Yesterday Iran attacked Israel…and failed miserably. Iran was unable to accomplish any notable damage of significance. The only serious injury was a young child that was hit by shrapnel from an Iron Dome interceptor missile. Reportedly an Israeli airbase was hit but with little damage and no serious injuries. Iran failed in any military objective…except…
If I was Iranian military leadership and conducting an After Action Report (AAR) I would be embarrassed more than anything…unless…
From strictly a military perspective, last year’s October attack on Israel by Hamas was thousands of times more effective. But what does that have to do with yesterday’s drone and missile attack? Everything!
There is a lesson learned here for Iran…conventional warfare tactics won’t work against Israel.
Iran fired over 100 missiles and drones at Israel, including ballistic missiles. Not a single one made any real impact on any military or civilian target. Further, it showcased two things; 1) Israeli Iron Dome and Air Force can very effectively defend against such an attack, 2) It showed that countries can and will work together to defend Israel (i.e. Jordan and the US).
I am estimating that Iran spent somewhere in the neighborhood of $10,000,000 dollars yesterday in the attack. But it was a minimal price to pay for the lesson that they learned. And the $10,000,000 was probably reimbursed by either Obama or Biden’s cash payments over the last 15 years.
So what is next?
If Israel responds as history predicts and rhetoric sounds like at this point…Israel will strike out at Iran directly or at their proxies; maybe both. But they don’t need to.
Israel humiliated Iran yesterday…period. Everyone around the world, with any brain cells, can look at this attack as a complete and total failure on the part of Iran. It diminishes Iran’s political, diplomatic, and military power exponentially. It shows that they are a second rate military power (at best) with no ability to go head-to-head with Israel’s military. Humiliating for Iran!
If I was Israel I would play the diplomatic side of this…the “high road”. I would release a couple well-worded statements subtly insulting Iran’s capabilities, their weakness, their leadership, and showing Iran to be a bully that was disposed of quite easily.
At this point there is no effectual reason to strike back at Iran militarily. Israel has shown it can’t be bullied by a second rate military power…a tiger with no teeth or claws. If I was Israel I would concentrate on preparing to defend against another October 7th type attack…or some other unconventional attack.
Now here is the important part of all of this…
Beware of those calling for an attack against Iran, especially a joint operation.
This is the desire of ‘hawks’, ‘war-mongers’, those in the world’s military-industrial complex that would profit by yet another war in the world, or those simply confused in the difference between war and peace. Those calling for a military response strike against Iran only want to see destruction and death…they do NOT want peace in the world.
And ask the question, “Why don’t they want peace?”
Think that one through for a while and you will see how the world is divided right now.
While your at it ask another question, “Do you honestly think that Iran thought they could get many, if any, of their drones and missiles through Israel’s defenses? So what might have been Iran’s real objective from that attack?”
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