer (Derek Chauvin) killed a man who was begging for his life…and it was all caught on video. A man (George Floyd) who was handcuffed, who was subdued on the ground, who was compliant, who told the police officers he was having difficulty breathing. And then police officer Derek Chauvin placed his knee on the back of George Floyd’s neck with almost his entire weight…until George Floyd was dead. The alleged crime of George Floyd…a clerk in a local convenience store thought that a $20 bill George Floyd used looked “suspicious.”

Now, it is not uncommon for police to use this submission tactic…video and pictures are abundant on the Internet that show police using this tactic. It is not uncommon for people to die in police custody while restrained and compliant. It is not uncommon for people to die in police custody from not being able to breath. It is not uncommon for people to beg for their lives while in police custody and still die. But, what is uncommon in this instance is one very uncommon factor…COVID-19.

No, I am not speaking of any of the people involved having COVID-19. I am talking about the fact that the country has been locked down for two months…and all the fallout from that lock down…namely the stress and tension on a national level. This week it boiled over…and the face of the resulting violence is ugly, extreme, and could grow exponentially worse.

There is also two additional issues associated with the police murder of George Floyd and the resulting  violence…1) the militarized response to the violence, and 2) the targeting of journalists by police officers.

I don’t have to go into details regarding the militarized response…the pictures are all over the Internet of militarized police and army units in the streets of major US cities. But we saw in Minneapolis and in Louisville where credentialed journalists specifically targeted by police officers. In the case in Minneapolis the journalists were arrested (on live TV) based on “orders” the police officers had received from their leadership. In the Atlanta case the journalists were fired upon with crowd control pepper balls from a high powered air guns.

These factors…and more…have caused me to issue this warning.

Warning Specifics –

I am issuing an Immediate Action Warning – Violence & Civil Unrest.

This warning is based on the following:

  • The nature of the confrontations
  • The current high-stress national environment
  • The immediate use of militarized police and military units
  • The violent and destructive nature of the protesting and rioting
  • The widespread, coast-to-coast, outbreak of the protests and riots
  • The specific targeting of journalists by police
  • Gunfire present at the protests, rioting, and looting
  • A developing “us vs them” mentality

To make matters worse, far worse, was the President making the statement of shooting looters. While many may have a personal belief that shooting looters is an appropriate response…especially if you are the owner of the business being looted…it is entirely and completely inappropriate for the President of the United States to make such a statement.

Statements such as that can be seen by law enforcement and the military as having a free hand and simply shoot people vs trying to quell the violence. It can be seen by people in those communities as a complete disregard for their lives. It can be seen by the protesters as a declaration of war. It can be seen by the looters as a provocation to escalate the situation from looting businesses to shooting business owners, law enforcement officers, or military personnel. President Trump’s statement was juvenile at best…extremely provocative and dangerous at worse. Regardless, escalating an already dangerous situation.

Actions to Take –

I won’t repeat myself. To better understand what actions to take please read my Immediate Action Warnings of 3/13 and 5/1:

Note –

I delayed issuing this Immediate Action Warning for good reason.

  1. I wanted to see the facts of the killing by police, including video and bystander statements.
  2. I wanted to see if there would be “sustained” violent protesting and rioting and the level of destruction associated with it.
  3. I wanted to see if the police officers would be charged and the reaction to that event.

Now I see this is an extremely volatile situation with the potential to spread much wider and get much worse. The stress and tension of the COVID-19 lock-down, the historic unemployment, worsening economic situation, etc. are all factors that could drive the escalation of the violence to very, very dangerous levels. I won’t state at this point what that level could be…but I will continue to monitor the situation.

Please don’t disregard this Immediate Action Warning…or take it lightly. Even Rush Limbaugh is calling a “killing” by police officers.

Remember my continual reminding you of one very important and applicable statement of those in power…

Never let a crisis go to waste.

They wont.



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Immediate Action Warning! (5/7/2020 – Medical) : Amended 5/8/2020

5/7/2020 – 0800


There are significant indicators that show we could see a rapid decline in the economy, potential supply chain interruptions, and panic buying of certain retail items. Significant to the point that the one or medical/health related items may become unavailable.

With the recent economic developments, recent buying activity indicators, and supply chain disruptions, I am issuing an Immediate Action Warning – Medical.

I believe that the probability exists that as early as late summer or early fall we could see shortages of medical and health related retail items as well as some medications. The recent panic buying has clearly shown that the general public can easily fall prey to mass quantity buying of retail items more out of fear than out of need. Also, China provides 70 – 95% of many common over-the-counter (OTC) medications and 50% +/- of antibiotics… 80 percent of active pharmaceutical ingredients used by US based pharmaceutical manufacturers in the US are produced mostly in China. Should China and increase our existing trade/economic war, escalate the shooting war, or see further supply chain disruptions…these vital pharmaceutical ingredients could become scarce while US based manufacturers ramp up production. The time lag could be 3 – 9 months.

Possible steps to take:

  • Acquire 6 months of OTC medications that your family uses.
  • Ensure a 60 – 90 day supply of all prescription medications that family members take. Talk to your doctor, many physicians understand the need for a longer-term supply of medications to be “on-hand”.
  • Review your specific situation and assess the need for any OTC, trauma injury, or other health injury medication or medical related items. Then acquire what you may need.
  • “War game” possible scenarios (anticipate) and assess the need for other medical/health related items that you might need. Then acquire what you may need.
  • Acquire and safely store 6 – 12 months of vitamins and supplements. (see note below)

Make sure you properly store all medicines/pharmaceuticals and other related items to ensure their safe use when needed.

Note: I delayed writing this Immediate Action Warning for nearly a week. I was waiting to be 100% confident in what I was seeing…the probability of a serious enough issue to justify this warning. I never hit the 100% confidence level. However, considering the potential impact of not issuing the warning, I decided to proceed with it.

Note: Right after my breakfast in the morning I take:

  • 500mg of Vitamin C
  • Super Vitamin B-Complex that contains –
    • 150mg Vitamin C
    • 100mg Thiamine
    • 20mg Riboflavin
    • 25mg Niacin
    • 2mg Vitamin B6
    • 680mcg DFE
    • 15mcg Vitamin B12
    • 30mcg Biotin
    • 5.5mg Pantothenic Acid
  • 125mg Magnesium Citrate
  • 99mg Potassium
  • 50mg Zinc Gluconate

(Note: all of the above is followed by 2 snack size Hershey’s chocolate bars)

At night right before bed I take the following:

  • 1 Centrum Silver Men 50+ multivitamin
  • 1000mg Omega-3 (from fish oil)
  • 1200mg Red Yeast Rice
  • 1000mg Garlic

(Note: no Hershey’s chocolate bars)


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Immediate Action Warning! (5/1/2020 – Energy/Fuel)


5/1/2020 – 1500


With the recent societal developments and potential for civil unrest, including utility disruptions, I am issuing an Immediate Action Warning – Energy/Fuel.

To help offset the potential for energy and/or fuel shortages I am suggestion the possible steps to take:

  • Keep all your vehicles 3/4 full of fuel, or more.
  • Have a way (i.e. hand transfer pump) to move fuel from one vehicle to another.
  • Have a minimum of one 5gal fuel can with fuel safely stored on your property. Use a fuel stabilizing additive such as Pri-G or Sta-Bil.
  • Have at least one change oil of supplies ( oil and filter) for your primary vehicle. For all vehicles would be best.
  • Have an adequate supply of batteries for all lights, radios, etc. Rechargeable batteries would be best…and redundant methods of recharging them.
  • Consider purchasing a small solar system of 1000w or less (panels, battery, charge controller, inverter, etc.).

Do not delay in implementing those things you know need to be done.


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Immediate Action Warning! (5/1/2020 – Money)

5/1/2020 – 1300


With the potential extreme problems with the economy, stock market, and value of the dollar I am issuing an Immediate Action Warning – Money.

There are significant indicators that show we could see a rapid decline in stock market indicators and/or value of the dollar. Significant to the point that the dollar could collapse, and do so rapidly. There is also an increasing potential for a “bank holiday” to occur and a reset of the economy, banking system, credit markets, etc.

Possible steps to take:

  • Have cash on hand stored safely and securely.
  • If you don’t have any precious metals consider acquiring some. Silver would be my first choice, junk silver at that. There is plenty of it on eBay, or you can check with a local or online dealer. Get it in your possession as soon as possible. Do not let anyone know you are buying it.
  • If you already own precious metals and it is stored off-site, get it in your physical possession as soon as practical. Store it safely and securely. Do not let anyone know you have any or have purchased it.
  • Do not panic and dump stocks or mutual funds out of your IRA or 401k. I will stay invested in the markets through my IRA mutual funds. But not more than 33  – 50% of my total invested funds. The rest will stay in a money market fund.
  • If you are considering buying something of tangible value such as a tractor or generator, etc. do so as soon as you can responsibly do so.

Do not delay in implementing those things you know need to be done.


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Immediate Action Warning! (5/1/2020 – Food)

5/1/2020 – 1100


With the recent alarming developments in the current and potential food distribution chain I am issuing an Immediate Action Warning – Food.

I am warning against the increasing scarcity of some foods in the US. Of current specific concern is meat (i.e. pork and poultry). I have personally confirmed that there are significant problem with major food producers getting meat to the retail markets.

As US fruit and vegetable crops become available for harvesting there could also develop a shortage of farm personnel to harvest those crops. And there is also a similar potential issue getting those crops into the food distribution chain as well.

Possible steps to take:

  • Plant a garden with heirloom seeds. It doesn’t matter how large a garden, just get something planted. Prepare to harvest the seeds from your garden. The seeds may be the most valuable part of this year’s crop.
  • Begin to acquire additional meat as you would pantry items. Don’t go crazy and spend 100’s or 1000’s of dollars buying meat. But, buy an additional couple of pounds of beef, pork, chicken, or bacon. Freeze it, can it, jerk it, dehydrate it, etc. Any way you wish to preserve it is OK with me. Just get moving on it!
  • Acquire additional pantry items. I recommend a minimum of 90 days supply of normal every-day use pantry food.
  • Be creative in acquiring your food. Join a co-op, use the LDS church distribution center, go through someone you know who owns a restaurant and buys through a wholesale supplier, go direct to a meat producer and buy 1/2 a pig or beef through them.
  • Make sure your food pantry is full.

Do not delay in implementing those things you know need to be done.



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Immediate Action Warning! (5/1/2020 – Violence)

5/1/2020 – 0900


With the recent armed citizenry presence in the Michigan capital building and the resulting confrontation and previous widespread anti-stay-at-home protests I am issuing an Immediate Action Warning – Violence.

I am warning against the increase of violence in the USA as a result of Draconian government actions to restrict rights, liberties, and freedoms of American citizens under the guise protecting the public. There is also an corresponding increase the potential of violence of protestors, specifically armed protestors, who confront law enforcement personnel.

There is also a general potential for increase in violence as food becomes more scarce, medications become more scarce, more widespread use of anti-depressant and anti-psychotic medication, self-medication, and stress from the continued COVID-19 restrictions and related issues.

Possible steps to take:

  • Review your defensive weapons and ammunition situation. Do no delay in purchasing additional ammunition supplies, weapons, magazines, and/or weapons.
  • Make sure you have a serviceable tactical vest and accessories.
  • Clean weapons, magazines, and ensure your ammunition is serviceable.
  • Have your weapons readily available but safely stored.
  • Avoid protests.
  • Avoid confronations with law enforcement personnel.
  • Support Peace Officers.
  • Create/join a Neighborhood Watch program or security group.
  • Talk with other like-minded folks about the current and potential need for security.
  • Keep your Situational Awareness high at all times.
  • Review how you could improve the security of your home. Install a basic, stand-alone security system such as SimpliSafe with cameras, external sirens, etc.

Do not delay in implementing those things you know need to be done.


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Immediate Action Warning! (3/17/2020)

3/17/2020 – 0800

COVID – 19

Background –

CIVID-19 discovery was announced in December of 2019 in China, it showed up in the United States early in 2020, it became a problem for the US in February when the panic began…and the panic that is occurring is now in earnest. Although repeatedly COVID-19 has proven to be a relatively minor flu problem compared to the regular flu season (in terms of deaths), a sense of panic has developed. The panic, bred from fear and hysteria, has been promoted by almost every sector imaginable. The media, government sources, leftist politicians, some well-meaning medical personnel, and most of all, commercial enterprises such as some prepper websites, have successfully created that sense of panic to a point where it is becoming almost unmanageable.

We are seeing local and state governments taking extraordinary actions that they are claiming will help control the spread of the virus. However, those same actions are creating, or fueling, that sense of panic and will push civil disturbances and violence, let alone simple discontent. Another spin-off from the hype hustler actions is panic buying. That is a situation, driven by emotion, where people are buying supplies far, far beyond what they would normally purchase. They are in “survival mode”; having food and other supplies around them gives them a sense of security and safety. However, we are seeing that panic buying pushed to extremes.

Last Friday I was in Walmart for our weekly food run and some other purchasing. I reported on that experience in my SitRep – 3/12/2020 (updated 3/15/2020). Over the weekend I heard stories of more panic buying, some associated violence, and significant shortages. I wanted to verify that information for myself before commenting on the situation.

On Monday afternoon when I went to several stores I noticed a number of situations:

  • Walmart shelves were less bare than on Friday, but very far from normal amount of food items. At the rate people were shopping I would expect those items to be gone within a couple of hours, at most, of my visit. And another interesting note…a much wider variety of items where either gone or in shorter supply than on Friday. I attribute that to the more commonly purchased items having run out of stock and folks were purchasing less-popular, less-common substitute items.
  • I also went over to the pharmacy section at Walmart to assess the status on vitamins, specifically vitamins related to boosting an immune system. Vitamin C, B-Complex, B-12, Zinc, Potassium, Magnesium, etc. were all gone. While there I noticed, as I did on Friday, it appeared to me that the pharmacy personnel were busier than normal. But, that is antidotal information only. And, I did notice that there was not a single person in line to pick up medications.
  • However, as I was approaching a sporting goods store in a local strip mall I noticed a small pharmacy that was in the same strip mall. I walked in and was pleasantly surprised to find all immune system boosting supplements with the exception of Zinc. No bare shelves, no shortages other than Zinc.
  • I had received reports of ammunition shortages, bare ammunition shelves, and long lines to purchase guns. Some of those were rather dramatic in nature. I went to a local strip mall that has two sporting goods stores of major retail chains. Neither store was out of ammunition. Quite honestly, neither store appeared to have a low stock of ammunition on their shelves. Also, one store had no one looking at their large selection of guns. The other store appeared to have the same situation going on, but I couldn’t tell for sure. Bother stores had a full rack of guns on display. And yes, Walmart had the same situation as well with the exception that there were two people in Walmart buying ammo. But, they were small amounts…not stocking up for a firefight. So I was unable to substantiate the ammunition shortage stories and gun panic buying.
  • Local and state governments are increasingly taking drastic and unwarranted actions. Those actions are feeding the flames of fear and increasing the state of panic. We are seeing governors ordering the closures of restaurants, theaters, bars, concerts, sporting events, schools, and banning meetings of various sizes from 10 – 100. Some mayors have taken even more draconian steps. And at least one mayor has banned the sale of firearms. President Trump himself alluded that he is resisting nationwide travel restrictions, curfews, etc. However, and this is vital information…he has not ruled it out.
  • A business from of mine who deals in various prepper supplies told me yesterday that ALL of his suppliers told him they are out of all food storage items as well as ALL other regular prepper supplies. And they wouldn’t commit to a date when those supplies would be available.
  • Finally, I am beginning to receive reports that shortages of truck drivers are starting to roll into me. Now, I have not observed that situation personally nor have I been able to verify those reports with credible sources. It’s all antidotal information at this time.
Warning Specifics –

As different levels of government continue to tighten controls on the private citizen’s travel, activities, etc. we see a pattern developing that is a cause for concern. I would expect to see government entities at the state-level and below continue to increase travel restrictions, enact curfews, close more businesses, government offices, and similar actions. I would not be surprised to see even more, and similar, steps taken by the federal government in the next 7 – 10 days.

As we see panic buying continue, and possibly increase, we could well see even greater shortages of essential goods for sale. If that continues, combined with the reports of truck driver shortages, we could experience a significant disruption of the supply chain in the US. We are already seeing a serious disruption in the supply chain due to reduced shipments of goods from China. US stock piles of essential goods could soon be depleted due to those disruptions.

I am advising you to prepare for significant shortages of essential goods.

At this point in time I see we could be looking at significant shortages of pharmaceuticals. The potential for seeing complete depletion of supplies of some pharmaceuticals is possible should the supply chain disruption situations continue or worsen. Some food items from any source could become very scarce as well. I am uncertain about ammunition supplies but my gut feeling tells me that we could see wide-spread shortages, as opposed to local shortages only.  I sense that guns could fall into that same category, just not as quickly.

Actions to Take –

Steps to consider…

1 – Immediately assess your situation in regards to food, water, and pharmaceuticals.

2 – Food: I am referring to pantry items and long-term food storage. Have a minimum of 30-days of food on hand, 90 day supply would be far more preferable.

3 – Water: With regards to water have a minimum of 14 days of stored water on hand and a way to purify water for a period of at least 90 days.

4 – Pharmaceuticals: I include medications and supplants in this category. If possible acquire a minimum of 60-day supply of medications, 90-day would be preferable. For immune system boosting vitamins and supplements I would recommend having 90-day supply on hand. And don’t delay in taking them, start taking them now. Obviously I am no doctor or other medical professional. Before taking any medication, vitamin, or supplement consult your physician and follow their advice.

5 – Guns & Ammo: If you are short on ammo…SHAME ON YOU! You should not be in this situation. If you are, go buy some ammo today. If you don’t have a gun…well, you probably shouldn’t buy one now because you also probably don’t have any training with one. If you do have weapon’s training but no weapon, then you might want to go purchase an appropriate weapon along with sufficient amounts of ammo, magazines, pouches, etc.

6 – FirstAid Supplies: Assess the supplies you have on hand and evaluate if you need to purchase more, or supplement what you have.

I would advise that any purchases you feel are necessary should be made without delay. Stocks of any of the mentioned items could dwindle, possible disappear, without any significant advanced warning.

Summary –

As I have stated before; 1) this is an unprecedented situation, 2) fear has gripped more of the US than even last week, 3) panic buying is well underway and will worsen, 4) supply chain disruptions have occurred and are worsening, 5) restrictions are being put into place at all levels of government and are worsening, 6) more “unknowns” exist now than even last week. My sense is we could see the panic situation get even worse; potentially drastically worse.

If you have been following my website for any length of time you will plainly see that for years I have been giving clear information on what supplies to have and how much. I can only hope you followed those guides and took appropriate action. However, if you are short in some areas of preparing you still have a window of opportunity to make purchases to help your situation. But…DO NOT PANIC BUY!!

Use a level head, common sense, and sound decision making to identify those items you may need to purchase. The…DO NOT delay in making those purchases. I would also advise you to have a Plan B and Plan C for each item on your list. If they don’t have “A”, purchase “B”. If they don’t have “B” purchase “C”.

Stay calm and carry on like the decent and mature person you are.

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