19 Pine Trees vs SHTF…

If you’ve been following my site for any amount of time you know I truly see the US, and potentially the world, falling apart…and in the not too distant future. And as the election grows closer I see the odds going up that it will happen sooner rather than later. The critical time period is between today and April 19, 2025.

And yes, there could easily be a case made that the world has already fallen apart and just simply getting worse daily.

Why April 19, 2025?

First – It 4/19/25 is the 90-day mark of whomever is sworn in as President of the US. I firmly see that ½ of the country is going to be pissed off no matter who is sworn in as President. And the country is pretty evenly and radically divided between political parties right now. So whichever party’s candidate is sworn in…the other party is going to be both mad as hell and proclaim voter/election fraud. And there are enough whack jobs in both parties to go violent. Just look at the Democrats who are even now trying to assassinate Trump…so far, two failed assassination attempts by the US left. I think the first 90 days after the swearing in (inauguration) will be telling and dangerous.

Second – 4/19/2025 will be the 250 anniversary of Battles of Lexington and Concord. Yeah, those are the battles that started by the British soldiers (today’s ATF/FBI equivalent) opening fire on the local American Colonial militia’s. I think that date will mean something important to some folks…and the government LEOs will act, or overreact, to any perceived, or manufactured, threat. Yes, a potential ‘false flag’ or ‘Black Swan’ event may occur as well.

So the question…Why am I referencing ‘pine trees’ in the title to this article?

Simple…if you knew my glamstead and what I’ve been doing for the last month. I just finished up planting 19 pine trees. I planted two 3-year old Scotch pines, six 2-year old Southwestern White pine trees, and eleven 1-year old Southwestern White pine trees. I planted five 2-year old Afghan pine trees earlier this year. So I guess that makes a total of 24 trees vs 19…sorry.

And if you are interested, I just finished planting 104 Buffalo Grass plugs. Plus the 36 plugs I planted earlier in the summer as a ‘proof of concept’ project.

So, if I am so sure that we are looking at a SHTF scenario, why am I planting trees that I may never see grow?

The easy answer is “life must go on”. Meaning, there is a 100% chance that the US will fall apart and end up in a civil war or revolutionary war situation…complete with economic meltdown. However, as will all ‘risk mitigation’ that is considering only the probability and severity factors. What I don’t know is the timeline factor.

My 4/19/25 timeline factor is a calculated guess; some would call it a WAG. Yeah, probably more accurate with that WAG title. Even with the 4/19 WAG I only give the probability a 60% +/- rating. What I am saying is what if nothing substantial happens by 4/19? Or, the 100% probability has a timeline rating of 5 years, or 35 years???

Yeah, you probably guessed it by now…I am hedging my bet. At our age my wife and I have competing current and future needs. We need to be ready for a SHTF scenario because if we are not…we get sorely burned. However, if there is no significant SHTF event anytime soon….say 30 years…we have to be ready for paying an assisted living facility. Optionally, and preferably, we live out our days on the glamstead and pass it on to my son.

So yes, as preppers we have to be ready for SHTF tomorrow…but we also can’t ignore the potential for having the timeline wrong and it extending far into the future.

Prepare for tomorrow…plan for the future…then go plant some trees.


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