How sure are you that there will be a stock market crash in 2025?

  • From: TM

How sure are you that there will be a stock market crash in 2025?

Great question, trick question, touchy question…difficult question.

Remember I use the risk management model for what I think is coming. That includes probability, severity, and timeline. You can learn more about that methodology by < clicking here >

When I look at past occurrences of market troubles here in the US it becomes apparent that any stock market issue here in the US ripples out globally pretty quickly. There is truth in the saying “when America sneezes, the world gets a cold.” To me, any stock market crash here in the US will be devastating to the US economy as a whole…and it would bring down the entire economic/financial system. That would spread worldwide quickly and with devastation. All that being said I would rate the severity aspect as ‘extreme’.

Now comes the tricky part…probability. Based on pure facts, 100% historical facts…there is a 100% probability that the US stock market will crash and the entire US economy along with it. Which goes first is another discussion, economy vs market. The ‘timeline’ to that probability is unknown in my opinion…but it will definitely happen. I am guessing within 10 – 25 years for sure.

But that doesn’t answer your question. Your specific ‘timeline’ qualifier changes the equation considerably.

Here are some factors that I am taking into consideration:

  • 2024 Presidential election

  • Two presidential candidates that appear to be polar opposites and the country split pretty evenly in their support

  • Current financial condition of the US economy

  • Here is one that I struggle to quantify…the elites lust for absolute power.

We all know that Biden is nothing more than a figure head, he is clearly not running the country, it is not possible for him to do so. He is close to entering the final stages of dementia and he is totally incapable of leading this administration. So there is a power structure behind him that is calling the shots and running the government…I call them the Elites.

Then you have Trump who has a very vocal and passionate base of support…along with a fair number of crazies in that bunch capable of just about anything. Trump’s legal problems are well-known and he is facing the real possibility of prison time. But I doubt that his base would sit-by and allow that to happen.

These campaign/election/selection issues make the country very, very unstable right now. That instability alone could tank the markets on any given day. But there is also the very real threat of the elites behind Biden using a crash as a tactic to forego, delay, or dramatically move the election/selection.

Taking all this into consideration there are several ‘timeline’ and ‘probability’ combinations between now and the end of 2025. It looks something like this:

Timeline = by election day / Probability = high (very high if is looks as if Biden will lose by a landslide)

Timeline = after election before inauguration / Probability = very high (if Trump wins)

Timeline = after election before inauguration / Probability = low (if Biden wins)

Timeline = between now and end of 2025 / Probability = moderately high (regardless of who wins)

Want to know what the “experts” are saying?

  • US market expert warns of ‘a bigger crash’ than 2008 — says there’s ‘nowhere to hide’ – 6/13/2024 AP MoneyWise
  • There’s a stock market crash coming in 2025 as the ‘bubble of all bubbles’ bursts – 6/10/2024 Business Insider
  • This Forecasting Tool Hasn’t Been Wrong in 65 Years, and It Has a Sobering Message for Wall Street – 5/12/2024 Motley Fool
  • From a 65% stock market crash to an imminent recession – 5/12/2024 Business Insider
  • 6 Risk Factors showing market crash coming – 5/8/2024 US News & World Report
  • Bubble of all bubbles, stock market crash of 2025, likely worse than 2008 – 6/12/2024 The Economic Times
  • A coming recession will send the S&P 500 plummeting more than 60% – 6/1/2024 Business Insider
  • US economist predicts 2025 stock market crash worse than 2008 – 6/12/2024 NewsBytes
  • Stock Market Crash Worse Than 2008 Crisis Coming In 2025 – 6/11/2024 NDTV
  • Is the Stock Market Going to Crash? 153 Years of Valuation History Weighs In and Provides a Big [yes] Clue – 6/16/2024 Motely Fool
  • There are two factors signaling a recession by year-end or early 2025, and stock market tumbling – 5/7/2024 – Business Insider
  • How far could America’s stock market fall? Crash – 4/25/2024 The Economist

Now, back to your question…

I am not confident that there will be a ‘crash’ by the end of 2025…according to my ‘gut feeling’. The operative word being ‘confident’. That being said…my head tells me that all the key economic indicators show that a crash by the end of 2025 is virtually unavoidable. And there are plenty of ‘experts’ to back that up. So there is a serious conflict for me on what will happen. Then add in the whole election/selection thing and it gets real cloudy.

So what to do?

You have to make up your own mind on what to do for you and your family…I can’t make that decision or give you advice on that. For me and my wife…well, we are playing both games. Here’s what we are doing:

  1. Zero debt.
  2. Cash fund on hand.
  3. At least a year’s supply of everything necessities on hand.
  4. Keeping about 1/3 of our modest IRA in a S&P 500 index fund.
  5. Keeping our Situational Awareness on high.

Here is an ‘unknown’ to consider…the Elites plan. By that I mean, the elites running this country have a plan. The goal of that plan is an authoritarian state, they have made that clear on a number of occasions. The easiest way to implement the final stage(s) of their plan is martial law, or something similar. The easiest way to do that is having the citizenry in a state of panic, chaos, anger, desperation, and fear. The single easiest way to trigger all of that is a stock market crash and/or a bank run. At any time the Elites could push either of those buttons. So the big ‘unknown’…the Elites plan with their timeline.

My advice…pray, plan, prepare, practice.

I know I wandered around quite a bit on you trying to answer your question…I hope I was of some help.

 


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Two-Party Political System Alternative?

  • xpansan

What is your proposal in place of a two-party political system? Thanks for the great article!

RE: Points/Events in History Destroying the United States

I don’t have one off the top of my head. I would have to go back and get seriously into the weeds regarding what our Founders set-up originally and why. Then I would look at the natural evolution with today’s technology. Example: Transporting ballot boxes by truck/van/car vs horse.

That being said…It would take an act of Congress, more likely an Amendment to the Constitution, to get it into law. Do you see either the House or the Senate willing to pass such a law? And if they did, can you imagine any President signing it into law? As for an Amendment…can you even begin to imagine enough states ratifying such an Amendment to make it Constitutional?

In my view…there is ZERO chance that we can eliminate a 2-party system via the government. Both parties are drunk on the power they have…and no way they would forego hundreds of millions of dollars, maybe billions, that they take into their party and candidates’ coffers! Their (Republican & Democrat Parties) lust after power and wealth way ahead of what is good for the country. They will give up neither wealth nor power…regardless of how good it would be for the country.

Okay, so there are two chances to eliminate the 2-party system that I have mentioned before:

1) Divine intervention

2) We the People


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Points/Events in History Destroying the United States

  • From: unknown

When did the USA crash & burn?

First off, let’s agree what “crash & burn” means. I believe you are referring to transitioning from a Constitutional Republic established by our Founders to the hideous and oppressive political monster we struggle under today. That being the case…

I am not convinced that there is a single event that can be pointed to that destroyed the US as a Constitutional Republic…or rather began its destruction. To fully understand that path of destruction I think it wise to understand what the Founding Fathers saw as a threat to the new Constitutional Republic and how to avoid it.

The Founders saw utter evil in:

  • The British Empire system of an all-powerful central government (oppression & tyranny).
  • A standing, professional army to enforce that power.
  • A tightly controlled economic system that didn’t allow for free markets, and the application of excessive taxes.
  • Worshiping a King more than, or equal to, God.

Once the colonies defeated the British Empire they desired to establish safeguards against such a tyrannical and oppressive government taking root in America. To that end they established preventative ideals/principles:

  1. Recognize God in defeating the British and inspiring both the Declaration of Independence and the Constitution. Knowing full well both were meant only for a moral and righteous people. Doing so by integrating God into public life and the government process.
  2. Creating the Constitution to severely limit the federal government in both scope and power; and making it subservient to state governments in all matters excepting international relations.
  3. Established a state-based militia style of a military system to ensure that there was no professional, standing all-powerful army to enforce tyranny or to support a despotic leader.
  4. Ensuring that the Constitution supported a free-market system, free from any but nominal federal government control.
  5. Establish a gold/silver standard for the US dollar ensuring a solid and internationally recognized currency, eliminating the economy destroying fiat currency potential.
  6. Created the Bill of Rights to ensure that a federal government would not be able to establish an oppressive and tyrannical form of government against US citizens. And the Second Amendment was specifically adopted to ensure that the citizens of the US and states could keep the federal government from oppressing the people. Or, should the federal government become tyrannical and oppressive, the Second Amendment and militia style military would ensure that such government could be replaced as per the Declaration of Independence should the ballot box fail to remedy the situation.

So all that being said, here are the points in history that I believe have led the US federal government to become even worse, far worse, than the British Empire ever was:

  • 1909 – Corporate Income Tax: Legalized corporate tax transferring massive amount of wealth annually from US corporations to a bureaucratic federal government.
  • 1913 – The establishment of The Federal Reserve: Moved control of the US economy and currency away from the government and into the hands of private banks unaccountable to anyone. Transferring the entire control of the US economy into the hands of a few powerful individuals. It ensured the eventual complete destruction of a free-market economic system.
  • 1913 – Sixteenth Amendment: Legalized progressive income tax transferring massive amount of wealth annually from individual US citizens to a bureaucratic federal government.
  • 1913 – Seventeenth Amendment: Removal of power from the states to elect Senators via state legislatures. Effectively eliminating the power of state governments to be a check and balance on the federal government.
  • 1916 – Estate Tax: Legalized a tax on people who died transferring massive amount of wealth from dead individual US citizens to a bureaucratic federal government. The estate tax collections that had already been additionally taxed annually via federal income tax.
  • 1918 – World War I: The US realized just how powerful of a military the country could wield, basically unmatched in the world. A large, standing, professional army was created in direct opposition to the Founders’ intent and design.
  • 1932 – Gift Tax: Legalized tax on people who gave money to others, primarily family, transferring significant wealth annually from individual US citizens/families to a bureaucratic federal government. The money that had already been taxed annually via federal income tax.
  • 1934 – The National Firearms Act: Ensured the eventual total destruction of the Second Amendment and eliminating the ability of US citizens to oppose government tyranny and oppression.
  • 1935 – The Federal Bureau of Investigation: The creation of the FBI, the most powerful law enforcement agency in the world, destroyed any last hopes that the Constitution and Bill of Rights would remain intact and remain the law of the land protecting the rights/liberties/freedoms of US citizens.
  • 1945 – Military-Industrial Complex created/expanded: By the end of WW2 virtual control of the US military moved into private hands of industry via the monetary influence of decision makers inside the military and Congress. The number of “military actions” increased dramatically moving 10’s of trillions of dollars into a few private industries.
  • 1947 – Central Intelligence Agency: The creation of the CIA gave unlimited power, legal or otherwise, to the federal government to kill, imprison, or torture at will anyone, anywhere, for any reason without accountability or legal basis. This included political leaders, military leaders, entire governments, and any other person they deemed worthy of such treatment…foreign or domestic.
  • 1947 – Separation of Church and State: Everson v. Board of Education established the SCOTUS basis of eliminating God from the public square and ensuring the total fall of morality in public life.
  • 1962 – School Prayer Outlawed: Nine judges (SCOTUS) made the decision to eliminate prayer from schools.
  • 1971 – Gold standard abandoned: When the US abandoned the gold standard as a monetary policy it enabled a fiat currency and the adoption of Modern Monetary Theory. This move ensured the eventual collapse of the US currency and economy.
  • 1972 – ATF created: The Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives (BATFE), commonly referred to as the ATF was established. This gave the federal government a dedicated law enforcement agency whose sole mission was the elimination of the Second Amendment and the imprisonment or murder of alleged Second Amendment violators.
  • 1973 – Abortion legalized: Roe v. Wade decision by nine judges (SCOTUS) to legalize abortion has led to the death of 10’s of millions of babies in the US. A huge loss of life and human potential as well as an unfathomable offense against God. Infanticide on an unimaginable scale.
  • 1973 – National Debt: By 1973 the national debt began its unlimited, albeit a slow, rise since the US dollar was now a fiat currency.
  • 2001 – The Patriot Act: Ensured the immediate or eventual elimination of any and all Constitutional rights of US citizens.
  • 2002 – The Homeland Security Act: This gave ability to enforce the eventual destruction of all Constitutional under the Patriot Act, including creating an entire federal level ‘department’ (DHS) dedicated to the destruction of all rights/liberties/freedoms under the Constitution and Bill of Rights.
  • 2002 – National Debt: In 2002 the national debt began its out-of-control, skyrocketing rise with full implementation of Modern Monetary Theory.
  • 2007 – The Great Recession: While the huge transfer of wealth from average US citizens to the country’s wealthy elite was significant in itself (largest in the history of the world), the methodology implemented to “correct/stop” the economy free-fall was far worse. The federal government, under Bush #2 direction, used communist principles and “crony capitalism” principles to forever change the US financial system and remove any last vestiges of a free-market system from the US.
  • 2016 – Banana Republic (FBI): The FBI embedded spies in the campaign staff of an opposition US Presidential campaign creating a weaponized political system in the US (i.e. third-world Banana Republic).
  • 2017 – Banana Republic (FBI & CIA): the FBI in coordination with the CIA began a coup against a sitting US President to protect the DeepState and ensure the continuance of the fundamental transformation of the US.
  • 2020 – Banana Republic (FBI, DOJ, CIA, etc.): the FBI in coordination with the DOJ and CIA, along with mainstream media, social media, and tech companies began the largest election interference operation in US history ensuring the election ‘loss’ of a sitting US President.

In my opinion you can take each of these history points and directly apply them to the destruction of each of the 6 principles/ideals of the Founders…the foundation of the former US Constitutional Republic.

Ironically all the events noted above have occurred under both Democrat and Republican Presidents, and under both Democrat and Republican controlled Congresses. That to me points to one thing…the parties are one-in-the-same…there is no fundamental difference in their true intentions, motivations, and goals. Sadly our very first President, George Washington, rang the warning bell loud and clear over 200 years ago against the threat/danger of a two-party political system…and we as a country ignored that warning.

By ignoring that warning and allowing the unbridled lust for power and money to prevail in our political system we find ourselves suffering under an even worse situation than the British imposed on the early American Colonists. Today, tyranny, oppression, and despotism through an all-powerful, out-of-control federal government rules over us. The Democrats and Republicans have achieved their initial goals…but they aren’t done yet.

To me there is only a single, multi-faceted, answer to fix this, if there is one at all, and that is:

  1. The elimination of the two-party political system.
  2. The total and complete restoration of the Constitution (including the Bill of Rights) as intended and designed by the Founders.
  3. Understand, believe in, and be willing to implement the Declaration of Independence when/if needed.
  4. The return of God to American life…private and public.

Until such occurs, or divine intervention itself, the US has collapsed, the Constitutional Republic is a long forgotten ideal, and evil reigns in the US.

The absolute sad part…I believe that Americans are truly, essentially awesome good people with big hearts and compassionate souls. The national cancer is the US federal government…and it has been intentionally killing everything good and right in America bit-by-bit for over a hundred years. Americans deserve more than this federal government, its masters, and the ruling class.

What I have done next is identify the Founders’ ideals/principles into categories and then listed each historic event under that category to show the destruction of that ideal/principle.

God/Morals/Righteous Nation

  • 1947 – Separation of Church and State
  • 1962 – School Prayer Outlawed
  • 1973 – Abortion legalized

Limited Federal Government

  • 1913 – Sixteenth Amendment (Income Tax)
  • 1913 – Seventeenth Amendment (States’ check & balance)
  • 1916 – Estate Tax
  • 1932 – Gift Tax
  • 1935 – FBI created
  • 1947 – Central Intelligence Agency created
  • 1972 – ATF created
  • 2001 – The Patriot Act
  • 2002 – The Homeland Security Act
  • 2016 – Banana Republic (FBI)
  • 2017 – Banana Republic (FBI & CIA)
  • 2020 – Banana Republic (FBI, DOJ, CIA, etc.)

Militia Style Military (no professional, standing army)

  • 1918 – WWI (established professional, standing army)
  • 1945 – Military-Industrial Complex

Free-Markets (free economy)

  • 1909 – Corporate Income Tax
  • 1913 – The Federal Reserve
  • 1913 – Sixteenth Amendment (Income Tax)
  • 1916 – Estate Tax
  • 1932 – Gift Tax
  • 2007 – The Great Recession

Non-Fiat Currency & Non-Modern Monetary Policy

  • 1971 – Gold standard abandoned
  • 1973 – National Debt
  • 2002 – National Debt
  • 2007 – The Great Recession

Ability to Resist/Defeat Oppression & Tyranny

  • 1913 – Seventeenth Amendment (States’ check & balance)
  • 1934 – The National Firearms Act
  • 1935 – The Federal Bureau of Investigation created
  • 1945 – Military-Industrial Complex
  • 1947 – Central Intelligence Agency created
  • 1972 – ATF created
  • 2001 – The Patriot Act
  • 2002 – The Homeland Security Act
  • 2016 – Banana Republic (FBI)
  • 2017 – Banana Republic (FBI & CIA)
  • 2020 – Banana Republic (FBI, DOJ, CIA, etc.)

It was not my intention to include every single historic event that has led to a failed and destroyed US Constitutional Republic. Rather, I have listed what I believe to be the most significant primary events that have directly destroyed the very foundation of our country that our Founding Fathers believed in, fought for, died for, and eventually established via our Declaration of Independence, Constitution, and Bill of Rights.

Anything other than a restoration of the principles, ideals, and values contained in the Declaration of Independence, Constitution, and the Bill of Rights will simply perpetuate the evil gripping the USA. We now suffer under a US Empire system that is no better, actually worse, than the British Empire that our forefathers fought against and died defeating.

Make no mistake, have no doubt, these are intentional and planned events in a grand scheme. A scheme to turn the US into an authoritarian/totalitarian state that benefits only a select few. These events did not occur in a vacuum or randomly by chance. It is all planned…and there is more of their evil to come…but not much more because their plan is almost complete. And that is what you must be aware of…and prepare for…there is nothing that can stop their plan…nothing. Well, other than a restoration or divine intervention. And I don’t see any group of people who are committed enough, brave enough, and knowledgeable enough to restore the Republic. At least not at this point.

And no…there is no Republican or Democrat candidate/politician that is committed enough, brave enough, and knowledgeable enough to lead a restoration. It has been the Republicans and Democrats behind the plan and implementing the plan all along.

Oh, just as George Washington warned us about…and we’ve ignored.


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Is RFK jr a viable candidate?

  • From: Lona

RE: I’d be interested in your opinion on RFK jr being a viable candidate (both electable and useful).

Well, first off I am super glad to hear you are thinking outside the box and not stuck in traditional thinking…traditional thinking is to blame for our country’s condition. Just asking that question about RFK shows intelligence, initiative, and a sincere desire to see America back on the right path.

I could give you the short answer…ok, I will…kinda. First off let’s make sure we agree on ‘viable’ meaning ‘capable of success’ (i.e. possible). Now let’s answer the ‘electable’ first. The answer is yes if voters went strictly by issue positions…especially so if in terms of an out-of-control tyrannical federal government. If only considering strictly anti-American philosophy (i.e. traditional thinking)…no, he is not a viable candidate. More on that later.

Now, ‘useful’…yes, in terms of showing TPTB that we the people will not tolerate the current, or any, anti-American two-party political system. RFK would have both parties working against him regardless of what would be good for America. Hence, RFK would fail at nearly everything as President…unless the citizenry stood up and took down the anti-American two-party political system.

Now, realistically speaking is there any chance RFK would/could be elected? No. Plain and simple…no. Why? Because virtually all Americans have been led astray into a two-party political system. Both parties are only concerned about power…getting it, retaining it, and wielding it. Wielding it about 99.9% of the time against what is best for America…yes, both political parties.

George Washington warned us against a two-party system…he said it would destroy America. And it has. A two-party political system is a virtual mirror image of the empire our Founders detested and fought against. So the Republican and Democrat parties are not pro-America…they are both anti-American and against the intent of the Founders. And that my friend is why America has failed and fallen.

FWIW…Remember who killed RFK’s father and uncle.


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SitRep – 5/23/2024: What do you think China will do?

RE: SitRep – 5/23/2024

  • What do you think China will do?

Well, the answer came quickly, very quickly. Yesterday China started 2 days of “training”. According to Beijing the training exercise was meant to “punish” the island simulating a full-scale attack. During the “training” Chinese air resources entered Taiwan’s air space nearly 100 times and Chinese warships entered Taiwan’s territorial waters almost 50 times. Chinese military forces completely surrounded the island as part of the simulated full-scale invasion.

Taiwan scrambled jets and put missile, naval and land units on alert during China’s training. Taiwan’s President William Lai, has been called a ‘ dangerous troublemaker’ by Beijing. China also stressed in a statement that Taiwan is an “inalienable” part of China’s territory.

And for the record…this was China’s largest ever exercise of this type.

So now you know…it is only a matter of time until China makes its real move against Taiwan. And if we make a military move to defend Taiwan…all hell will break loose. Not only would we lose another war…the world might turn to ash.

Pray…


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US Senators say ATF weren’t wearing cameras when they killed Malinowski.

  • I read an article that says none of the ATF agents who raided Malinowski’s home wore body cameras. So now what? BTW you nailed this situation!

The articles you are referring to was based on both US Senators from Arkansas stating that fact publicly in a joint statement. They were given that information from the Department of Justice. So let me turn this around on you…

Why do you think that out of all of the ATF raiding party not a single one of them was wearing a body camera that recorded Malinowski allegedly opening fire on them and the ATF returning fire killing him with a bullet to the head?

Follow it up with this one…How could none of the 20 – 40 man highly armed, highly trained, totally professional ATF operators not have a body camera on? Not a single one of them remembering clearly that it is an ATF policy for 2 years now that they must wear body cameras for such an operation.

We good so far?

Now here we go…

  • Do you think that any of those involved in killing Malinowski will face charges for his death…or even an actual legitimate investigation?
  • Do you think all/any of those ATF operators will face disciplinary actions for clearly and intentionally violating a strict ATF policy on body cameras?
  • Do you think all/any of those ATF operators will get promoted and performance bonuses this year?
  • Do you think that maybe, just maybe, the DOJ will cover for the ATF actions and policy violations?
  • Why do you think the DOJ would do something like that cover-up?

Let me get flip for a moment…Why did you ask me a question you already know the answer to? And yes, I know that you can answer the questions that I posed as well.

And I “nailed it” because we all know how these unconstitutional federal law enforcement agencies work in this day and age…it is clear as a bell to anyone with eyes to see and ears to hear. Or…they wouldn’t act this way now would they? And we wouldn’t have a bunch of dead US citizens laying around would we?


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Can the US be saved…Why not?

  • In a previous post you were asked ‘Can the US be saved?’ I read your answer. It was incomplete. Why not?

There are three major insurmountable obstacles to America being saved.

#1 – Debt. Never in the history of the world has any empire using fiat currency and implementing modern monetary theory (MMT) ever been “saved”…they have ALL fallen. Just to be clear, the US is an “empire” by definition. The debt the US has accumulated cannot be sustained, which is modern monetary theory. Debt will crash the US Empire, that is an indisputable fact, and proven by thousands of years of history…the US will be no different.

#2 – The invasion of illegal immigrants. Illegal immigrants now make up approximately 15% of the population of the US. The extreme danger involved is the majority of the illegals are criminals before they cross our border, and all are criminals for crossing our border illegally. The chaos, crime, and financial impact cannot be overcome. It is past the tipping point, it is now on an exponential curve to destruction. And no, US citizens do not have the stomach to deport all of the illegals. Hell, we don’t have the stomach to depart just all the harden criminal illegals.

#3 – Political Parties. George Washington warned us against political parties, specifically a 2-party system, just over 200 years ago. And he was exactly right! The problem is, as Washington pointed out, a political party is simply interested in getting into, and staying in, power. In the US we are stuck in a death spiral with the Democrats and Republicans. Neither party does a damn thing to actually improve the country as per the Constitution…as in rights, freedoms, and liberties. Both parties are war-mongering, both parties can’t control their spending, both parties are tied into the military-industrial complex, both parties are corrupt….both parties are destroying our country. And that is a simple, indisputable fact. So, as long as we are stuck with, and vote within, a 2-party system there is no saving the US from destruction.

There is a fourth reason out there, vague to be sure…kinda lurking in the shadows. It is easy to see, hard to adequately describe, and vehemently debated when brought up. The dark horse to America not being able to be saved is the accelerating rise of authoritarianism in the US. And it is coming from not just from the deepstate, but also from both parties. And remember this…in the entire history of the world, in the totality of mankind, authoritarians have never given up power willingly.

FYI…”Empire” is described as being a major political unit having a territory of great extent or a number of territories or peoples under a single sovereign authority. The US covers a huge territory consisting of political units such as states (50), territories (11), and one district. The “single sovereign authority” is the federal government. So the US is by definition an “empire”.


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Malinowski and the ATF follow-up question…

  • I read your article on Malinowski and the ATF. Pretty much spot on from what I can tell. Why do you think the ATF is like that and what do you think there opinion of you and your article is?

Well, two questions but they go to the same issue…mindset. Let me hit on that which answers both your questions.

ATF personnel are true believers. They think the are serving the Constitution, they see themselves as heroes. They are convinced that they are striving to keep America safe against the bad guys. It starts with their initial training…their boot camp if you will.

Think about this…do you for a minute think they ever bring up the subject that the ATF as a federal government agency isn’t authorized in the Constitution? Of course not. To the contrary, I am sure the recruits hear repeatedly how great their agency is, how rich their agency history is, how much the ATF serves the American people, and the country is safer for their existence.

The precursor of the ATF was formed in 1886 as the “Revenue Laboratory” more commonly referred to as revenuers or “revenoors”. Basically, collecting tax revenue and/or smashing unregistered liquor producing stills. In 1968, with the passage of the Gun Control Act, they became what we know as the ATF. Raising money through “tax stamps” and licensing.

So here is the fact of the matter…the Gun Control Act of 1968 is in direct violation of the 2nd Amendment. And based on that unconstitutional law the ATF was reformed to enforce the infringement of people’s gun rights. I wonder if they ever teach that in the ATF school?

Let’s recap a couple things…the major gun laws that have destroyed the 2nd Amendment…

First, in 1934 there was The National Firearms Act (NFA) pushed through by Progressive/Democrat President Franklin Delano Roosevelt.

Second, in 1938 the The Federal Firearms Act (FFA). Also pushed through by Progressive/Democrat President Franklin Delano Roosevelt.

Third, in 1968 there was the Gun Control Act, pushed through by Democrat President Lyndon B. Johnson.

Notice a trend there…one was a Progressive/Democrat who was clearly an authoritarian and often considered a closet socialist. The other was also a Democrat and without any question an authoritarian. Do you find any of that interesting?

So, let’s wrap this up…I am sure any ATF personnel that read my article think I am a whack job at best, maybe a bit of an idealist, and possibly a marginal threat. They would immediately dismiss my statement that the ATF is not authorized in the Constitution as pure hooey, the ravings of some right-wing backwoods hillbilly radical.

Have you ever heard of “group think” or the “hive culture”? In either situation individuals mostly lose the ability to think for themselves…and to makes matters worse…they don’t even know it.

So let’s touch on one more thing…$money$. An ATF field agent can earn between $85k – $115k per year…BEFORE any locality pay, overtime pay, law enforcement “offset”, etc.. So add to their base pay another $25k – $35k for those niceties. Oh wait…there is an incredible health insurance program and pension program. For health insurance add in another $12k – $18k per year. And for pension add in $26k – $34k per year. So now you are looking at an annual salary of somewhere around $148k – $202,000 per year when all is said and done. Not bad, eh?

Well now, let’s talk the average person in the USA…they make approximately $41k per year. So the average ATF agents are making almost 4 to 5 times the average American. Whoa…sweet, eh?

Oh, I forgot to mention…if an ATF agent retires after 30 years of service they are bringing in about $76k – $103k per year in pension money…for the rest of their lives!

So is the money a huge motivation to join the ATF…and to go along with the program regardless of any moral or ethical issues?

As for my article…there is no way they would put any credibility to it at all. Coz if they did…think of that nice fat paycheck they would be jeopardizing. And that is also food for thought when it comes to wondering why there are virtually no ATF “whistleblowers” coming forward. Actually, I can’t think of a single one.

Doesn’t life get interesting when a person has the courage to stop and truly and honestly think through issues?


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Can the US be saved?

  • Can the US be saved?

Well, that depends. Why? Because it is a relative question. Relative to “saved” to what point in time, and how do you described “saved”.

So I would describe “saved” meaning restoring rights, liberties, and freedoms back to the “we the people”. What “rights, liberties, and freedoms” am I talking about? The ones outlined in the Constitution and the Bill of Rights, along with the intentions of the Founding Fathers. Basically moving power back to the people and away from government…as the Founders envisioned.

As to what point in time…compared to when I was a kid, the US is long lost…and I mean by a long shot. Compared to pre-9/11 the country is already lost as well. Who do you see that could take the reins of government and return it to its Constitutional foundation?

As far as I can see…no one. Maybe you think differently but I can’t see a single person that has a desire to restore the Constitution and return the government to its very restricted and limited place. Do you see anyone?

And even if you could name one…do you think the deep state, the bureaucrats, the elites, the globalists, or the rich would allow them to do that? Of course not, they aren’t going to give up their power at all…not a single one of them. So no one has a chance to restore even if someone had the desire.

So let’s ask the question again…Can the US be saved? Yes.

However, there is only a single way that the US can be saved in any definition of the word. And that is through divine intervention…period.

So now ask the questions…Could it happen vs will it happen? And if it would happen…Why?


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 2009 - 2024 Copyright © AHTrimble.com ~ All rights reserved
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Why haven’t you written about the ATF killing Malinowski?

  • Why haven’t you written about the ATF killing Malinowski?

Should I have to? It’s pretty clear what happened and why. Well, to anyone who understands the big picture…as well as the details.

Let’s talk about this in a realistic, honest, clear, and logical manner. No government propaganda and no conspiracy theory tinfoil hat hooey. Just talk about facts based on information that is current and pretty well documented.

Here is what we know about Bryan Malinowski:

  1. Malinowski was a public official, well-known, well-respected, high-profile member of the community with no criminal record of any kind.
  2. He was suspected by the ATF of selling 150 +/- guns over an approximately 3-year period.
  3. Allegedly, six of those guns were suspected of being used in a crime by the person he sold them to.
  4. 3 – 5 of the “crimes” were marijuana possession.
  5. Allegedly, three of those gun sales were to undercover law enforcement officers.
  6. None of the sales were identified as actually being “illegal”.
  7. Allegedly, paperwork on some (number unknown) of the guns that were sold were initially identified by Malinowski for personal use and not for resale. Note: There is nothing under current law that prevents a person from changing their mind and later selling a gun.

The law covering #7 states “…purchase of firearms for the purpose of resale for livelihood and profit without a Federal firearms license is a violation of Federal law.” Since Malinowski had a well-paying job (livelihood) providing a comfortable living there is no violation since he wasn’t doing it for “livelihood” and there is no indication that he made a “profit” on any sale. Hence, no violation was committed and none documented by ATF on the search warrant or any other court document…according to the law.

Here’s what we know about the search warrant:

  • There was no description of any crime committed by Malinowski only a suspicion of potential crime(s).
  • The “warrant” was to search for evidence since the ATF didn’t have sufficient evidence to show any criminal activity had already been committed.
  • There was no “arrest” warrant which means they had no evidence to even indicate a reasonable suspicion that Malinowski had actually committed a crime.
  • It was executed before dawn when the ATF knew Malinowski would be asleep.
  • There is no evidence whatsoever that the ATF SWAT team announced their presence; making this a “no-knock” warrant.

So here are the questions:

  • If the ATF considered Malinowski a criminal and selling guns illegally, why was there no arrest warrant for criminal activity?
  • If this was only a search warrant why not have it executed during the day, with regular agents announcing themselves and then working through the search with Malinowski? You know, simply ask him about the sales and did he have paperwork to back up the sales…reasonable actions to a normal and reasonable person.
  • Why the necessity of a 20 – 40 man highly armed military operation in a civilian neighborhood?
  • If a “no-knock” warrant was considered vital, why? Was Malinowski that extremely dangerous? There is ZERO evidence that this was the case.
  • If he was that dangerous, why was there no arrest warrant as well?
  • Why has no ATF video released showing the raid?
  • Why did the ATF agents disable the home’s video camera prior to breaking through the door?
  • Has the ATF identified the agent shot and confirmed he was shot by Malinowski or “friendly fire”?
  • How did the ATF personnel manage to shoot him directly in the head during a supposed “gunfight”? Actually, how many times was Malinowski shot and where?

So here are a couple of thoughts:

  • Executing a pre-dawn military operation while people are still asleep is to gain maximum surprise making it far easier to kill the enemy. That is a well-known military tactic, especially for US special forces.
  • The ATF knew Malinowski would be asleep.
  • The ATF knows that any normal person who owns guns would have one ready to defend their home and family against break-ins or home invasions.
  • The ATF knew Malinowski would defend his home and family against home invasions.

And finally let’s touch on a couple of issues:

  • Brian Malinowski had not been charged with any crime, no arrest warrant had been issued.
  • There is no evidence that any gun sale was illegal, only alleged, and without any evidence to support the allegation.
  • There is no indication whatsoever that Malinowski was prone to violence, had ever committed any violence, or would commit any violence.
  • The laws that the ATF were attempting to gather evidence on from Malinowski are all violating the Second Amendment since the amendment states “…shall not be infringed.” There is no wording that allows for excluding buying and/or selling of arms in the amendment. The US Constitution is a negative rights constitution, meaning that if the right isn’t stated, then the government doesn’t have it. So there is NO authorization in the US Constitution for the federal government to infringe on a citizens gun rights.
  • The US Constitution does not authorize any agency such as the ATF. Therefore, the ATF is, in and of itself, an unconstitutional government agency with no right to even exist.

So let’s carry this out logically, pure and simple, no bullshit involved:

  • The US Constitution doesn’t allow for laws to be written infringing on a citizen’s gun rights. So the law(s) Malinowski supposedly violated are invalid.
  • The judge that authorized the no-knock raid violated Malinowski’s 4th Amendment rights. So the warrant was illegally authorized.
  • The agency (ATF) that conducted the raid is not a legally established agency under the US Constitution.

So, if the anti-gun law isn’t Constitutional, and if the people carrying out the raid aren’t legally representing the US government, and the warrant was issued contrary to the 4th Amendment…then who is at fault for Malinowski being dead?

But, let’s look at this in an entirely different light for just a moment.

It is clear, proof positive, that the US federal government is anti-gun; absolutely all in on that. All governments that are anti-gun are authoritarian in nature. All authoritarian governments fear losing power over their citizens. Governments’ primary means of controlling citizens is by fear…fear of violating the law, fear of being fined, fear of being put in prison, fear of being killed, even fear of just being spotlighted by the government.

So why would the ATF kill Malinowski? Well to answer that one, consider…

Why did the FBI kill Craig Deleeuw Robertson, an invalid, a handicapped senior citizen with no criminal record and no ability to carry out any kind of violent crime?

Why did the ATF/FBI kill Randy Weaver’s wife and child?

Why did the ATF/FBI burn nearly 80 people alive in Waco?

Amazingly, in every situation the ATF/FBI always maintains that the person/people targeted fired first. And yet, they have failed to ever provide proof of such, or failed to show that people were simply defending themselves against armed attackers who were unknown and unidentified?

Would it be realistic to say that we have some very psychotic and dangerous…potentially evil/demonic…killers working for the FBI and ATF?

If not, then why raid a person’s home with a no-knock warrant, by complete surprise, military-style raids by lots of heavily armed men who readily and willingly kill US citizens at the drop of a hat?

I guess then you might have a lot of reason to pose this question…

Is this what happens when you have an authoritarian federal government create agencies that are not authorized in the Constitution trying enforce laws that are in direct violation of that same Constitution?

Maybe all this about messaging? Ever read the book, or see the movie, “1984”? Maybe the answer to all of this can be found there.

Please pray! Pray for softened hearts and open minds. Pray for kindness and compassion. Pray for justice and mercy. Pray for calm. Pray for peace.


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 2009 - 2024 Copyright © AHTrimble.com ~ All rights reserved
No reproduction or other use of this content 
without expressed written permission from AHTrimble.com
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