SitRep – 03/26/2020

This SitRep has taken me four days to write. I had a lot of thoughts to get put down in writing, a lot of research to do, and facts to verify; so there is some time delay involved in some of my information. More than anything, I wanted this SitRep to be as spot-on as possible, logical, fact-based, and informative…maybe even predictive. You be the judge.

Note: please forgive the sputtering, I’ve been adding and subtracting to this article for four days, it might be a little jerky in style.

 

Questions at the Beginning –
  • Why such an aggressive response from state governments to COVID-19 vs. other health scares?
  • How far would the federal government go in their response?
  • What would happen to the stock markets and economy in general, and what would the response be to those two issues?
  • What would be the response from the nefarious powers that be?
  • Is there a diabolical origin to this?
Aggressive Response to COVID-19

One of the first questions that popped into my head weeks ago was…Why such an aggressive response from state governments to COVID-19 vs. other health scares? I am talking about a long list of so-called health emergencies; situations such as the Bird Flu, Swine Flu, MERS, SARS, and others in the last 20 years. I couldn’t answer that question, there just didn’t seem to be a logical answer.

The next questions came in rapid succession:

  • How far would the federal government go in their response?
  • What would happen to the stock markets and economy in general, and what would the response be to those two issues?
  • What would be the response from the nefarious powers that be?
  • Is there a diabolical origin to this?

Notice a missing question? Yeah, pretty obvious if you think about it…How bad would the health aspect of this be?

So let me take that last question first to get that out of the way. Originally I didn’t ask that question at all because we have historical perspective to fall back on to get a pretty good idea of the answer. And that answer, for me anyways, was simple…”not too bad.” How bad is “not too bad”? Well, not as bad as the regular flu season and maybe not even as bad at the last dozen or so health scares such as Bird Flu, Swine Flu, MERS, and SARS; at least not much worse. But again, nowhere near the deaths of a regular flu season… at least that is what all the facts and figures point to as of now.

And let’s review…as of right now we have a number of COVID-19 treatment protocols, one of which treats folks on an outpatient basis that has a 100% non-hospitalization rate, and a 0% mortality rate. And this treatment protocol uses commonly available drugs…some of which have been around for 75 years. There are other protocols as well that have already proven highly effective in curing the disease after a person has become infected. So we know for a fact that the medical community has the ability to beat COVID-19 quite handily. And a final reality check…as of now, deaths in the US from COVID-19 represents 2% of the number of people killed in the US from our current regular flu season. Yes, 2%! Worldwide the deaths from COVID-19 represent 2.6% of the deaths from a regular flu season. Yes, only 2.6%! So COVID-19 is not as deadly as the regular flu season…and that is a FACT!

Notice a pattern with those FACTS? And they are facts, not guesses or estimates of potential mortality…actual factual hard numbers.

Now, let’s go back to the remaining questions, but to do so I will go about it in a bit of an unorthodox fashion. I want to go about it in a more narrative way rather than simple Q&A.

Is there a diabolical origin to this?

First off, I am finding no conclusive evidence that this is a bio-weapon unleashed by any country against any other country. China specifically is on an all-out propaganda campaign trying to convince the world, or at least its own citizens, that the US Army attacked China with COVID-19. So no, I don’t believe we are at war with a bio-weapon. Do I believe the CIA is capable of it? Yes, they have the complete lack of morals, ethics, and scruples to do any imaginable evil…they’ve proven that by their long history of infamous and evil acts…but I don’t see their hand in this.

At the same time I don’t see any “diabolical origin” in regards to COVID-19. I don’t see some mad scientist somewhere designing COVID-19 for use by the Bilderberg Group, the Trilateral Commission, or even the nefarious Democrat Party

So in my mind I’ve answered a number of questions that I had posed, but some questions still exist…and those are the important ones.

Why such an aggressive response from state governments to COVID-19 vs. other health scares?

The state governments have no choice but to react to the COVID-19 situation the way they have since it is affecting them at the local level. No city or county has the resources to handle a health situation such as COVID-19 by themselves. And realistically, the whole emergency response system is designed to have the state governments step in and assist the local governments. So state governments have the responsibility to be the second major line of assistance in the emergency incident response system.  And their response has been in direct proportion to the perceived magnitude of the threat. And they will continue to follow their previously developed action plan with minor modifications for the specifics of COVID-19. And the most vocal “experts” have been claiming an Armageddon Apocalypse from COVID-19…so most of the states are basing their actions on those claims. Well, that and the outcry from their constituents.

One area that falls within the bounds of “state level” governments are cities and counties. Why? Because they technically fall directly under the control of the state from a jurisdictional perspective. Why am I concerned about cities and counties? Well, within the last couple of weeks the mayor of New Orleans banned the sale of all weapons. Remember New Orleans was the same city that illegally ordered the same thing back during hurricane Katrina. Then they illegally ordered the confiscation of guns. And then illegally “disposed” of those guns in the Gulf of Mexico. Pretty bad eh?

But, just recently the Sheriff of Los Angeles County declared gun stores “non-essential businesses” and ordered them closed. What????  Yup, a Sheriff, a sole individual, imposed his personal will on 10Million people and an untold number of privately owned businesses. How does that sit with you?

That is just one aspect of declarations of emergencies and the powers that is gives to governments…and the power a lone individual in government can wield. How far are these radical authoritarians willing to go? And this is just on a local, county, state level.

What would happen to the stock markets and economy in general, and what would the response be to that?

I was blindsided by the depth of the “dip” of the stock markets. I never expected that a health scare such as COVID-19 would affect the stock markets as it has. There is no logical reason for it and no historical precedent for it. The stock market has lost of 30% since the beginning of the year (approximate timeframe of the first case of COVID-19 in the US). -30% is a huge loss! Although the good news…if the opening bell Wednesday matches the futures indicators and added to the highs from Tuesday we could be looking at a 7% bounce back in the stock market in one day. Well, as of the end of the day Wednesday the market ran up over 15% at one point. But don’t expect that to hold, the markets are going to fluctuate widely for a while…history shows they will come back quite nicely.

Gross Domestic Product (GDP), which normally grows at about 1 – 4% per year, appears will hit significant negative territory this year…as much as -24% according to some experts. That would be a huge contraction in the economy but in-line with a large stock market devaluation.

Unemployment is expected to rise significantly as well. Again, some experts are saying an unemployment rate of 30%. The highest unemployment rate during the Great Depression was 25%. So some experts are predicting an employment situation rivaling, perhaps surpassing, the Great Depression. Before you slit your wrists remember one BIG difference…the USA has many, many more economic safety nets in-place for US citizens now compared to 90 years ago.

And on another related note…many companies are talking about hiring thousands and thousands of new employees. While that may sound as if it will blunt the pain of the lost jobs, remember this…a lot of those new jobs will be Walmart, pizza/food delivery, Amazon, etc. And at this point we have no accurate statistical way to determine who will lose their job as compared to those that will gain employment. My best guess…those who lose their job at Boeing won’t find an equivalent paying job at Walmart. Also, average income will take a hit, as well as average per hour wage will go down.

How far would the federal government go in their response?

We don’t know that answer to that question entirely. But, we do know to what lengths they are willing to go economically right now…which is a good indicator of what the future holds.

There are multiple relief packages being discussed in Washington. Anywhere from $1Trillion to over $2Trillion of direct aid to businesses and individuals…that is unheard of and unprecedented in the history of the United States. And the powers in Washington are saying that is just the “initial” economic relief package…more would be forth coming. I could see the next relief package, say 30 – 90 days from now, could easily be another $1trillion – $3trillion.

[And a note added Thursday morning: The aid package (White House and Senate) now appears will be approximately $6trillion dollars; $2trillion in direct assistance to citizens, companies, and other organizations (i.e. Kennedy Center), and $4trillion in direct loans to banks from the Federal Reserve. But that could all change when the House gets their claws into it.]

But that is not all of what is going on…the Federal Reserve has been quietly working behind the scenes from the beginning of this crisis. Remember, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is not part of the federal government. The Fed is a private corporation of banks in the United States who act on behalf of the US government. Their mandate is to control interest rates and manipulate the employment rate in the US. So what has the Fed been up to?

Banks – The Fed eliminated the requirement of banks to keep a cash reserve on hand. Why? Because they’ve instructed banks to buy stocks and bonds. Freeing up those cash reserves allows the banks to make those purchases in a big way.

Stock Market – The Fed has been buying stocks at an incredible rate…into the trillions of dollars of stocks. And the banks, at the direction of the Fed, have put tens of billions more dollars in stocks. That is the only reason the stock market has not completely crashed from the COVID-19 panic.

Municipal Bonds – There is no market for municipal bonds right now. Those are the debt obligations of cities (in other words, loans to cities). To help ease that market and prevent a crash there, the Fed and banks have stepped in and buying those municipal bonds as well.

Treasury Bills (T-Notes) – An interesting note, a VERY serious one, at the latest Treasurer Bill (T-Bill) sale which took place late last week…no bids were received from any private purchaser of the US government notes. Yup! Not a single buyer of US Treasury Bills!!! So what happened? To prevent a collapse of that market the Fed stepped in and purchased all of them.

So how does that work?

The Fed has the ability to create money digitally. That means they go to the keyboard and type in a few commands and “Poof!” they now have $1Trillion in their bank account thanks to a computer program. Now they go to the T-Bill sale and buy them all up and transfer their newly digitally created money to the US Treasury Department bank account. Now the US Treasury Department has money to pay its bills. Nice huh!

Well, until you think the process through. What is behind the digital dollars that the Fed created? It’s a debt obligation from the US government. Yeah, the Fed creates money that they can obligate the US government to repay. And then with that newly created money they buy US government T-Bills. And those T-Bills gives the US Treasury Department money in their bank account. What? Yeah, and behind the scenes the Fed actually borrowed the newly created money, money that they created, from the US government. So in the purest sense of the word…the US government lent itself money by creating money…using the Federal Reserve to borrow from itself. The process is known as “monetization”.

The Fed records are secret, not even the US government has the right to see the Fed accounting books. But, the Fed itself has publicly admitted to pouring trillions of dollars into the stock market and hundreds of billions into the bond markets…so far. What is truly freighting…they have said they will pour unlimited funds into the stock markets, the bond markets, and T-Bill market. That might sound good on the surface…but every dollar (or trillion dollars) they pour into the stock market and economy is ALL debt of the US government…and that means debt obligations of you and me. Now how does that sound?

Individuals – One on the glaring facts to come out of this COVID-19 mess is how badly the individual, or family, is prepared to deal with a financial emergency. We know that prior to the crisis most Americans didn’t even have $1,000 in savings to respond to emergencies.  Almost half of Americans didn’t even have $400 on hand for emergencies. That is amazing…and disheartening. So the result has been simple…many Americans have tapped their savings dry, many more have gone into debt to deal with the COVID-19 crisis. How many Americans have done this, how much of their savings has been wiped out, and how far into debt we’ve gone is unknown at this time. But, all indicators point to it’s bad, very bad.

By itself the economic numbers could be dealt with by individuals and absorbed into the economic crisis generally speaking. But, the spin-off is three-fold…1) the crisis is still fairly young and we have no idea how much worse those numbers will get, 2) people will begin, have begun, to find they can’t make other debt and financial obligations such as mortgages, car payments, utility bills, etc. 3) the actions the federal government does/doesn’t take to off-set the economic impact of defaulting consumer debt. The impact from #2 could be devastating to the commercial lending industry. The debt created by the federal government and the Federal Reserve to relieve the impact to individuals and the commercial industry could be enormous…hundreds of billions of dollars, possibly trillions of dollars. And it is all dependent on #1 which final numbers are entirely unknown at this time.

US Postal Service (USPS) – What? Yeah, did you ever figure this would be a problem? So let’s lay out a couple things first…the USPS is not a government agency, it is a corporation that operates on behalf of the US government. It has never been “efficient” and never was designed for such. It has been in financial trouble (i.e. the verge of bankruptcy) for decades. It survives only on loans from the federal government. But, the problems here are also potentially staggering; 1) what happens when postal workers begin to come down with the virus, think they have it, or simply want to self-isolate? 2) What happens when all those bills that are supposed to be delivered aren’t? 3) What happens when someone starts talking about what surfaces the virus can exist on and for how long? Yeah, it is estimated that the virus can exist for two weeks on some surfaces…does that include paper…as in paper envelopes? 4) What happens when someone starts talking about postal carriers who test positive for the virus, or haven’t been tested, are spreading the virus to each household they come in contact with?  One article I read stated that the economic impact from a USPS bankruptcy, or any other related problem, could almost cripple the nation by itself depending on the depth and duration of the problem.

Other countries – There are some reports beginning to trickle out that there are countries that are looking at this situation and feel it will be to their advantage to hoard their own locally produced food and other trade products within their own borders for their own use.  We can survive without food from other countries, for the most part. We can do without their trade goods, for the most part. The bigger question is…what does it do to the world economy in the near-term and how does that affect us? I would also propose this…the longer those potential hoarding problems exist, the harder it will be to return to a state of trade normalcy. And then there is the question…what does the federal government do in response to any particular country holding back food and other trade goods?

So far we just touched on how far the federal government (and the Fed) will go in their response to the COVID-19 panic. But just how far would the federal government go in their response in areas other than economy?

Well, we have all heard/read about the various declarations of emergencies, issuing Executive Orders (EOs), and such. But do you understand the depth of what those orders mean? President Trump has already issued enough declarations and EOs to essentially suspend many Constitutional rights, liberties, and freedoms. Have at least some of those drastic suspensions taken place as of now? Yes. But, the power is there to do much, much more so should the government wish.

To that point…just late last week the Department of Justice submitted a request to Congress to allow the suspension of Due Process (right to trial, habeas corpus, etc.) for Federal District Courts. Simply put…the federal government is already taking actions to suspend some of the most basic Constitutional rights of US citizens. Can you imagine anything worse? Well, I can…martial law. Now hear me clearly, we are NOT there…NO martial law has been declared. And I don’t see President Trump being the kind of person to implement such a thing based on the COVID-19 panic alone.

Where are the politics in all of this?

Simple for the Republicans in Congress…push money out to the economy to save the economy…and create massive debts (trillions of dollars) for the US government on top of the already massive national debt.

For the Democrats it is a little more sinister. A leading Democrat in Congress made a statement in a Democrat strategy session held last Sunday night. That statement, his own words, says it all for the Democrats…use this crisis to push the radical leftist agenda forward…or crash the economy.

The politics could not be any more plain…both parties want to increase an already unsustainable debt load for our country. Both strategies will crash the economic system of the United States. The only difference…the Republicans want short-term gains with a long-term disaster. The Democrats want a short-term leftist gain with a long-term disaster. Both see the long-term disaster…and embrace it! And that “disaster” is eventual implementation of totalitarianism.

I can’t help but think about the “Cloward–Piven Strategy”…crash the US economy in order to establish a radical system of Communist/Socialist/Marxist principles which leads to a totalitarian government here in the United States. It appears to be working, being further implemented, and completely supported by the Federal Reserve actions…and that of the US Congress.

War –

In an Immediate Action Warning on 3/14/2020 I warned you of the potential of violence. In a SitRep on 3/18/2020 I spoke about the potential for war. Later on the 18th of March President Trump referred to himself as a “war-time President.” He also used the phrase, “…developments in our war against the Chinese virus…”. In the following days we began to hear the media and medical experts use the term “war” more and more. To the point…now the term “war” in regards to COVID-19 is commonplace. Where does it take us from here?

While not the context in which I used the term “war” it is representative of a clear mindset and I believe just as clear a predictor of where we are headed in the context that I used it. I surely hope I am wrong, but I see a high probability that I am right. Now, I am not saying it is a certainty…but the probability is higher now, and growing.

One of the indicators I saw in just the last few days of increasing violence and the potential for it to get worse was the theft of 29 COVID-19 unused test kits in Tucson, AZ. That tells me that the criminal element has now seized on this crisis and has every intention to use it. So where are those boundaries, if any, and will they fall completely?

Bottom Line…

We know that there is at least one 100% successful COVID-19 treatment plan with common drugs out there that can be used on an out-patient basis. We know there are very successful treatment plans out there for hospitalized COVID-19 patients…proven plans, again, with common drugs that have been available for 75 years. We have right now multiple vaccines that are being tested, and are proving highly effective against COVID-19. And we know that most people, by a large margin, who contract the virus never need hospitalization. And we know that COVOD-19 is NOT as deadly or as widespread as a regular flu season event. So why such an aggressive response by countries around the world, including the United States?

Remember the words of Rahm Emanuel (radical leftist) some years ago…”Never let a good crisis go to waste”? Now couple that statement to Rep. Clyburn’s statement just days ago about using this crisis to push the radical leftist agenda forward. We see exactly what the politicians have in mind. But, does it allow us a window into a much larger story? Yes!

The Democrat Party is a mere extension of the radical left…the world-wide radical left, the international Progressive movement in general. Power players such as Soros are at work taking full advantage of the situation just as Rahm stated. Just to restate…I see no conclusive or significant evidence indicating that the radicals in this country or anywhere else in the world developed this virus to bring the USA or the world to its knees. But, I am saying clearly and unequivocally that those who wish to implement totalitarianism into the USA and around the world are using this crisis to move that agenda forward.

What? Yes! So ask this question…Why did China go into a virtual lockdown of its country? What could they gain by doing so? They don’t gain money because the lockdown drastically reduces their ability to conduct international trade. And their domestic markets are miniscule compared to their international trade markets. Their domestic markets can’t even begin to absorb the loss of international trade. So what could China gain? I say “power.”

The Chinese government has to be able to control 1.4 billion people who live there. They have gone to great lengths to implement extensive society controls…such as social scores, tracking citizens via cell phones, and wide-spread usage of facial recognition software through millions of cameras located throughout the country. Keeping 1,400,000,000 people content and/or passive is a big job. And in a Communist or other authoritarian society every once in a while you have to show folks who’s boss. But by itself it that strategy doesn’t fully answer the question in my mind.

For about a decade we’ve been hearing publically that China’s goal is to replace the US as the world’s superpower. By that they mean in terms of military power and economic power. Economically they have all but caught up to us. Further, they spread that economic influence around the world overshadowing us in many geopolitical areas. In some countries they’ve completely replaced us in terms of political influence.

Militarily they have been making huge advancements in the quantity and quality of their conventional weapons. While their technology (i.e. smart-bomb guidance systems, etc.) don’t match ours by a substantial margin, they are closing the technology gap.

But their numbers are impressive! The sheer number of Chinese military personnel is staggering…China has double the active duty personnel of the US, 10 times the military reserve personnel, and 4 times more people to draw additional military personnel from. Yeah, their pool of potential military personnel is larger than the population of the entire United States…by a significant number.

In terms of ground equipment, the only category we exceed their number is “armored fighting vehicles” (not tanks). We do handily outpace them in aircraft. But most of those numbers represent aircraft that would be of little use in a conflict on the other side of the world.

The Chinese navy dwarfs our navy in every aspect with the exception of aircraft carriers. But, aircraft carriers make large and inviting targets…and most of our aircraft carriers are located nowhere near China’s are of control/influence. And when China has over 200 destroyers, frigates, corvettes, and submarines defending their hemisphere… a couple carriers and their escorts seem to be somewhat out-gunned.

As for nuclear arsenals…the US has well over 5000 warheads, China is estimated to have almost 300 (exact numbers unknown). Wow!!! We have 16 times more nukes…we win!!!  Ah, it only takes a couple nukes to devastate a country as large as the USA. And who even says any conflict would turn into a nuke exchange to win…or threatened as a deterrent?

OK, my specific point is…China is a power player in the world…even rivaling the US in many ways. But here is one piece of critical information that most Americans don’t know or they easily forget…China thinks in terms of centuries not years or quarters. China was an empire starting about 1600 BC and existed as an empire until 1921…yeah, almost 3600 years of being an empire in the world. Yup, China was an empire 15 times longer than the United States was a country! They have a clear identity, history, and a vision that most Americans can’t even begin to imagine or comprehend. They are willing to do anything to become that world power, that empire, again. And I think another aspect to this virus was their ability to use it to hurt the US…to diminish our power and influence.

Think about it…through the economic spin-off of reduced trade between the US and China and the virus panic itself the US is going to add, at a minimum, $10trillion in national debt. And damages to the US economy, besides the national debt, could easily be trillions more. And since it could potentially cripple the GDP for at least a year, maybe more, that depletes the amount of money that the US can earmark for military spending. Just a thought.

So we see that China could come out on top of all this in terms of increased power…economically and militarily…and in terms of world influence.

I also see that the rich will come out on top…they will buy stocks and bonds at deeply discounted prices and hugely benefit financially when the markets bounce back.

All levels of government in the United States will benefit because they will gain power through enforcement of existing laws and implementation of new legislation.

Some large corporations will gain power and money easily. They will buy back their own stock at deeply discounted prices. They will receive massive economic assistance from the federal government. Some corporations will see significant increases, far beyond normal, in their sales growth and customer acquisition. Many large corporations will absorb customers and entire companies from small businesses that will fold.

So who loses? Simple…the average American.

The average America will go deeper in debt, many will lose their job, some will lose their savings, some will lose their home, others will have their cars repossessed, and many will contract the virus. Of those, some will end up in the hospital, some will die. Some Americans will fight over toilet paper and forget they are supposed to treat other with decency and respect. Many will fall prey to those who have been, and are, promoting fear, panic, and hysteria. There will be a spike in depression and suicides due to those purveyors of fear, panic, and hysteria. Many people will buy things they don’t need, and won’t use, based on the panic generated by those predators.

And let there be no doubt…society will change forever!

As a people we will become more dependent on the government to “save us” and tell us what to do. We will know that in the future they will send us checks…so we will save and prepare less to take care of ourselves and our families. We will lose yet more rights, freedoms, and liberties just as we did in the years after 9/11. The average American will be less powerful and more subservient to companies and the government…more sheeple will be added to the ranks. More wolves will become known and clearly identifiable based on their actions.

Summary –

The outcomes look bleak…and I am a big believer in using “outcomes” as a yardstick to judge situations. By that I mean how something turns out. To judge a situation I don’t use intentions, processes, production, etc. I look at what the environment looks like after the situation is over…the outcome. And as of now…the outcome appears to suck.

As far as I see, here are the negative outcomes:

  • There is a massive transfer of wealth taking place. Trillions of dollars of wealth is being transferred to corporations and the elite rich. It could end up in the tens of trillions of dollars.
  • The US government will take on HUGE amounts of debt, possibly doubling the current national debt by the time it is all over.
  • The Federal Reserve will not act in the best interest of US citizens; it will further empower banking and investment interests.
  • Many small businesses will close their doors.
  • Most large corporations will do very well…at the expense of the US taxpayer.
  • Every level of government will gain strength, power, and influence over people within their jurisdiction.
  • Anti-Constitutional principles will be strengthened, and more planned.
  • People and organizations who were formerly considered Constitutionalists, patriots, well-grounded preppers, will be revealed…and will no longer be considered such. They will be seen as mere sheeple…or wolves who wore sheep’s clothing.
  • Some self-proclaimed Christians will not have behaved as Disciples of Christ.
  • The economy will not be the same, not even close.
  • Society will not be the same.
  • The United States of America will lose more of its identity.
  • International organizations (i.e. WHO) will gain more power and influence.

That being said, I think there will be some positive outcomes:

  • Some well-grounded, informed preppers will see that their emergency preparations worked.
  • Some families will have come closer together.
  • Some citizens will be seen as amazing in their acts of service and compassion.
  • Some communities will have come together and have taken care of each other.
  • Some companies will have done some amazing acts of service and kindness for folks.
  • Some Christians will have truly embraced what it means to be a Disciple of Christ.
  • Some churches will have truly shown they can take care of their flocks.

There is one aspect that I have to touch on…not that I want to…and will probably regret later. But, it has been asked of me more than once and I have pondered that question and come to some conclusions. So here goes…

Yes, I do think there is a possibility that this COVID-19 panic could be a Black Swan event and bring America down. It has already crashed a significant part of the economy. It has already encroached on civil liberties. It has already crashed a high percentage of the stock market. It has already cost the country trillions and trillions of dollars that we didn’t have. We are seeing shortages of some retail goods. And some degree of martial law has sprung up in some localities. So yes, there is a possibility that this is the beginning of an event that brings the fall of America. But, I think that probability is less than 10%.

10% sounds like a very low possibility…and it is. But it is 10times greater than it was three months ago. And the % of possibility could continue to grow as we see more and more draconian actions taking place by local governments. Those local actions could drive the federal government to take more aggressive action. If we see the federal government taking nation-wide unconstitutional actions (i.e. domestic travel restrictions, large quarantine areas, military troops enforcing local quarantines, bank holidays, or martial law declaration, etc.) then the possibility % would increase significantly. Not that those actions themselves would constitute a clear sign that America had fallen, or would fall. But , the resulting  reactions would cause even more draconian federal actions. And those actions would be the ones that would bring us down.

There are two issues that have me most concerned if they develop legs; 1) Congress suspension due to members being sick, potential to get sick, or travel restrictions being implemented, 2) delaying the election in November. Either of those two would be a sign I consider grievous to our country. If both developed…I would go into serious “hunker down” mode. Do I see the possibility of either? Well, yes, but a very low possibility at this time…maybe 2 – 3% probability.

Basically, we are in a situation that this country has never seen. We are flirting with solutions that have never been used to a problem that has never occurred. We have politicians that have never been more ambitious, more degenerate, or with more power to destroy America.

But, we’ve also never had more power as citizens within our grasp. We’ve never been better able to communicate with each other. We’ve never had the technology to deal with any challenge. And personally…I don’t think we’ve had a better quality of people available to take care of each other. And I see you as part of that last group…high-quality people!!!

As people, individuals, families, congregations, and communities we will make it through this crisis…and it is a crisis, make no mistake about it. We can and will take care of each other. We have within our grasp the ability to be the people that history will speak of with the highest respect. All it takes is our effort…our effort as individuals and families. Then bound together, our communities will display their strengths.

I have no idea how to close this SitRep…I really don’t. I’ve already listed in many previous articles what you can be doing now to deal with this situation. Over the years I laid out exactly what to do to prepare for such an event as this. I could give a heartfelt speech about who we are and how to act. But, you are already those people and can figure out how to treat each other…you don’t need me telling you more.

So I will end with this…you can do this, you can survive, you can thrive, you can be the person you know you should be. We can all work together to make it better. Forget the government, forget the politicians, forget the so-called experts, forget those with personal agendas…ignore them all. Do what you know to be right, believe in what you know to be true. Then just go do it!

 

 

2020 Copyright © AHTrimble.com ~ All rights reserved
No reproduction or other use of this content 
without expressed written permission from AHTrimble.com
See Content Use Policy for more information.

SitRep – 03/18/2020

There is so much going on in the world today…it is all moving at light speed and perilous. I want to cover:

  • Economy & Stock Market
  • Politics
  • COVID-19 Panic
  • War

 

 

Economy & Stock Market –

Regardless of what the stock markets look like, it appears as if now that we will have a recession to deal with on top of everything else. Thank you to all of the panic pushers, hysteria hypers, and fear promoters…you win…we now have lost trillions of dollars of value in IRAs, 401Ks, college funds, and senior citizen savings accounts. You must be very proud of yourselves…I am sure your parents are.

Some of the horrible mistakes being made right now are:

  • The Fed has reduced the FedFund rate to near zero. There is no room left if we hit more financial trouble.
  • The Fed has pumped trillions into the markets and the economy since the beginning of the crisis…all of it created out of thin air and added to the overall national debt. Like taking on more water into an already sinking ship.
  • The Fed has also removed cash requirements for banks. Yeah, that means that banks no longer are required to keep any cash in reserve. That is a huge, huge mistake. Banks can now easily run out of cash for people to withdraw. They also now have virtually zero capability to handle any kind of bank run. This is a big red flag.

So, my bottom line…we are in a world of hurt right now! And another single bad economic feather blowing the wrong way could easily topple it all into a depression…or worse.

But that being said, I just bought some more growth mutual fund for our IRA yesterday. It was modest purchase but I bought it after the near 13% drop of the S&P the day before. Stock market history shows what goes down will go up. If not…well, didn’t matter what I bought, the IRA will be gone if it all falls apart anyways. But, hedging my bet has always paid off before.

Politics –

Politics is as bad as it has ever been…and it will get worse. The Republicans and the White House have both put forward economic plans to help ease the pain of the COVID-19 panic. That’s bad enough that the federal government wants to throw us deeper and deeper into debt for a quick fix that has no chance of righting the ship. Not to be outdone…the Democrats have just proposed their own plan. And of course they have to include part of Satan’s top priority…abortion. Yup, the evil left is saying the COVID-19 panic is the perfect time to fund even more abortions. Killing over a million unborn babies a year is a love affair for them…but not near enough.

You have been following the news and you know what political moves are being made and the games being played. All of the politicians are in full operational mode. They will not let this crisis go to waste, they will take advantage of it for their own personal and political party agendas. Virtually every political leader out there is trashing rights, liberties, and freedoms under the pretext of COVID-19 prevention steps. And the truly sad part…almost every single Republican is right there in step with them. And to make it even worse…all these so-called conservatives and patriots out there…well, they are calling for big government, draconian actions, and the suspension of the Constitution principles right along with the radical left. Nice! They talked a good game…then a little breeze comes along and knocks them right off their principle pedestal, they lose their moral compass.

COVID-19 Panic –

It would be absolutely impossible for me to write enough about the fear, hype, panic, and hysteria being generated because of the COVID-19 outbreak. I could write for a year straight and couldn’t cover all the dishonesty, ignorance, personal agendas, commercial agendas, political agendas…all of senseless drivel being thrown out there as fact but in reality is fantasy. Deadly and dishonest fantasy! Let me show you a perfect example…

Remember the Hoax Alert from yesterday about Amazon (click here to read)?  Well, someone confronted the website owner about the headline “misrepresentation”. He did it with respect, openness, and allowing plenty of room for the website owner to correct his “mistake” and save face. So you would think that any normal and reasonable person would admit to their mistake and correct it since it was so obviously wrong. Well, what you expect and what you get in a stressful situation can be quite different. The website owner got very aggressive, attacked the person, and defended his position that he was right…he maintained that suspending shipments was the same as prioritizing shipments. My first reaction was the website owner was being very dishonest, was caught in that dishonesty, and was using a tactic to discredit the other person to reinforce and cover-up his dishonesty. Then the more I thought about it the more I realized that it was irrational behavior, and clearly showed the website owner’s behavior/actions to be those that could only be described as mentally unstable. Unfortunately, it doesn’t stop there. The GroupThink kicked in and supported the website owner…mob mentality at its worse.

And yet it got even worse…Another article on the website was a reprint of an article by Ron Paul (click her to read). Remember, Ron Paul is considered a leading Constitutional expert, liberty advocate, former Congressman, former US Air Force Flight Surgeon, and current medical doctor (obstetrician-gynecologist specialist). So the man has some serious credentials! Earlier this morning I posted an article from him that he published yesterday. It is a patriot’s and prepper’s dream article. Well-reasoned, level-headed, truthful, and factual! So you would think that all preppers would embrace that article, learn from it, and appreciate the mature and level-headed information.

Ahhhhhh, no!

This same troubled website that I have been referring to…well, a top leader of that website came out against the article and called for a FEMA employee, who is also a member of that website, to respond to Ron Paul and to discredit his article. WHAT?!?!?!?!!? Yup, you read it right. Abandon the expert with impeccable credentials in favor of a person purportedly working for FEMA? Yup!

So this FEMA person gets on a rant and trashes Dr. Ron Paul and basically calls him a fraud. And the FEMA employee used the same old tactic of morbidity rates to “prove” that Dr. Paul is wrong. Well, once again, facts are not on their side. The FEMA employee was quoting outdated numbers…and couldn’t even get their math right. They used a .1% (one tenth of 1%) mortality/morbidity rate for the regular flu. Reality is, all accurate reporting of, regular flu season mortality is less than .1%, but for this example let’s stick with .1%.

What would 10 times that amount be? 10 x .1 = 1 to most people who have even the most basic of education in mathematics. Well, this FEMA person claims that 3.4% is 10 times .1% Ah, they flunked that test! One tenth of 3.4% is .34% That is simple, basic math…and they couldn’t even get that right. And they are an “expert”????

Then they go on to claim how much more deadly COVID-19 is. They flunked that math test again as well. See, less than 50 deaths have occurred so far from COVID-19 in the US. But let’s say that is being under-reported by 50% and actually 100 people have died from COVID-19 in the US. Well, regular flu season kills approximately 30,000 people each year. So do the math again…30,000 deaths vs 100 deaths…ask yourself which kills more people? The virus that has already killed 20,000 so far this flu season or the virus that has killed less than 100?

Ah, my math skills and education tells me that the flu virus that has already killed 20,000 people is 200 time more deadly. Is my math off? Or is this FEMA employee ignorant or simply agenda driven…or has joined the irrational mob?

So who are you going to have more faith in…a Nurse Practitioner who supposedly works for FEMA…or an imminently qualified Doctor, former Flight Surgeon, and Constitutional expert? I know my answer, what’s yours?

So, clearly people began implementing Confirmation Bias and dismissed Dr. Paul’s article. Then another website poster in that same thread put up information by an infectious-disease expert showing the FEMA employee to be absolutely wrong and the mortality rate is NOT 3.4%…it is actually .5% or potentially even much lower. And again…the sheep dismiss the qualified infectious-disease expert and embrace the FEMA employee. Do you notice a pattern here? Do you think people have become irrational in their ability to think clearly?

Conclusion…this COVID-19 has become a complete and total mess. Websites out there are posting dishonest information, using unqualified people as so-called experts for opinions vs. actual experts’ opinions. People are embracing government spokesmen when just a few short months ago they feared all things government and derided anything the government said.

In other words…mass panic by sheeple, and those sheeple are those who are being led by those with mental issues, those that are flat out dishonest, or those folks who are just plain ignorant. Typical of mass hysteria, typical of GroupThink, and typical of mob mentality. There is no reasoning with them, they have their mind made up regardless of facts, and lost their ability to use their mind in a positive way. They have only one goal…support and defend their own position…at all costs, including morality, ethics, and basic honesty.

I found this on Lew Rockwell’s website that I felt interesting and appropriate, “Control the masses. Big government is winning. The masses are patrolling the streets and social media enforcing the state’s agenda. And here I feared a SJW-lead Red Guard. Now it’s neighbors haranguing anyone and everyone to fall in line. Interesting times, to say the least.”  Now…Ask yourself, who is advocating what and why? What does the spirit whisper to you when you read something like this? Who is trying to control whom? Who is demanding people “fall in line”?

War –

Yes, you read that right…”War!”

Yesterday I had a number of folks call me to discuss the COVID-19 panic situation. Interesting phone calls to be sure. But, one topic kept coming up in every one of those calls, brought up by the caller…How soon did I think Civil War would start? The question caught me off-guard the first time, but not after that.

I explained that if civil disturbance breaks out over the COVID-19 situation, which it very well could (click here to read more), it could become widespread and could take on the look of a civil war at first glance. But, it wouldn’t be civil war. Why? Because civil war indicates two sides pitted against each other. And any nationwide violent civil disturbance coming out of the COVID-19 panic wouldn’t be two sides fighting each other. It would be brother against brother, neighbor against neighbor, cops vs. rioters, looters vs. business owners, military vs. everyone, rich vs. poor, black vs. white, white vs. white, black vs. black, those with food vs. those without food, etc. It would multi-dimensional, multi-faceted, confusing…and would devolve into tribalism…one tribe against another. It would be vicious and ugly.

And here is the sad part, one of the main “vs.” would be those preppers who panicked over the COVID-19 vs. those preppers who didn’t. Yup, straight up true! Those preppers that are panicking over the COVID-19 are showing they have no solid foundation in Constitutional principles, no grasp on reality, no ability to think clearly, rationally, or use critical thinking skills. Sure, that would make them very dangerous but it would do so in a mental illness kind of way. But, the worst of it…they are showing they are willing to follow anyone, follow even those who now support big government totalitarianism…even those that are mentally unstable. Seriously?

Yes. I saw it in the military, in my professional career, during high-stress environments such as structure fires and wildland fires…even hurricane responses. People in leadership positions who would freak out when the pressure got turned up. Those leaders would act irrationally, lose the ability to think clearly, lose Situational Awareness, promote fear, embrace inaccurate information, etc. I am sure all of you vets, especially combat vets, know exactly what I am talking about…those officers who would fall apart in the field when the first bullet was fired. I saw it time and time again as a firefighter. I am sure you peace officers see the same thing in stressful confrontations…some of your leaders falling apart and who are unable to make decisions that you could have confidence in…or keep you safe. These so-called leaders become emotional and functional jelly under stress.

If we keep on the same path we are on now with this COVID-19 panic, if we keep going down this authoritarian path, if we keep allowing the government to not let this crisis go to waste, if we keep allowing dishonest panic pushers to rule…well, civil disturbance is inevitable. And God help us if it becomes both violent and widespread…it will get ugly and will hurt a lot of people and families in unimaginable ways.

Is that the only threat of war? No, that is only the internal or domestic threat of war.

We saw China’s reaction to all of this. They went all totalitarian on its own citizens (even more so than normal for a Communist country), then moved on to an economic war reducing sales and shipments of goods to the US. Next, they started claiming the US engineered COVID-19 and that the US Army intentionally started the outbreak in China. And of course their close ally Iran jumped on the bandwagon and took up the claim that COVID-19 is a bio-engineered weapon that the US infected Iran with. When does rhetoric become action?

Here is another problem waiting in the shadows to happen…price of oil. Oil slipped below $50 a barrel yesterday. Why is that a big deal? Well, Russia’s economy is almost entirely dependent on oil and natural gas sales. If oil hits $40 a barrel Russia begins to feel a lot of economic pain. If it hits $30 a barrel Russia is hurting big time! If oil hits $20…war is almost assured. Why? At $20 oil the Russian economy would be dying quickly, and along with the economy dying the Russian government would be ready to fall, violently perhaps, due to public unrest. Do you really think Putin would/will allow that? No, of course not. Putin would do the same thing all other leaders do in times of such crisis…go to war. And who would they go to war against…or at least start another proxy war with?

If oil hits lows like I just mentioned, what happens in the Middle East to all of those countries whose economies are 100% dependent on oil? Do you think Iran or the Saudis would stand by and watch the price of oil destroy their countries…or rather destroy their kingdoms? No, of course not.  Who would they strike out against…and how would they do so? You can figure that out pretty easily.

The chance of war, either domestically or internationally, is growing as fast as the COVID-19 outbreak. The most devastating war…a tribal-based, domestic war would be the worst and most dangerous…and most likely to occcur at this particular point looking out on the COVID-19 exponential panic curve.

Summary –

Where do I even begin?

First off…be prepared. And you probably already are if you’ve been coming to this website for even a minimal amount of time.

Next, have accurate Situational Awareness. Reject all fake information, reject panic pushers, reject those who are acting mentally unstable, reject those who support unqualified “experts”, reject all those with personal agendas, reject GroupThink, reject Confirmation Bias, reject mob mentality, and reject being a sheeple. Embrace facts, use common sense, act rationally, live in reality, be mature.

When the time comes, take decisive and appropriate actions based on your situation. Don’t allow others to make decisions for you and your family. Avoid the mentally unstable. Avoid and reject unqualified “experts”.

Reject all extremism. Do not allow yourself to be caught up in those that are acting extremely or expressing extremist views…especially those that have panicked or who are acting irrationally or promoting fear and hysteria over COVID-19.

Take care of each other. Yes, of course take care of your family first…that goes without saying and is scripturally based. But, do NOT exclude others that need help. Share a couple rolls of toilet paper, share your food, share your water, share you medical supplies, share other essentials, share your love and concern, share your life with others. It is the only decent thing to do. Treat others as you want to be treated. If you claim to be a Christian…then act as a disciple of Christ.

Remember, do not panic, do not become hysterical, do not be fearful…be the level-headed, mature person you are. Become a leader that others need…whether it is in your family, the neighborhood, your congregation, or the community. Be a leader with moral character, integrity, maturity, and honesty.

I hate to say this next part…we are seeing the continued destruction of America. We are seeing forces at work that are wreaking havoc with rights, liberties, and freedoms. We are seeing those who we previously thought to be solid patriots and competent preppers fold before our eyes. They are joining, either unintentionally or otherwise, those powers that wish to destroy our country, destroy the Constitution, and destroy all that is good about America. And they are doing so under the guise of this crisis. Avoid walking off the cliff with the sheeple.

Hang in there, trust your training, trust your preps, trust the Lord. You can make it through this if you keep a level head and stay away from those who are trying desperately to manipulate you.

You can do this…stay calm and carry on.

 


Articles that are important and related to the COVID-19 panic:

Additional articles that you might find of interest and valuable:


Ask me a question …

Go back

Your message has been sent


Warning

Warning

Warning

Warning.

 

 

2020 Copyright © AHTrimble.com ~ All rights reserved
No reproduction or other use of this content 
without expressed written permission from AHTrimble.com
See Content Use Policy for more information.

SitRep – 3/15/2020

A number of things have taken place over the last few days that I feel an update to my SitRep – 03/12/2020 and my Immediate Action Warning of 3/13/2020 is warranted. Please indulge me, I would like to cover…

  • Supplies Availability
  • System/People Stressing
  • Emergency Declaration
  • Steps to Consider

 

Supplies Availability –

On Thursday a very good friend of mine called me from Phoenix. He wanted to update me on the situation in Phoenix. Now, this is no regular guy…he is a retired Army NCO, combat vet, wounded in combat, was part of a very high-profile operation a number of years ago that resulted in one of the longest, most intense firefights we’ve seen in modern warfare, and former law enforcement. He currently provides security services in the greater Phoenix area. I am grateful and proud to call him “friend” and “brother”…and truly grateful he has property right next to mine here in the great wilderness of Arizona.

So he tells me that things are getting crazy in the Phoenix area…people are acting stupid, panic buying, and the situation has all the ear-marks of turning ugly at some point. And with a population of over 4million that means it isn’t a good place to be when things get bad.

We were reviewing our strategy for our area here and he was explaining some of his bugout plans and trigger points. But I wanted to know more about the situation there among the people in general. Well, well, well…perfect timing. See, his wife is in law enforcement (so you can understand her reaction), and about an hour earlier she had gone to Walmart to do the weekly shopping. She had just texted him and it was not good. He told me she had found all canned good shelves empty, no beef, no chicken, no paper goods, and people were acting like idiots and being rude. Their carts were full and some people had multiple carts piled high. She was furious. And he forwarded me her last text. Wow!  If I were to reprint it here I would be using a lot of *&#@**^ characters.

OK, put that aside for a minute. We were scheduled to go into town later Friday to do our pre-weekend shopping plus our fuel run. That means a stop at Walmart and/or Safeway, plus the propane dealer, and the fuel depot for gasoline and diesel. I told my wife that in addition to the normal shopping at Walmart, I thought there might be some entertainment value there as well. She wasn’t impressed with my assessment…I have a way with words.

First stop…propane dealer. My buddy who works there told me they had been busy all week long. But, today (meaning Friday) it was slammed busy from the minute they opened…and he was concerned they might run out of propane before they received their next delivery. Normally they close at 4pm on Friday, I got there at 3:45…there was a long line. When I left at almost 4:30 the line was really long, much longer than when I arrived. People were bringing in large numbers of small and large tanks…and I mean lots of them. When I went into the office to pay for my propane the gal who normally works in a back office was alone taking payments at the front counter. She was also answering the phone non-stop. People were begging her to get propane that day. She was telling people that they had every driver and truck out on the road but it would be impossible to get to them before the middle of next week. When she got to me I could tell she was very frazzled. Panic buying! She joked that buying propane was a sure cure for the virus.

So I had to get a 1”x8” board at Lowe’s to finish up trimming one of the windows in the great room at the new house. And was I surprised…late Friday afternoon at Lowe’s and it was virtually empty. No panic buying there!

Next came Walmart. Wife and I talked through the situation, went over our distress word and tactics in case we had to leave the store under a threat. She loves talking about that stuff…not! Once again…I have a way with words…she loves my briefings.  She isn’t feeling real well for a couple of days and I offered to let her stay in the truck, she hates Walmart crowds even in the best of times. She said, “Absolutely not! You wouldn’t have anyone to watch your back.”

Wow! Did I get educated quickly once in Walmart…it was packed with people! And I mean packed tight…people with mostly filled carts in an almost bumper car frenzy. So check this out…

  • The bread isle shelves were empty…bare to the bones with the exception of some English Muffins. Wife remembered some fancy bread back near the door…off she went and a few minutes later a loaf was in our cart…my eyes scanning for anyone attempting a snatch operation.
  • The peanut butter and jelly section stripped bare with the exception of a couple of jars of some fancy organic strawberry jelly. A jar of that went into our cart…hey, I like strawberry jelly.
  • The canned vegetable isle was stripped as well with a few exceptions. A jar of sauerkraut went into the cart. Hey, you can’t have patty melts without sauerkraut! And she had patty melts on the menu for next week. Yum!!!
  • The paper goods isle was stripped. I think they even took the paint off the TP shelving units. While we were walking down the isle towards the candy section a middle aged guy made eye contact with me and smiled…”gonna buy me some paper towels saw em in half with my band saw and make a fortune selling it as toilet paper.” I chuckled…had to. Another Mark Cuban in the making!
  • Candy section was in good shape. And that proves how little people know about prepping and panic buying…the chocolate section should have been the first isle emptied out!
  • I went for the milk…Gone!!!  Only a couple of small bottles of flavored coffee creamer. But, I had spotted “Mike” a few minutes before, an overworked Walmart associate. I coopted him into getting me two half gallons of 1% out of the back cooler. Yeah, I had looked through the glass doors and saw about 5 cases of milk…all that was left. And that’s I why the 1% was purchased. Kinda like white colored water in my opinion. But any milk is better than no milk. I hid the milk under the big pack of Styrofoam cups in the cart. Mike was $20 richer and smiling!
  • In the remainder of the dairy section the cheese was almost all gone and only very little canola oil based butter was left.

Well, you get the picture.

What I found interesting…two groups of people in Walmart; 1) those of us that were entertained by all the panic buying taking place, 2) people who were panicking, buying, talking in hushed tones, and pushing their carts rapidly to the next empty shelf area…then on to some substitute item. All the time jealously guarding the case of sardines, paper napkins, and pickled artichoke hearts that lay in their carts.

I will give Walmart credit…they were pulling out pallets of food and other items from the back. But little of it ever made it to the shelves…people grabbed it up before that could happen. The associates were polite and steady…but you could tell they were beginning to feel the stress.

So…what happens when the food is no longer pulled out from the back stockroom? Or the trucks are no longer traveling the roads delivering food or propane or fuel due to travel restrictions or fuel shortages?

System/People Stressing –

The story I didn’t share with you was leaving our backwoods area on the way into town. Just before we hit the hardtop road we met our neighbors coming back from town. They were pulling their trailer that was filled with hay, feed, stall bedding, propane tanks, etc. The back of the truck had some boxes from Amazon and food from Walmart. Part of the conversation consisted of him telling me about Walmart, trying to goad me into thinking our propane dealer was out of propane, and telling me he wasn’t going back into town for a couple of weeks, maybe a month…he wanted to avoid anyone who might be sick already or would soon be sick. He was voluntarily social isolating. As he was telling me that I started coughing and sniffling. His wife and teenage son started to laugh and shake their heads…my neighbor just looked at me as if I was a delinquent teenager. I am. But it was funny.

So…

  • My neighbor was stressing to some degree since they made a run to town for supplies.
  • My friend was telling me that folks in Phoenix are stressing and their food infrastructure is starting to stress. He was obviously stressing to some degree as well since he and I were discussing his bugout plans and our plans when he would get to our area.
  • The propane dealer folks were all stressing, their company’s customers were stressing, and I couldn’t help but think how long it might be before they would run out of propane.
  • Lowe’s was stressed because there weren’t any customers there.
  • Walmart…well, you already have that picture…it was ALL stress.
  • My wife was stressed. Well, she is stressed anytime she deals with me. But, the trip to town was even more stressful because of the craziness going on.
  • And yes, I fall into the stressed category as well. While this was our normal weekly supply run, I did take in a partially empty propane tank, in addition to the empty one, to be refilled. And I normally wouldn’t have done that. We were buying extra chocolate bars, Oreo cookies, etc. just in case. But extra chocolate?!?!?!?!  Come on that just is commonsense when the world is coming to an end, right?

What I am getting at should be obvious…the system is under stress and showing signs of deficiency. Tens of billions of dollars are being lost in the economy right now. The market was down 14% at one point this week, over 25% in the last couple of weeks. The system is stressing. People are showing signs of stress and some portion of the population is becoming stressed out more than usual. And to top it off I read a report that a mall in California had a problem on Thursday with a large group of older teens causing problems and stealing. When confronted it turned a little violent, not bad. But, the mall shut down and is still shut down. With so many schools starting to announce closures what do think will happen with all those big city, inner-city teens?

What I want you to think about in this regard is your Situational Awareness. Pay close attention to what is happening around you…in both a micro and macro way. When you go out of the house are you doing so safely? Are you paying attention to what is happening around you…and especially the people around you? Are you prepared to rapidly and safely leave the area should you need to? Is your home safe or can it be made more safe against hard times? Those are a few “micro” ideas.

On a “macro” level…are you paying attention to news reports of violence or the potential of violence in your area? Are you tuned into a neighborhood watch team in your area? Are you monitoring radio and/or TV news? Are you paying attention to what radicals (Democrats, AntiFa, New Black Panthers, etc.) are saying and what they are promoting or warning against? Are you prepared to rapidly and safely leave your area should you need to?

Pay attention to people stressing and the “system” showing deeper signs of stress. It will telegraph what is coming in plenty of time for you to act…if you pay attention, act appropriately, and act in a timely manner.

Emergency Declaration –

One of the worse things a President can do!!!  It is detrimental to everything…with one sole exception…increasing government power. When a President issues a national emergency declaration (NED), for all intents and purposes, the Constitution is voided. Well, at least the parts ensuring rights, liberties, and freedoms. And other parts that become null are limitations on the federal government. A NED gives the federal government massive powers that are otherwise unconstitutional. They can do pretty much as they please…and you, the private citizen, are virtually powerless.

Example: Under NED the President can declare martial law. If people object to it and resist it…what happens? They are arrested and imprisoned…and due process is nowhere to be seen. And if you push it…you can simply be shot for resisting. And history proves the government will do just that.

The list of what the feds can do under NED is almost limitless…and once it starts going down that road the governmental power becomes limitless because there is little to no ability for average people to reverse it. Good luck with that!

Now, maybe we get lucky with President Trump and he doesn’t push it to the extremes that it can be pushed to. Maybe he controls himself and the federal government into not installing totalitarianism. Let’s hope and pray he does.

If you have a bugout plan than includes any significant amount of travel I would suggest you watch for three key trigger points…

1 – Federalization of National Guard troops.

2 – Travel restrictions for road travel of private vehicles or implementation of large quarantine areas.

3 – Enforcement of those travel restrictions and/or quarantine areas by National Guard troops…or far worse…enforcement by regular military troops. And no, Posse Comitatus won’t apply under NED. It’s all but dead in normal times, a NED eliminates it.

Steps to Consider –

The last few days I have outlined a lot of things to considering doing…review them and implement them as you see fit. Here is my board list of suggestions at this point:

  1. Learn what Situational Awareness is.
  2. Inform yourself of what is going on right now from legitimate sources and completely ignore those that are hyping the situation and pushing fear and panic through their actions and reporting. Stay up to date.
  3. Ponder about what is happening…yeah, that means think it through.
  4. Speak to your spouse (if you have one) about what you are thinking and feeling. Both of you ponder it and come up with a plan based on consensus. Be equally yoked…or at least have her approval if not her cooperation.
  5. Pray about it.
  6. Take those steps you feel are right for your family. But, before you take those steps, talk to your family about it as appropriate. If you just start acting they will see you doing things out of the ordinary and it will be unsettling, maybe even scary, to them. Talk to them before taking action.
  7. Act decisively. Don’t hesitate in taking action and move forward with confidence. Do not delay taking those actions contained in your plan.
  8. Do all of the above without fear, without panic, ignoring the hype and ignorance of others.
  9. Ask any question of me that you might have. I am open to answering any question.
Summary –

We are in a situation now in this country that quite frankly I’ve never seen before. We’ve taken a relatively non-issue that has been dealt with dozens of times and it’s been turned into a national crisis. And done so through ignorance, panic, fear, hysteria, and suspicious agendas.

One of the best trainings I ever took was a series of advanced leadership classes. In one of those classes at the very beginning we answered, in groups, a simple question, “What are the leadership qualities you look for in someone you are ready, willing, and able to follow?”

Nowhere on the list of positive qualities was there fear-mongering, panic pushing, hysteria, etc. Everyone wanted someone who saw the situation for what it actually was, had confidence in solving the problem, and a calmness to keep folks on track. In other words, someone calm and steady. I urge you to look for that leader around you…or become that leader.

People right now need leadership. The more we hear of national guard being activated, quarantines going into effect, restrictions on this, restrictions on that, shortages, this school being closed, that business shutting its doors, a government office being closed to the public, etc…the more people will panic and find their own solutions. And solutions bred of fear, executed with panic by hysterical people won’t be good for anyone…especially you! People need, want, and will greatly benefit from steady, calm, decisive leadership from someone who is rooted in reality, speaks plain truth with transparency.

I am guaranteeing you…next spring (2021) when the snow is melting away, and the trees are beginning to show signs of life we will look back on this time with some reflection. How will you see it? How will you judge your actions and the actions of others? What kind of conduct will you be proud of…or not? What will you have done to make this situation better…or worse?

There is an old saying…

“You are either part of the solution, or part of the problem.”

Which will you be?

My bet…

You will be part of the solution.

You have the heart for it, the character to do it right, and the ability to do so with competence and honor.

I trust you.

 

Ask me any question …

Go back

Your message has been sent


Warning

Warning

Warning

Warning.

 

 

2020 Copyright © AHTrimble.com ~ All rights reserved
No reproduction or other use of this content 
without expressed written permission from AHTrimble.com
See Content Use Policy for more information.

SitRep – 3/12/2020

As you can imagine there is a lot to talk about, it’s been a while since my last SitRep. My last one was SitRep – 9/18/2019 (click here to read more). But, before I get started and before you read more I want to give you a very stark warning…do NOT waste your time reading this SitRep if you are expecting me to be like all the other prepper authors and websites. I am not one of those and will not regurgitate their pabulum. So if you want a fresh, unbiased, agenda-free, level-headed, commonsense view from a trained, experienced professional…read on. If you want anything else…go somewhere else.

Wow! Talk about attitude…I am full of it.

Yeah, I heard what you were thinking…maybe full of more than just attitude 😉  But you decide after you read it all. And if you think this SitRep is a different view wait until I publish my COVID19 article.

One other note…I am not going to go into extensive detail and long commentary. Very different from what you normally see from me I know. But I feel it important to get this out there for you in a timely manner to see and digest. If there are items that motivate you into an action…well, that is the important part not some long winded blathering on my part.

So here are the areas I will cover…

  • Economy
  • Politics
  • Virus

Here we go, hang on…

Economy –

If you have followed my SitReps all along you know I am not an optimist when it comes to the economy. Yes, the markets have done well…until recently. Yes, the job market has done well. Yes, interest rates are low. There are some positive parts of the economy and I give credit where credit is due, and that includes President Trump in many ways. But…and that is a huge “but”…the underlying problems are worse than ever.

What??????   I just complemented the President and talked about parts of the economy that are doing so well. Now I try to walk it back? No. I am not walking my positive comments back. I am expanding the view to include the most fundamental aspects, the foundation if you will, of the economy.

Private debt has skyrocketed! The real question is “why?”, then follow it up with “quality?”  Consumers have been spending money like crazy, and I mean spending it…big time! So that adds to retailers, etc. doing well and showing good corporate P/L statements. So what’s the problem, isn’t that a good thing? Ah, no.  Reason? They, the consumers, are borrowing money to spend. Credit card usage/spending is at an all-time high. Car loans are rampant, especially subprime car loans. Home equity loans are surging as well. But, the equity that consumers are pulling out of their homes isn’t going to reduce existing debt (i.e. credit cards), it is being spent. So, the economy is doing well in many aspects but it is almost all fueled by debt. And what happens when people stop borrowing…or can’t? And worse yet, what happens when people begin to have problems paying their credit cards, car loans, mortgages, student debt, etc.?

Here is the other shoe dropping…default on subprime car loans is rising and has been for the last year. Generally speaking that means a portion of people have stopped paying their subprime car loans AND the loan companies keep loaning more money into the subprime market. Why? Because it is one of the few places the finance companies can make a high interest return on their money. And their loses are not outweighing the gains…yet. So what happens to them when those loses climb and do overcome their gains? Ah, remember 2008 and 2009 with the home loan market, especially the subprime market? Yup, same thing…crash.

And now the biggie…federal spending and borrowing. Remember the movie Dumb and Dumber? That is federal spending and borrowing…dumb and dumber. And under President Trump it is exponentially worse than any other President or any other time in the history of our country. Yup, it’s true!

But, there is a third leg to this pending disaster…income tax. Ah, but Trump did a tax cut so we are good, right? Nope!!!  We are worse off…by far.

You can look at the tax cut at the micro or macro level. If your tax hit went down then you obviously think the tax cut was awesome…that is the micro view. But, a more realistic view would be this, the macro view…after the tax cut there was a HUGE increase of tax revenue collected by the federal government. Hey, that’s a good thing right? It shows that the economy is doing well, people make more money and pay more taxes, and that gives the federal government more money to pay down the debt. Good…right?  Ding, ding, ding…NO!!!!!

When money flows from the private sector to the federal government the private sector can’t spend that money on what they (i.e. individuals and families) think is important. Instead that money goes to the government for it to spend on what it, the federal government and politicians, thinks is important. And here’s the test… do you think the government and politicians spending money on what they think is important is a good thing or not? And FYI…studies show that the individual is 10 times more efficient in spending money than the federal government.

So the next time you get your paycheck remember this…you just paid for Senator Chuck Schumer’s cheese cake habit. Yup, he has spent almost $10,000 in recent years on cheese cake.  Must be nice…for him and his cronies to have you, the tax payer, buy their cheese cake!

So we have historic amounts of money being sucked out of the private sector through increased tax revenues, we have a huge increase of federal government spending (historic high actually), and the largest national debt in the history of our country…and that debt is growing faster than it ever has with no end in sight. A three legged stool of disaster just waiting with a big smile on its face for something to come along and tip it over.

Digest that and see what you think about the economy now.

Let me just touch on the virus effect to the economy…

The stock markets:  How the market is doing depends entirely on your viewpoint. Some folks are panicking amid the recent market loses…which are substantial. Others are saying it is a wonderful buying opportunity due to stocks being “on sale”.

If you have a short view…stocks have fallen 23% since the beginning of the year, down 15% in the last two weeks, or 7.5% so far just today. Oh my gosh!!!!!!! We are collapsing!!!!!  It is the end of the world as we know it!!!!!  The dollar is worthless!!!!!   It is the apocalypse straight out of the Book of Revelations!!!!!!

If you have a longer, more mature view…stocks are down about 15% from a year ago, up about 23% from five years ago, or up about 200% from 2009 (11 short years ago) when people were crying once again it was economic Armageddon.

Here’s my view…money left in a high quality index based mutual fund has more than doubled in value since the last so-called financial Armageddon. And if you want more historical fact…the markets have recovered and performed extremely well after every single dip, recession, correction, or even depression/crash.  Further, I am not a day trader so I don’t worry much about daily, weekly, or even monthly performance. Our IRA money is in there for our retirement…NOT day trading. That means it is in there for years not days or even weeks. I figure we will spend it out over the next 15 – 20 years…not the next 15 – 20 days.

That being the case I have “bought the dips”…meaning I have made three modest purchases of our growth mutual fund in the last couple of weeks. I will probably do one or two more in the coming month as far it looks now. If I need money out of the IRA for an emergency I will draw it out of the money market portion allowing the growth portion plenty of time to grow out of the dip…just like the market has always done.

You say, “But you are a prepper…and the world is coming to an end…and your IRA will be worthless!!!”

Well, I’ve been a prepper since the late 70’s…yeah the 1970’s and the world has not come to an end. And if I had followed that TEOTWAWKI philosophy exclusively all along, my wife and I would have no retirement savings. How does that sound?

So I hedge my bet, I don’t put all my eggs in one basket…I think maturely and use common sense. I plan that TEOTWAWKI won’t come during my lifetime…but bills will. However, if TEOTWAWKI does come…I am as prepared for that as possible. Hence, I don’t fear TEOTWAWKI or retirement…for I have prepared.

World Trade: World Trade is taking a serious hit. Why? Panic!!!  And that is the truth. Yes, the virus scare is the underlying cause of the panic in the world trade situation. Remember COVID19 has only killed about 3500 people around the world. That is .5% of what the regular flu kills each flu season.  Yes….you read that right!  COVID19 has killed about 1/2 of 1% of those that die from the regular flu each flu season. And that is FACT!!!  So, no…the COVID19 virus is not the reason of the current trade problems…it is the panic and hysteria that is resulting from COVID19.

But isn’t that the same?  Absolutely not!!!!  If the virus was the reason/cause then it would be fact-based, medical reasoning. Since the medical FACT aspect of the COVID19 shows it to be almost a non-issue, then it is the panic and hysteria that is being pushed upon the world’s population. And it is that panic and hysteria that is causing the trade problems.

Will it get worse? Of course it will. Mob mentality has taken hold. It has gripped normally rational intelligent people and they are panicking and falling into hysteria more and more each day. And the more the panic/hysteria spreads the more trade and resulting economic conditions will worsen.

Employment: While the most recent employment and unemployment numbers look good, things will change…sooner rather than later…maybe sooner and later. With trade taking a hit, and the economy soon will, and employment will suffer. Some companies will lay off folks. Other companies will undoubtedly go out of business due to this mess. So yes, employment is going to suffer…how badly remains to be seen and is entirely dependent on how deep the panic and hysteria goes.

You: OK, touchy subject since I don’t know each of you personally, although I wish I did. If you are drawing a social security check, that income stream is good. If you are in the travel or related industry you are going to see the negative effects. If you are a healthcare worker you will do well because of overtime. Yeah…I don’t know how you will do personally but it won’t take much deliberation on your part to figure it out. And I am not telling you what to do with your 401k or IRA…or how yours will perform. I told you what we are doing. You have to decide what’s best for you. But, I suggest you review history and go on facts and reality not all the hype and hysteria that is being pushed.

Politics –

To sum is up…It Sucks!

We have Joe Biden, head of the infamous Biden Crime Family, appearing to be the Democrat Party nominee. He has a slim chance to win in November…provided he is not in prison.

If Joe is sitting in a prison cell, which he should be, or somehow otherwise falls out of the race (i.e. gets admitted to a mental institution) then Comrade Bernie Sanders will be the Democrat Party nominee. He will lose against Trump in the biggest landslide most people have ever seen in this country. And the pre and post election violence will be considerable.

As long as the economy doesn’t seriously tank and stock markets don’t crash President Trump will be the Republican Party nominee. And he will win handily. Should the economy tank and/or stock market really “crash” his chances of winning fall substantially regardless of the Democrat Party nominee.

If it is Trump vs Biden and the economy only does a minor tank and/or stock market only does a minor crash then I see it being 50/50 on who wins. Biden may gain a small advantage over Trump but not much of one. That is also dependent on Biden’s mental condition not worsening. And yes, you read that right. Joe Biden is slipping badly, mentally speaking. He was never very bright to begin with, but his mental capacity is slipping more and more each day. Yes, I am saying he is mentally unstable and becoming worse. I don’t know his condition…it could be Alzheimer’s, dementia, or some other mental disease…but, whatever it is, it is getting noticeably worse. Should he be elected he will probably not serve out his full term. The 25th Amendment will be invoked and he will be removed as President before the end of his term as I see it now with his mental condition. Well, that is the case unless they would cover up his mental incapacity…and that is always a possibility when dealing with Washington.

My biggest concern right now is what the politicians are doing in Washington under the cover of the virus panic. Well, there is also the concern what the more minor state-based politicians are doing during this panic also. I am telling you flat out…all of the politicians are using this manufactured crisis as an opportunity to take power from the people. I have no doubt of that. What exact form that takes remains to be seen…but it is happening.

Virus –

Let me repeat what I wrote earlier…”COVID19 has only killed about 3500 people around the world. That is .5% of what the regular flu kills each flu season.  Yes…you read that right!  COVID19 has killed about 1/2 of 1% of those that die from the regular flu each flu season. And that is FACT!!!”

And if you are in the United States…well, let’s do it this way just for dramatic effect…

If the number of deaths in the United States is 100 times worse than what is currently being reported…that means for every person actually reported to have died, it is actually 100 people have died for my dramatic scenario. Then the COVID19 has killed 4% of those that normally die during the flu season each year. Yes, only 4% of the regular flu season deaths.

What??????

Yes, that means that fact…FACTS!…well, technically inflated facts…show that the COVID19 virus is far, FAR less deadly than the normal flu season. If you use only the actual reported number of deaths, not my inflated dramatic scenario number of deaths (100x), then the actually rate is .04% of the normal flu season deaths.

Now, that being said…is there the potential for a higher death count? Yes. There a chance it could get worse. No actually, not a chance…it WILL get worse. OK, then will it be worse than a normal flu season? We don’t know that yet. But all the figures, the facts, the actual numbers show that it won’t be worse…but those numbers might change…but only “might”. There are no actual facts showing that it will be worse…or even close to it.

If you go back 20 years we’ve had the Bird Flu, Swine Flu, MERS, and SARS…all of which were pandemic scares. Each time many “experts” claimed that it was the end of the world pandemic that will decimate the world’s population. And what came of all those apocalyptic predictions? Absolutely nothing of any significant note!!!

Yeah…I am NOT a panic pusher, I am NOT a hype hustler, I am NOT a fear promoter. I use my professional experience, my training, my knowledge, reality, and history to deal in FACTS. And the FACTS indicate that this COVID19 is not the worldwide killer that wackos are trying to make it out to be.

Summary –

Dang! How do I possibly summarize this SitRep?

Let me try…

We are in a world of hurt!  Why? Because our economic system is a house of cards waiting for a breeze to come along and blow it up. The panic from COVID19 is running rampant and turning people into hysterical idiots. And idiots make very, very poor decisions. But, politicians around the world, and in the United States, will use this crisis to remove more and more power from the people. That is what governments do…they grow themselves stronger not weaker. And the way they grow stronger is taking power away from people. For it is the people who God gave power to…God did not, does not, give power to governments. People either willingly give power to governments or governments take power from people.

And in this current world-wide panic I am seeing people plead to, beg to, demand of, and cry for governments to act. And those same people are ever so willing, standing in line, to allow governments to seize more and more power. That power is seized through declarations of emergencies, either at the state level or the federal level, and the passage of emergency legislation. Those declarations and legislation give governments, state and/or federal, tremendous control over people and draw even more money out of the private sector. And the sheeple appear to be perfectly fine with that.

And many people who claimed to be patriots, the ultimate preppers, prepper website owners, even prepper leadership have fallen prey to this mess and have become nothing more than more sheeple following the other sheeple right over any cliff that the government and/or the media points to. Sad…very, very sad to see. However, not unexpected…I’ve seen it before.

Critical thinking, common sense, independent thought, dependence on facts, even intelligence, has, for the most part, evaporated. This current panic virus situation is a perfect example of people having talked a good game…but when it comes right down to it…they can’t walk the walk…they were/are all talk.

I am begging you to not fall into that trap!!!  Please don’t be another sheeple following these people off the cliff. There is absolutely no need to fear!!!!!  Yes, you should be aware and concerned about what is going on…that makes perfect sense. And then prioritize what the threats really are and take sensible and practical action to mitigate those threats and risks.

The #1 threat as I see it now are the people, companies, governments, media, and websites (especially prepper websites) that have become panic pushers, hype hustlers, fear promoters, etc. They have their own agendas…even if that agenda is utter ignorance. But, I only wish it were ignorance…but it is far worse from what I am seeing. It may be in support of large, more powerful governments, or commercial gain, website clicks, paid membership, or who knows what. But there is the biggest threat…those that are promoting fear through the promotion of the COVID19 virus scare.

So here is my list of “to-do” items, my solution for my wife and I:

1 – We will not get caught up in the fear, panic or hysteria. And I will not promote any of it either.

2 – I will review my own preparedness to ensure I can self-quarantine for 30 days with no unbearable discomfort.

3 – I will improve my immune system. By increasing my intake of those things such as potassium, magnesium, garlic, vitamins C & B, etc.

4 – I will plan to deal with those who do panic and look at me for some kind of forced physical relief.

5 – I will regularly review the 7 Common Risks/Threats and ensure I am on-track to mitigate each. (click here to read more)

6 – I will do what I can to spread the facts and reality of our situation.

8 – I will take appropriate steps with our IRA money to hedge our bet against TEOTWAWKI.

9 – I will prepare for idiots who wish to and will force TEOTWAWKI through their utter stupidity and/or ignorance…or their personal agenda.

10 – I will prepare for government to force a police state under the guise of this manufactured crisis.

And I will do all of this while I continue to finish building our house so we can enjoy it and my wife will be happy 😉

So there you go…I lied!!!!  I said this would be a brief SitRep…I lied, I admit it now in retrospecct. I look at the stats and it is no shorter than normal, longer than some. So deal with it…it could have been longer and much more boring.

In closing…You come to my website for a specific reason. I run a small website, relatively small number of visitors each day, not a paid site, not a site full of ads, not a site pushing books, coins, food, or private newsletters. You come to this website for original content, independent thinking and uncommon views…and my opinions from an experienced professional. Or maybe just for a good laugh from someone you think to be a clown.

Now, take what you have read today and don’t believe a word of it!

But, ponder it, verify whatever you wish, discredit whatever you wish. Then I ask you to pray about all of it and take whatever action you feel prompted to take for you and your family.

Remember the tag line of this website…

”If ye are prepared ye shall not fear!”

Go forward and continue to prepare…and don’t fear.

 

 

 

2020 Copyright © AHTrimble.com ~ All rights reserved
No reproduction or other use of this content 
without expressed written permission from AHTrimble.com
See Content Use Policy for more information.

So what the heck happened to me and the website?

Well, this will take a little time…but let me give you the executive summary and then you can read more of the details if you want to.

Executive Summary:

Almost all of my time has been spent on building our retirement home. Then for some reason right after the beginning of the year my website went down again.

I was wrapped up in working on the house and ignored the website. Sorry. But, I was posting on another website of which I am a member. Again, sorry, I should have used that time that I was posting there to get the website back up and running. So why didn’t I do that? I only had my little Android phone to work on and it was virtually impossible to work on resolving the website problems using that tiny screen.  I just now got a WiFi up and running and my laptop hooked up.  With the laptop I was able to work through the problems and get the website back up and running.

Why did the website go down?  Not entirely sure but I have my suspicions. And those suspicions are simple…a couple of years ago I published a series of articles very critical of the FBI, CIA, and NSA. The website was hacked and all the articles deleted.  Literally nearly 1,000 articles gone. So this time I was surprised since I hadn’t even resurrect those articles…until I thought through the timing. Right as the COVId19 virus starts gaining speed….poof! the website goes offline again. Fortunately the articles are all there. Just to be sure…I have multiple backups stored in different locations ready to re-uploaded should the need arise.

So there to you go…that is my story and I am sticking to it.

More information and articles to come…should be daily updates for a while. I have been repeatedly contacted to get my SitReps fired back up and published. OK, I am working on one…stand by!

Details:

Last February (2019) I began building our retirement home. Yeah, started in the winter. You already know I am not the brightest bulb on the tree but that is the start date that worked for my wife and I. I had 11 months to build it before my wife retired and we wanted to move into the house. And no, I am/was not going to supervise the building of the house…I was/am building it myself.  See, more evidence that I am not the brightest bulb…building a house in my mid 60’s by myself. More on that later.

So I was  working on the house, going back home (325 miles away) periodically to visit my wife, take a shower, and get more articles back on the website. Then remember I shot myself? (click here to read more on that) Well, her retirement date came…and the house was not ready. But, we moved anyways. We moved into a 300 square foot cabin with no running water, no indoor toilet, solar power, wife, 2 dogs, grill to cook on, and a wood stove for heat. Fun and Games!!!!!

So my #1 priority was to get the house livable. Why? Because it had to be ready no later than spring. Why? Remember my articles????? I was talking directly about the potential for serious problems in 2020 and I knew I had to get the house ready before those things started happening. So yes…I put my house building and wife’s happiness and my personal preparedness as a higher priority than getting the site back up and running and more articles published. Sorry.

So the house is not done but it is livable and I am working feverishly to get it more livable. It still has to get done before spring! Why? You know why…and I will give more details on that later.

In the Executive Summary I gave all the details I am willing to share about why the website went down.  Might share more later, but don’t count on it.

So here are my website priorities: #1 get a SitRep out as soon as possible, #2 get a FAQ out shortly thereafter covering some of the questions I’ve been asked since the site went down, #3 an article dedicated to the COVId19 virus situation, #4 resurrect more old articles, #5 update the Table of Contents to enable you to find articles easier.  If you want something else, then use the comment feature on this page to let me know what you want to hear about.

Summary:

I hope you are well. I hope you haven’t fallen into the fear, panic, and hysteria trap swirling around COVId19 that I have dubbed the “panic virus”. I hope you are not falling victim to the panic pushers, hype hustlers, or fear mongers.  Hang in there!

“If ye are prepared ye shall not fear!”

 

SitRep – 9/18/2019

It was kinda strange reading the opening of my last SitRep, “Not a whole lot has changed since the last SitRep…” Man, that is not true now!

So this SitRep is going to accomplish two goals if I write it correctly. First, I will give you my opinion on what I see happening and where I see us headed. Second, it will lay the groundwork for my series of articles that should come out in October that I think you will like. Well, some of you may like. OK, maybe only one or two of you may like it. Seriously, at least I will like it…I hope 😉

 

In this SitRep I will cover the following…

  • Crisis of Trust and Confidence
  • Second Amendment
  • Politics & Politicians
  • Economy
  • Technology
  • Violence
  • Need for Change of Creature

Crisis of Trust and Confidence

I’ve been trying for a while now to really put my finger on a major issue in America right now, maybe the single most important issue facing the entire world right now. I think I have it…Trust and Confidence.

For this article I am going to use the following definitions of the words:

Trust: firm belief in the reliability, truth, ability, or strength of someone or something.

Confidence: the feeling or belief that one can rely on someone or something; firm trust.

So what about the “crisis” part? There are multiple definitions of the term crisis. The top three are:

  1. a stage in a sequence of events at which the trend of all future events, especially for better or for worse, is determined.
  2. is any event that is going (or is expected) to lead to an unstable and dangerous situation affecting an individual, group, community, or whole society.
  3. a time of great disagreement, confusion, or suffering; an extremely difficult or dangerous point in a situation.

So for crisis feel free to put it together any way you wish…you get my point.

So yes, I think the major problem right now is a crisis of trust and confidence. Meaning, at least to me, that we can no longer trust or have confidence in the world around us. By that I mean:

  1. We no longer trust the government because we see it for what it is and what it is doing to us. And what they are doing is blatantly anti-Constitutional, moving us towards a totalitarian state. We see the government forcing our country into the financial abyss of debt that we can never recover from. And a hundred other moves that show us clearly that they do not have our (We the People) best interests at heart.
  2. We no longer trust politicians because we see them virtually immune from the laws that we are subject to. And, we see them, virtually all of them, advocating laws, policies, regulations, bills, and agendas that support anti-Constitutional ideas. Most folks who are “awake” realize that they are doing little more than strengthening the totalitarian goal.
  3. We see the Department of Justice allow those that perpetrated a treasonous coup against the President go unpunished. We see the FBI and CIA at the center of that coup against the President. We see the CIA having hired former Nazis leaders in the 40’s and enabled them to conduct horrific experiments on America Citizens for decades. The CIA was responsible for introducing LSD and other dangerous/illegal drugs into America. We see the FBI burn to death nearly 80 men, women, and children…ambush and murder a man in Oregon and then attempt to cover it up. And it goes on and on and on…
  4. Many no longer trust their churches. Many churches now promote doctrine that is false such as no longer relating the story of Adam and Eve…it is now Adam and Adam, Eve and Eve. Churches preach about Jesus, charity, love of life, but accept abortion.
  5. We watch commercials about banks and how wonderful they are to, and for, their customers. Yet, we watch them get bailed out time and time again while the average person gets hung out to dry. Many lost their homes just a decade ago while bank executives earned huge salaries and even larger bonuses.
  6. The media…well, enough said. I don’t know anyone who trusts or has confidence in the media at all. At rightfully so.

I could go on and on giving you example after example of where we have lost trust and confidence in the world around us…but you already know them and see them. Hopefully I have just brought it all together and defined those issues onto a sum total and a clearly understood term…crisis of trust and confidence.

As I think about the problems that faces America today I see all of those problems roll into that single thing…a crisis of trust and confidence. Now that I defined it, what do we do about it?

Ah yes, there is the big issue, isn’t it! And I will get to it but you have to give me a little time and a little leeway.

Second Amendment

I should have probably saved this for last. Why? Coz I am going to probably lose some of you as you read this section. Some may never come back to the website again, ever. Some folks may just get bored. But, here goes…

I was going to write a whole article about the Second Amendment but decided you probably read many articles about it already and have grown a bit tired of it all. So, no stand-alone article. But, I will write just a bit to hopefully shed some light on my view of it…and maybe a twist that you might not have considered before.

“A well regulated Militia, being necessary to the security of a free State, the right of the people to keep and bear Arms, shall not be infringed.”

Occasionally there is confusion of why it is written the way it was. There shouldn’t be. But, it is rarely taught or explained in the context of its day, let alone in any context. So let me share a few things…

We all know that in the later part of the 1700’s the Founding Fathers saw the British government, specifically the King and Parliament, as being oppressive and tyrannical. They also saw the colonies as having virtually no ability to resist that oppression and tyranny. Why? Because the British kept a huge standing army in the colonies. And the British rulers used that army with ruthlessness to suppress any resistance to their vice-like grip on life in the colonies.

When the Founding Fathers wrote the Constitution, after defeating the British, they wanted to prevent in the future the kind of oppression and tyranny that they suffered under the hands of the British. And their number one concern…a standing army. They knew that without a strong standing army that they could prevent the enforcement of oppression at the hands of a strong federal government.

Remember this…the Founding Fathers wanted the true power and strength of the USA to reside in the states. They knew all too well what a strong central government was capable of…and they wanted to prevent that repeat of horrible history. James Madison wrote that a standing federal army could be balanced by militias controlled by the states…”a standing army would be opposed by a militia.” He went on, state militias “would be able to repel the danger” of a standing federal army, “It may well be doubted, whether a militia thus circumstanced could ever be conquered by such a proportion of regular troops.” He went on to make clear how European governments viewed an armed populace…”afraid to trust the people with arms,” and that “the existence of subordinate governments [states] … forms a barrier against the enterprises of ambition” of a tyrannical federal government.

So then let’s keep going…in the early days of America (1790’s) militias laws were formally enacted…and the Army (standing federal army) seriously regulated and diminished of power and scope.  The militias were to consist of able bodied men 18 – 45 willing to serve. The federal army was only to be organized for specific reasons and then only for periods of two years. Imagine that! And its uses were only for the purpose to repel invasions and against “insurrections.” Ah, notice the very specific term insurrection? The law does not use the term “rebellion” for a reason…especially in the context of the English language in the 18th century. An insurrection is a resistance, usually violent, to established authority. A rebellion is an armed resistance to a government/ruler to replace it with a more suitable form of government.

Why is there a difference in the terminology? One needs only to read the first paragraph of a fairly important document…

“When in the Course of human events it becomes necessary for one people to dissolve the political bands which have connected them with another and to assume among the powers of the earth, the separate and equal station to which the Laws of Nature and of Nature’s God entitle them, a decent respect to the opinions of mankind requires that they should declare the causes which impel them to the separation.” The Declaration of Independence

The Founding Fathers knew exactly what they were doing, exactly the correct way to write it, and how it was to be implemented. They left the door wide open for us, as American citizens, to rebel against an oppressive central government. And they insured us a means to do so…ARMED! They clearly stated the right and insured the means to fix a broken oppressive federal government.

So, now let’s consider a very key word in the Second Amendment “arms.” What exactly did they mean?

Once again, very simple. Since militias, state level armies, were to be made up of average citizens; and those citizens were to provide their own arms. What were those arms?

The average well-turned-out militia member of the day armed himself with: a rifle, a pistol, a long knife, and occasionally a hatchet (tomahawk). Also remember, that almost always a regular, standing-army soldier would carry a musket. While a musket could be loaded a little faster than a rifle, they were much less accurate and far less range than a rifle. Most regular army soldiers also carried no pistol or long knife (but many carried a bayonet). So your average citizen soldier (militia member) had superior weapons (i.e. arms) vs. the average regular army soldier. That is an indisputable fact!

Now, about cannons…The average citizen soldier did not have a cannon hanging around the cabin. Although it would not have been illegal to have one. Cannons were considered “company level” weapons…or “crew served” weapons. When a company of militia was activated, and cannon was needed, they were provided by the company and manned by a specific crew.

Now the Second Amendment should be crystal clear…the Founding Fathers intended the wording to provide for a militia of regular citizens to be armed better than, or at least as well, the army. Why? In order to defeat the army in a violent encounter should the army be used against the citizenry. And, specifically if the citizens were rebelling against an oppressive tyrannical government. Period!

The Declaration of Independence laid the groundwork for it and the Constitution ensured it.

So why are the Democrats and Republicans so eager to restrict the Second Amendment…or eliminate it? Another simple answer…The government today, and almost all politicians, do not want the American citizens to have the ability to effectively resist an oppressive and tyrannical federal government.

Please challenge that! But, you already know the answer to that challenge.

Reviewing the gun-control advocates arguments…Look at the states and cities with the most restrictive gun laws or out-right gun bans. Then look at the time period of the “Assault Weapons Ban”. The look at the National Firearms Act of 1934. OK, done reviewing that?

1 – The cities and states with the most restrictive gun laws and bans are the most violent and have the highest number of deaths by guns. Chicago…52 people shot, 10 dead. Oh wait…that is in a single weekend in 2019. Interesting side note…every state and city where gun violence is the highest…ALL controlled by liberals/democrats/progressives.

2 – During the “Assault Weapons Ban” there was no statistical evidence to indicate any reduction in mass shootings or gun violence via the banned weapons…which was almost non-existent to begin with.

3 – Since the National Firearms Act of 1934 was enacted there has been a huge increase in gun violence and gun-related crime, most of it starting about the 1960’s. There is not a single shred of actionable evidence to indicate any positive effect to make America safer by the National Firearms Act of 1934. Criminals simply chose a different weapon. And what started happening in America society in the 1960’s? Yeah, a whole other aspect of this argument.

So what could the only real reason be for all those anti-Constitutional gun control laws? Yup! You guessed it.

OK…now, where am I headed with all of this? You should already know by now. Without any equivocation I oppose any restriction on gun ownership at all. And by guns I mean ‘arms’ exactly as worded in the Second Amendment.

Unfortunately, what I think doesn’t matter, the truth of the matter is this…we are 100% screwed. Why?

Because both Republicans and Democrats oppose the Second Amendment. What?????? Yup! Don’t doubt me on this. Even the NRA opposes the Second Amendment. Yeah, that personification of all things “liberty and freedom”, the NRA, opposes our Founding Fathers and the Constitution. Yup, that sacred organization, the NRA, supported:

  • the National Firearms Act of 1934
  • the Gun Control Act of 1938
  • the Gun Control Act of 1968
  • concealed carry legislation
  • banning of bump stocks (at the hands of an allegedly conservative Republican President Trump)

A former president of the NRA even stated that he opposed people even carrying a gun at all!

So please don’t tell me that Republicans, the NRA, or even President Trump supports the Second Amendment…they DON’T…and that is a fact! And the coming months, if not weeks, will show me to be correct again when Congress passes gun-control legislation and the President signs it.

Why is any of this important?

Listen, if you are asking that question vs. me proposing it for more opinionated fodder…then you simply don’t get it. But, let me share it with you all the same…whether you get it or you don’t.

The Second Amendment is there for us to protect ourselves from, or rebel against, an oppressive and/or tyrannical federal government. That’s it…period! That was also the whole idea of NOT having a standing army…the federal government couldn’t overpower the states…even with military power. Those are not my words…those are the words and intentions of the Founding Fathers!!!!

What does that tell you about where we are today as a country?  Again…100% screwed!

The states are mere groveling servants to the federal government with NO, ZERO power to resist them politically, financially, or forecefully. The Founding Fathers, in their divinely inspired infinite wisdom gave us one last tool to stop the federal government…the Second Amendment. And they clarified the right to rebel against the federal government…the Declaration of Independence.

So all you NRA members…thanks! All you bump stock ban supporters (or non-resistors)…thanks! All you Republicans…thanks! You, yes…YOU…are contributing directly to the destruction of the Second Amendment, the Constitution, and assisting in the installation of a totalitarian regime. And along the way…you folks are making criminals out of people that our Found Father would have called patriots and heroes.

Yeah, pretty strong words I know. Lots of folks will be very mad at me. Some will cuss me. Some will dismiss me as a nuts. Some will stop visiting the website. Yeah, I can accept all of that. But, what THEY can’t accept is the truth and the hard evidence of what I said…and their role in the destruction of the United States of America.

So if I haven’t already offended you…let me be clear, perfectly clear…

  • If you didn’t resist, or care about, the bump stock ban…you are no patriot. You are an enabler to the destruction of the Constitution. You oppose the Founding Fathers.
  • If you are an NRA member…you are the same.
  • If you back any upcoming gun legislation…you are the same.
  • If you back any previous gun-control legislation…you are the same.
  • If you back Trump’s anti-gun EO’s…you are the same.

Why am I calling out so many people and making people mad at me?

First, I am not calling you a traitor for backing Trump. I am saying if you back Trump’s bump stock ban you are an enabler to the destruction of the Constitution. But, let there be no confusion or doubt, Trump is NOT pro-Second Amendment. He has done NOTHING to prove otherwise. And no, I am not a “never Trumper”. If you think I am…you’re an idiot. And you can’t show anything of substance that shows Trump to be pro-Second Amendment.

Continuing…It is not my intention to make folks mad at me, cuss me, or anything similar. It is to wake people up to their awful state. We are seeing the wheat and chaff being separated…and many who thought they were wheat are, by definition, chaff. Some who thought they were patriots…are pawns…pawns of those that would destroy the Constitution and our country…and are enemies of our Founding Fathers. Many have lost their way…some intentionally, some through ignorance.

But, as with any person that is lost…they can find their way back! All they have to do is decide what they believe in.

  • Do you believe in and support the Declaration of Independence or not?
  • Do you believe in and support the Constitution or not?
  • Do you believe that our Founding Fathers were divinely inspired or not…and support those divinely inspired principles or not?

These are not hard questions to answer. There is no qualification or explanation needed. It is simple…you either do or do not…”yes” or “no”. If it is “no” then you are participating in the destruction of America. And America is the world’s last and only hope for us to save ourselves.

Politics & Politicians

Ah yes…politics and politicians…it all sucks! I am serious…all politics sucks now. It is all about power and money…and we are to blame. Why? Coz we keep electing the problems…politicians.

Yeah, wasn’t that an absolutely brilliant observation and deduction!!! I must be a genius.

So I will make this simple…forget ALL politics, political parties, and partisan ideology. Yup…forget 100% of it…total, complete, entirely. Replace it with principles. If a politician matches up with your principles…then support them. If a particular piece of legislation matches up with your principles…then support it. Ignore all the rest of it.

Economy

I’ve been watching this very closely the last couple of months…I mean real closely. Here are the issues:

  • Consumer debt is at an all-time historic high.

  • Corporate debt at astronomical historic levels.

  • Trump administration setting records for federal government annual operating deficits.
  • National debt is far beyond any previous historic record levels, and unrecoverable.

  • Actual GDP is 12% below where it would normally be, let alone any net growth.

  • Many foreign government sovereign debt is at 0% or below.

EVERY factual, evidence-based indicator shows we are in very serious deep trouble economically. PERIOD!

I was listening to a very well placed, knowledgeable asset manager Tuesday morning. He runs one of the world’s largest pool of assets. He said the problem we have in the USA right now is “confidence”. Confidence in our country, politicians, government, financial system, markets, companies, etc. And that is a huge concern to him. He said that our US economy is about 70% consumer driven…and consumer spending is driven by confidence. He went on that consumers just don’t have solid confidence in much of anything anymore and it is getting worse…which means we are teetering. And when asked what puts us over the edge into financial Armageddon…his answer was “something geopolitical”.

His #1 example was the inability to come to terms with China and the trade war, and our competition with China for world economic domination. Then he went on to mention Iran and their trouble-making issues in the Middle East. Yes, there were more, but you get the idea.

The reason for many industrialized nations having a 0% or a negative interest rate is not difficult to understand. But, to fully understand it correctly you have to compare it to the US t-bill rate that is still in positive territory. The majority of the world has no confidence in other, including their own, countries’ ability to recover economically. They are betting on the US economy and our financial/economic abilities to economically save the rest of the world. When viewed in light of those same countries holding US t-bills to prop up their own currency you see it clearly. They are all betting/counting on us. If we go down…the whole world collapses with us. There is no other viable and realistic scenario. And that is a gloomy one to be sure. Not a bet I would make.

Well, if you have been following my website for any length of time, especially the last 5 years, none of this is any surprise to you. I have been pointing out fact after fact after fact of what is going on. Some of the evidence I have provided has really pissed off some folks and they will no longer follow the site. Yeah, mostly the “ever-Trumpers”…those that back Trump no matter what. What really ticked some off some folks was when I pointed out the fact that the Trump stock market is trailing both Clinton and Obama stock market gains. And would have been trailing Bush #2 had it not been for 9/11. I didn’t point it out to make anyone mad…just pointing out facts. Because facts help you see clearly.

And facts are facts are facts…and they are quickly catching up to us…and it ain’t pretty.

Just yesterday (9/17) the NY Fed had to step in to the market to stabilize bank cash reserves and Federal interest rates. Bank cash reserves dropped dramatically and the Fed funds rate jumped. The NY Fed had to instantly infuse $75billion dollars to prevent a huge shortfall in cash reserves at banks. But expert financial experts stated there is still, and will be, a ripple effect to deal with. What could have been the outcome had the Fed not stepped in yesterday? A massive run on banks as people lost confidence and attempted to pull money out of their bank…only to find that banks didn’t have enough cash for people to withdraw. And this is the first time this has happened since 2008. And you know what happened in 2008/2009.

Technology

Over the last six weeks I saved a whole bunch of articles about AI and DeepFake technology. I was going to use those articles to substantiate my warnings all the way back to June, and then later in July, when I laid out the specific threats of AI and DeepFake. But…I am not going to use those articles that I saved.

Why?

I don’t need to. You read my previous SitReps, starting last June, and you know what I said. If you follow the news at all you will have read since July many independent articles confirming what I had warned you about starting the month before. Interestingly…some so-called prepper-gurus are just now getting up to speed on these problems. Pity.

As I stated previously…in the past you could trust in what you saw and heard yourself. Not so anymore. Video and audio DeepFake is to such a level now that the normal person can NOT tell what it is fake or real. And that presents a huge dilemma. And that also compounds the “crisis of trust and confidence” that I mentioned earlier in this post. It will only get worse.

So, how do you deal with it? I will get more into that that in an upcoming series of articles. But, for now:

  1. Know who you are.
  2. Have solid principles, morals, and ethics.
  3. Rely on what you know to be true, reject those things that fall outside of that.
  4. Be slow to judge.
  5. Be stalwart.

Violence

Well, well… here we go…

It is nice to see some prepper-gurus finally seeing the writing on the wall…that has been there for over two years. Recently I read an excerpt from this really well respected prepper-guru guy who many folks believe is directly connected to God himself. And interesting enough…he wrote about what might happen in the 2020 election. He was amazingly accurate!!!!  He was spot on like I can hardly imagine!!  And he wrote almost word for word what I’ve been telling you for the last 2 years. I guess he likes and trusts my stuff 😉

OK, enough of me droning on about that…

We are seeing an uptick of violence…especially once again on the left via AntiFa. It will get worse the closer we get to the election.

We are also seeing more provocation by the right. I won’t mention the groups by name because I don’t want to give them any more notoriety than they already have. But, the right is now actively trying to provoke violence as well. No, I don’t mean they are going out and burning cars and buildings. But, they are holding events that they know will bring out AntiFa and other violent Democrat Party individuals/groups. And they know once the two sides are in the same vicinity of each other there will be violence.

Don’t get sucked into it!!!!  I am strongly suggesting that you stay away from all rallies, marches, protests, etc. for now. Don’t get involved in them, stay away from them. If you find yourself inadvertently in the area…leave at once. Don’t try to stand up for a right-wing cause right now. Don’t try to protest against a left-wing cause right now. They are almost all designed to prompt violent confrontation.

60 Days prior to next year’s Presidential election be 100% prepared to deal with violence on a large scale. “Large scale” meaning city-wide scale. And “prepared” doesn’t mean body armor, 100000 rounds of ammunition, and an AR for your 3-year old. I am saying have a plan to avoid the violence, to withdraw from it, to remove a family member from it, to protect your property from it, to protect your church from it, to protect your neighborhood from it. Yup, you read that right. More about that as time goes on.

Need for Change of Creature

Kinda of a weird title for a SitRep section isn’t it? I wasn’t sure how to appropriately express what I want to say in this section. But I had one of those “Ah Ha!” moments. So here goes, I hope it works…

What would you think? What would you do?

Scenario…The grid has gone down, chaos is widespread. There has been some pretty bad looting and rioting nearby. It is not safe to be outside at night. You have done everything to prepare for “grid-down” and the family, is hunkered down in the home ready to defend it and ride out the storm. Fast forward a few days…

It is 2am and there is a knock at the front door, the alarm is raised, the guards are intensely looking for threats in their field of view. The RIT team jumps into action for their assigned positions. As head of the house, looks through the observation hole…a middle aged man is there, known but not too well, mostly just an acquaintance. He begs for the door to be opened, he is scared, he has his wife with him and three children. They have nothing but the clothes on their back, but he is carrying a double barrel shotgun. No response given to his knocking. The guards and RIT team are tense, expecting trouble…maybe a trap. There was violence a couple blocks over earlier in the evening. A fire or two is burning not too far away, obviously houses.

The man is knocking even louder, crying, begging to be let in. He sounds desperate, his family looks ragged, and their clothes are tattered and filthy. His wife is crying, the teenage daughter has the 1000-yard stare. It looks like the perfect diversion set-up for a gang to hit the house. Still no response is given to his pleas, the hope is…he will just go away.

The house and group is well-supplied with a year’s food and water but no idea how long the grid will be down. It is suspected this is the “big-one” and it could last for years. Everyone in the house feels confident that they can weather the storm, grow food as needed for the family, the well can supply water, there are plenty of guns and ammo to arm the defenders…and the defenders are all well trained.

He bangs on the door again…weaker this time. His wife has collapsed with the daughter in her arms, they’re sobbing uncontrollably, the oldest son, better view of him, now has a baseball bat in his hands, the father is crying as well.

What would you think? What would you do?

Think hard about that…really hard…think it through…get your response clearly in your head. Now that you have that in your head, read on…

You are the father or wife outside of the door. It is your daughter with the 1000-yard stare because she was raped by two gang members that raided your house earlier that night, beat your wife and you unconscious. They stole all of your food, your guns, your ammo, everything you had. Then lit your house of fire as they left. You were able to get your family out just in time. You dug up the shotgun from the backyard that you had hidden there “just in case”. Your oldest son picked up an old softball bat from the side yard as you walked away. He wanted something to help you defend the family. You walked for two hours through the night with your family terrified that another gang might catch you. You finally got to the house of a person that you met a couple of times and whom you respect…and who you thought might be the one person able to help your family in this time of crisis and extreme need. You have knocked and banged on their door three times…you’ve begged for their help…there has been no response. You don’t know what you will do now.

Now that you’ve heard the whole story… What would you think? What would you do?

I hope the spirit of the scenario that I just relayed has touched you in the way I meant it to.

Summary

I need you, I want you, to really listen…please. Listen not just with your ears/eyes but also with your heart and spirit. Listen closely…

There is a storm coming…a big one, a very bad one. As it approaches the skies will darken, it will grow cold and as inhospitable as you’ve ever known. Things will happen that you never expected…some good and some bad. Some people will become better than you ever expected, some worse. Institutions will fail, some will oppress, some will abandon you, and some will step up. Overall, it will be bad, very bad.

Now please…listen even closer…

You can overcome, you can succeed, you can beat whatever comes our way. I promise you that!

Some of what will help you to succeed and overcome you can learn from this website. Some of what will help you to succeed and overcome you can find in family, friends, church, and community. Most of what will enable you to not just succeed and overcome, but to thrive,…will come from inside of you. It will come as a result of who are have become and your ability to be the person you need to be.

And yes, for those of you who are religious, myself included, a lot of who you are inside comes from Him, His strength, His grace, His love, His sacrifice for you. Draw on that. Become who He needs you to be.

If you are not the person you need to be…well, that’s OK. Start now and become the person you need to be! Regardless of who you are, what you have done…you can be the right kind of person…the person you need to be…the person you should be. You can do that!

By now, reading this post, you either think I am crazy or something else…who knows what. But, if you are reading this and are truly hearing what I am saying…well, you know…you just know.

You know what you need to do…starting right now, you know what you need to do…who you need to be. Please…just go do it.

Be prepared for the coming storm. Your family needs you. Your church needs you. Your community needs you. He needs you. Be that person.


Personal Note:

For me this SitRep started out like so many others, then I went into the Second Amendment lecture. Yeah, painful I know…sorry (kinda of). The rest of the sections were fairly normal for me. Then came the Change of Creature and Summary. Something clicked inside of me, something strange, heartfelt. But, it was more than that…but I can’t put it into words. If you are still reading this SitRep I think you understand what I am saying.

Last night after I went to bed I laid awake thinking about this SitRep and how it would be received this morning as ya’ll read it. Honestly, I was a little concerned that some would find it demeaning or insulting…not sure why but that is what I felt. But just as quickly I felt that a good number of you would “get it” and know what I am getting at, what I am trying to say…or at least trying to get at. And for those of you that do get it…that would be all worth it.

Then I felt seriously impressed…and I mean seriously impressed that I should add a contact form for you to send me your thoughts and feelings that you receive from this SitRep. I am not 100% sure why…I think it might be different for each person that responds. But, what I want to to do is give you a chance, if you feel it appropriate and you feel prompted, to tell me what this Sitep means to you. And yes, the Change of Creature and Summary are the sections I am specifically referring to.

I would love to hear how you felt, what you feel prompted to do, any changes you feel inspired to make, and/or any actions you feel motivated to take. And yes…anything else you care to share with me.

If you want everyone to be able to read what you have to say you can use the “reply” option on the page. For the more special, intimate, spiritual, or personal stuff you can use the contact form. I look forward to hearing what you have to share. Thank you!

Go back

Your message has been sent


Warning

Warning

Warning

Warning.

 

2009 - 2019 Copyright © AHTrimble.com ~ All rights reserved
No reproduction or other use of this content 
without expressed written permission from AHTrimble.com
See Content Use Policy for more information.

 

Update – 9/16/2019

Yeah, you’ve probably been wondering what happened to me…or have you?

I prepared a whole bunch of posts ahead of time to make sure fresh content and resurrected articles kept getting posted to the website in my absence. And yes…that means I’ve been gone. I have been working on our house that I am building for our retirement…and whatever else the future holds for us. But, I got back a couple of days ago, and re-acclimated to society.

This morning I began working on the website again. First thing I did was review and pending comments and approved those that needed it so they would appear. Then I spent about 1-1/2 hours updating the Table of Contents with all the articles that have appeared in the last 7 weeks. So the Table of Contents should be very useful once again.

Yes, I know that the entries in Escape from Home stopped at the end of August. Two reasons for that; 1) I didn’t edited and schedule additional entries before I left, 2) I wanted to give the Days of September exclusive attention on the site. I really felt that it deserved it from a usefulness perspective. I hope some of you felt the same way.

So, what does the future hold?

  1. I have content scheduled through the middle of October or so. I will be adding to that as time permits before I head back to the house project in a few days.
  2. I will try and get some more Escape from Home entries scheduled as well. If you are wondering why I only have them showing up every three days…simple, to get you coming back to the website on a regular basis.
  3. I am going to be doing a SitRep…I feel it is very, very important right now. There are some very important things going on right now and I want to give you my take on them.
  4. I am also going to be looking over the hundreds of emails I received and see if I can get some responses out. So please don’t get mad if you sent me an email and you don’t hear back from me.
  5. I am working on a series of articles that I feel may be the single most important articles I will ever write. Yes, it is that important and serious. I will be working on that project for the next month. I want it to come out no later than the end of October. It is going to lay out a “road map” that I don’t think you want to miss.

Now, I want to hear from you. I want to hear exactly what you would like me to write about starting in November and on. It can be on any topic as long as it is related to preparedness. Let me know by using the form below.

Go back

Your message has been sent


Warning

Warning

Warning

Warning.

2009 - 2019 Copyright © AHTrimble.com ~ All rights reserved
No reproduction or other use of this content 
without expressed written permission from AHTrimble.com
See Content Use Policy for more information.

 

SitRep – 7/23/2019

Here I go again…more spewing of opinion on what I see is happening. Lucky for you I am writing SitReps less than one a month.

Not a whole lot has changed since the last SitRep (6/16/2019), mostly the situation has just continued to decline and deepen.

I had a conversation yesterday with a friend I have had for over 40 years. She asked me how much more time we had left…specifically, would the country last another 5 – 10 years. Much to her disappointment I gave her my standard/stock (albeit, correct) answer.

We could last another 50 – 100 years, or we could collapse in the morning.

Yeah, I know…Why is she still my friend?

However, that is my standard answer and it hasn’t changed in the last 6 – 7 years…and probably won’t. Well, not until we get a “singularity” point, or some other event on a significant enough scale that will affect our standing as a country. And yes, we could wake up on any given morning have experienced one…and see that the country is crashing around us. For right now…we are just a slow train wreck…but a wreck all the same.

Okay, on with the SitRep…

Today I will cover three primary areas of concern:

  • Economy
  • Deepfake AI
  • Violence
Economy –

In my post FAQ – 7/5/2019 I talked about the shrinking middle class…it is disappearing, and has been since 1970…at an alarming rate. Well, on 7/16 CNBC released an article that talked about the middle-class and how they have a very sour outlook on the economy and their future. And that attitude has taken a noticeable downturn in the last six months. In one report the middle-class rated their ability to achieve the American Dream at only a “C”. And what would your parents have said to you if you came home with only C’s on your report card?

Another related report they covered stated that half of the middle-class feared a major recession coming within a year. That Stock Market Crash is a concern, threat, risk for preppers during grid-down.represents an increase of 10% in the last year alone. Their “feeling” was that we are due for a major recession…or worse. That’s HALF of them expect that!

And here was their response to prepare for that feared coming major recession:

  • Refinance their mortgage to free up money for them to spend.
  • Reduce their retirement contributions.

So there you have it…middle-class folks fear a major recession is coming and want to prepare for it. They intend to do that preparation by going deeper into debt and reducing their ability to retire. Just how smart is that?

Notice, there was no mention of reducing spending. To stabilize finances without reducing spending is impossible…simply impossible. Kinda sounds exactly like the federal government…spend more money, borrow more money, kick the “responsibility can” down the road. Wonderful!

This is one of those subjects that simply makes me furious…the debt ceiling. The debt ceiling is a monetary number that the government is not allowed to exceed in their borrowing. It is designed to keep the President and Congress in-check as far as fiscal irresponsibility is concerned. In other words…when the President/Congress seeks to borrow money they are constrained by law (i.e. the debt ceiling). Once that debt ceiling is reached Congress has to approve an increase in the debt ceiling before the government can borrow more money to spend. And this President and Congress are out of fiscal control…and they just crossed a red line.

The whole reason for having Congress approve an increase in the debt ceiling is accountability and compliance with the law. When they go through the process of raising the debt ceiling for a specific dollar amount the President has to formally request it and Congress has to formally vote on it for approval. That gives the public full knowledge of what is happening and puts the responsibility/accountability on the President and Congress. Not a perfect system to be sure, but at least one that keeps us, US citizens, informed and allows us to use that information at the ballot box.

But this President and this Congress decided that responsibility/accountability is not something they want to be saddled with. They worked together (called bi-partisanship) to not just raise the debt ceiling…but to put no limits on how high the debt can be raised during that time. Yup! You read that right. Suspending the debt ceiling means there is no limitation on the amount of money that can be borrowed by the federal government. Yes sir…whatever they borrow during the period of the suspension simply gets added to the national debt without having been voted on, approved, identified, and without anyone being held accountable…and the public being is kept in the dark about it. Nice job Mr President and members of Congress!!

Oh, but not to worry…this isn’t the first time the devious “debt ceiling suspension” trick has been used against the American public…no sir. Most recently the President and Congress did the same thing in February of 2018. Yup, they did a one-year suspension of the debt ceiling just last year. Maybe that is why this President and this Congress have borrowed more money per year than any other President & Congress in the history of the country!

This President is averaging nearly 35% more annual borrowing than the previous President. Ah yes…how sweet…the art of the deal. And that deal making is financially and economically tanking us faster than at any other time in the history of the country. Isn’t it great to see Dems and Repubs, Congress and President, working together so well?!?!?!?!?!

Technology: DeepFake & AI –

In my SitRep on 6/20/2019 I shared some disturbing information about the use of DeepFake technology utilizing Artificial Intelligence (AI). I hope you read it. Well, several cyber-security companies have recently released information concerning the use of DeepFake technology in the corporate world. Yeah, sooner or later it was going to happen.

So here is what is happening…a Chief Financial Officer (CFO) gets a call from the Chief Executive Officer (CEO) requesting an emergency money transfer. And yes…the “CEO” is a person impersonating the real CEO on the pone using DeepFake audio technology to sound exactly like the real CEO. With the help of AI, the DeepFake software has “learned” to sound just like the real CEO. And the amounts stolen through these money transfers are in the millions.

So you think the potential damage of what this technology could do would be limited…right? Wrong!

The potential damage that this technology can achieve in the corporate world is limitless. Imagine someone impersonating a CEO released an audio statement stating that their devices had been infiltrated by the Chinese and all the user’s personal and financial information was hijacked and it is now in the hands of the Chinese government. And, everyone was to immediately discontinue using their device and no “fixes” would be released, the company was declaring bankruptcy, and all the employees were not to come into work until further notice.

Pretty bad, eh?

Now, imagine that company CEO was head of Apple. What would the fallout be? What would happen to the price of Apple stock? What would happen to their company operations?

I watched a video of former President Obama calling President Trump a “dip st!t”…yes, you read that right…a video and in his own words Obama called him that name. How horrible!!! And worse…inciting.

Ah, only problem…it was a DeepFake video produced by Jordan Peel…and it was 100% DeepFake. Let me state clearly…I could not tell it was a fake. Be very, very cautious in the coming months about what you see and hear in the media.

About 10 days ago I read where they are now looking at making whole movies via DeepFake technology. Yup, entire movies with actors that we all know. Problem is…it won’t be the actors you are watching…it will be their DeepFake impersonations. Yeah, Imagine a young Sylvester Stallone playing the role of James Bond 007 with Michelle Obama as his Bond Girl. Yeah…yuck! But, it is coming!

Well, not entirely true…it is already here. There are already “remix” videos out there, but generally limited to only scenes, not entire movies. And the scenes look very good from what I’ve seen. Too good. So, it’s only limited to movies…no big deal…right?

Ah, what happens when those DeepFake videos become news releases from CEO’s…or worse…the President of the United States?

Can you imagine a video showing President Trump in the Situation Room secretly declaring war on Russia? And it shows him clearly telling his Generals, you can hear him plainly, that we will launch a full nuclear strike on Russia in an hour…and that video hits that Internet?

What other devious and dangerous ways could this DeepFake media technology endanger you, your family, our country?

Prepare yourselves for it…or not…and suffer the consequences if you don’t.

Violence –

Democrats and Republicans see violence coming! Yup, the Washington Examiner wrote an article recently based on a couple of reports that showed that 91% of all Democrats see violence coming, Republicans were at a 67%. That averages out to 80% of Americans expect to see violence soon.

And where exactly do they expect to see that violence coming from? That is a key to pay attention to.

The answer is…political supporters of each party. Yup, these folks expect to see violence at the hands of political party supporters. No, there was no distinction of which party…both party’s supporters are expected to commit the violence. The respondents are claiming “politically charged rhetoric” will be the motivation to commit the violence. Do you doubt that? Yeah, I didn’t think so. Just look at the recent Twitter wars and rally speeches and media releases.

So…enjoy the two-party system, enjoy the tough talk, enjoy the call to action, enjoy the political rhetoric. And then be prepared to deal with the after-affects.

I am telling you point blank…”VIOLENCE” is the #1 threat/risk we face in emergencies, disasters, and certainly in grid-down…and now it’s coming to our daily life. Be prepared…or suffer.

If you have been reading my website posts over the years you know I have an issue with cops misbehaving…SC cop plants taserCop brutally kicks handcuffed woman.especially when they shoot and kill unarmed citizens…or choke them to death for no reason…or punch and kick them when they are handcuffed and they are petite handcuffed women and the cop is a huge 220lb musclehead, etc.

You also know that I make a big differentiation between LEOs (law enforcement officers) and Peace Officers. The names should be sufficient to understand the difference.

And that being said…you should not commit violence against either while they are doing their legal and lawful responsibilities…period!

Yesterday I saw several reports of NYPD offices getting buckets of water thrown on them. Yes, the officers were on duty. Yes, they were making arrests. And yes, bystanders threw buckets of water on them. And in one case threw a bucket at an officer and hit him in the head with it. That is totally unacceptable!

Why?

Because today it is buckets of water being thrown on them to show disrespect…what about tomorrow, or the next day, or next week, or next month?

To their credit the officers ignored the attacks and didn’t take the action that there were entitled to by law. After all…it is assault and battery on a police officer…even if it is a bucket of water. The officers showed amazing and admirable restraint.

But, what about the next time? The next time is it a brick, a bucket of urine or feces, or a bucket of cement? What about if the next time the officer is a musclehead SS type…and shoots the water thrower?

This has potential disaster written all over if it becomes a fad or trend!

And here is an interesting side tidbit…did you notice that they were NYPD officers? And who is running New York City? Yeah, a radical communist/socialist mayor. Nuf said.

Summary –

With everything that is happening in the country/world right now, the single most important thing you can do is be informed so you can be better prepared.

  • If you want to learn to be better aware of hat is happening <click here>
  • If you want to be better prepared to mitigate the threat/risk of violence <click here>
  • If you want to better understand what is happening in our country right now…and where we are headed <click here>

I can’t force you to be prepared, I can’t even force you to see what is happening, or to connect the dots…even if I lay it out plainly for you. What you see, believe, and do is completely and totally up to you. And that is as it should be. I don’t want to change that.

What I would like you to do is consider that you are seeing in the country/world today…then think it through…ponder it. Then I would like you to assess what are the threats/risks to your family. And then finally…what commonsense, reasonable, well-grounded, and balanced steps can you take to mitigate those threats and risks.

If you want to learn more about identifying risks and threats…and how to mitigate them <click here>.

But, please, I am begging you…do not ignore the warning signs that are all around us. Tough times are here, really tough times are coming. The threats and risks are real. And just as real are the ways to prepare to avoid them and/or the best ways to deal with them. It is all about keeping your family as safe as possible during bad times.

 

 

2009 - 2019 Copyright © AHTrimble.com ~ All rights reserved
No reproduction or other use of this content 
without expressed written permission from AHTrimble.com
See Content Use Policy for more information.

 

 

SitRep – 6/16/2019 (Part #2)

Solution Summary –

Now this is the part that I’ve been really looking forward to! And before I get too far along I want to share a few thoughts first…kinda like to set the stage properly. And before I do that, if you didn’t read the original SitRep of 6/15, I am going to suggest that you read the SitRep that is generating this Part #2 post. <click here to read it>

Also…

#1 – I am just a fairly normal person. I have no special insights that come from divine sources. I have had no dreams or visions of the future, especially not concerning what I write in this post.

#2 – I am speaking of my own views and opinions and what I can do to make things a little better. In other words…these solutions are based on what I think I can/should do. Plus a thought or two for you to consider.

#3 – Please take everything I say and ponder it a lot before you consider taking the same or similar action. What is right for me may not be right for you. You have to do the right things for you.

#4 – Please provide feedback…especially if you think I am off the mark. If you see me going down the wrong path (in your opinion) then talk to me about it. We might be able to find a better solution working together…undoubtedly.

OK, that is out of the way. Now, let’s talk about some general solutions to what I outlined in the 6/16 SitRep.

First and foremost…stay away from fringes. In other words…moderation in all things. And yet another way to look at it…no extremes, no radical(isms), no abnormal behavior. Yeah, I know, that can be very subjective. But you my friends are intelligent well-grounded folks and you know what I am talking about. Think “balance”.

Example: Not ever using a bank. That is radical and extreme…and no common sense to it. There is nothing wrong with using a bank. Now, depending on it for everything and having all your liquid/cash resources in a bank is just as extreme. Find a good balance for you.

Next, use common sense. If you are reading this article on this website you are probably pretty intelligent, pretty well educated (not necessarily “schooled”), and pretty well grounded. That implies that you have a heavy dose of common sense. Use it! If something doesn’t seem to make sense…well, it’s probably nonsense. If something sounds too good to be true…it is.

Example: Someone that you know tells you they have had a dream that you should put all your money into dandelion oil futures. Does that make any sense at all? Nope! First, making an investment decision on someone’s dream is plain stupid. Investing in something as off-beat as dandelion oil is pretty far-fetched as well. But, futures in dandelion oil…come on! Really? Use your God-given common sense.

Have a firm foundation for your beliefs. I wrote an article back in 2016 “Are you well grounded?” that article touches on this topic pretty decently.  <click here>

But, the bottom line is this…know what you believe and why. The “why” can be tricky. If you base your foundation on situational ethics your foundation is weak…made of sand. But, if your foundation is built of rock…well, it’s solid.

Example: Is it okay to kill people? Most folks will say “no!”…but why would they (including you and me) say no? For me…it violates the 6th Commandment (of the 10 Commandments). Why do I put so much stock in the 10 Commandments? Because I believe in God. So my foundation is rock solid…it won’t change based on situational ethics. Now, is it ever okay to kill someone? Yes. A God-given right is the right to defend ourselves. So taking a life in self-defense is acceptable. What about war? War is another example of self-defense. What about defending our family? Yes, the scriptures and Prophets tell us we are responsible to protect our families. So you get the point.

A last example would be the Governor of a state, President of a country, or leader of a military unit simply giving an order to kill someone who was no threat, or it is otherwise illegal to do so. You then would have a moral obligation to refuse to kill that person. And if your foundation is built on a rock…you will be willing to accept the consequences of your decision.

Now…let’s get into specifics for each category of the original 6/16 SitRep.

Flood & Food –

First off, if you have food storage the flood issues wouldn’t affect you anyways. But, that being said the best way to avoid reacting inappropriately to this kind of issue is Situational Awareness (SA). Knowing that the vast majority of crops that are being affected are corn and soy beans. So going out and panic buying a year’s supply of wheat wouldn’t solve anything. And most of the soy beans affected are normally exported as well. So the panic of flood and the prospect of food shortages declines from panic to mild concern.

When you hear of catastrophes, but before you panic react, know what you are dealing with and its true effect on your world. That is good SA!  A series of articles to help you know more about Situational Awareness, and how to use it, can be found at <click here>

Financial –

The #1 way to be objective about economic and financial situations/issues is to understand that everyone that talks about it in the media has an agenda. And they, along with politicians, are seeking money and power. So when you hear about economic data the first question would be something along the lines of…”If I take this information as true, and act on it, who benefits the most in terms of money and power?”

So, when you hear that unemployment is at historic lows…what do you believe and what do you do about it?

Let’s employ my question…”If historically low unemployment numbers are true, who benefits the most in terms of money and power from those low unemployment numbers?” Answer that one honestly and objectively and you start to understand where those numbers come from and why. Once that is done then you can look at what you do, or don’t do, in regards to that information.

Now, if I am right about the economy and financial systems being in trouble do you believe it and what do you do about it? Well, for me and my family we do the following:

1 – Get out of debt. Debt is a cruel master that can cause serious trouble for you in everyday life. Generally speaking debt would not affect you very much in terms of emergencies or disasters…unless your ability to recover from either is reduced, or eliminated. Meaning…you don’t have an emergency fund to repair damages, replace items, or buy necessities. For a grid-down event…I don’t see debt being a significant problem, at least initially. If you have a lot of debt let’s say after an EMP event, how would that negatively affect you? My opinion…not much. As time goes on the lust for power and money will grow. And, if you are in debt (i.e. mortgage) and can’t pay it…you could have your house repossessed and your family is now on the street. Same could be true for anything that is held as security for a debt. And worse of all…same could be true if you can’t pay taxes. You have real-estate taxes wherein you could lose your home. You have income taxes where you could be put in jail. And one I want you to really think about…if you have a car loan, and it goes unpaid, you could lose your transportation.

2 – Have a cash emergency fund. The amount is dependent on your individual situation. And yes, I mean cash…not a bank balance. But yes, you can have funds in a bank…that is fine. But, have a cash emergency fund available.

3 – Have an IRA/401k. You don’t know, I don’t know, no one knows for sure, when the system crashes. Yes, it will crash but you aren’t smart enough to know when…I know I’m not. But, you do know that you will retire…prepare for it. A self-funded, self-directed retirement fund is imperative. If you don’t have one, and refuse to get one, you are setting yourself up for a disaster at some point in your life. We use Fidelity and for growth we use an S&P index based mutual fund. And please…don’t spout off nonsense about stocks, mutual funds, and such gibberish. They have a good history of performance over a long period of time. Can they go bad? Sure. Will they go bad? Absolutely. And we don’t have a clue as to when. Till they do…use them to your advantage! And prepare for what you know has a very high probability of happening…retirement.

4 – Precious metals. Have some, but not too much. Historically precious metals have been a good way to transfer/maintain wealth during difficult times. But, for me personally…precious metals should NOT be viewed as an investment. Precious metals are a commodity NOT a currency. Precious metals are similar to insurance (wealth insurance) they are NOT intended to make you money. Don’t have more than 10% of all your investments in precious metals…ever! Do not own any precious metals until all other seven areas of preparedness priorities are met. <click here>

5 – Pay more attention to macro-economic indicators. Individual tax rates going up or down is a micro indicator. The amount of tax revenue being sucked out of the private sector to the government is a macro indicator. Yes, more income tax flowing out of the private sector into the federal government is bad, very bad. GDP is a micro indicator (albeit a decent one). The annual federal deficit is a macro indicator. Unemployment numbers are a micro indicator. National debt is a macro indicator. I am not saying to ignore micro indicators, just put much more importance on macro indicators. It is the macro indicators that will point more accurately to the true state of the economy and the financial system.

6 – Have access to land that you can grow food on.

War –

It is inevitable…and it is already taking place. We have multiple hot wars right now. While limited in scope, they are shooting wars all the same. And one thing I completely avoided mentioning in the original SitRep is this…in a very real sense we are already at war with Russia…and have been so since 2015 in a noticeable way…digital warfare.

Digital warfare is much more subtle but can be far more effective…and much cheaper to wage. A “David” could slay a “Goliath” in digital warfare and relatively inexpensively. We know pretty conclusively that Russia interfered with, as in “influenced”, the 2016 Presidential election. No, they didn’t get Trump elected. But, we do know that they had a concerted and successful effort via Internet media to influence voters and political topics. We also know that they probably hacked into several states’ voting systems. We have a very good idea that they hacked DNC computers.

Considering the rate of technology growth what do you think they are capable of now, four years later? How about what Russia might do in the 2020 elections? Have no doubt…that kind of activity is warfare just as much as firing a missile at a ship is.

So what has our country’s reaction been? We have launched cyber-attacks and cyber-reconnaissance against Russia…and to a lesser degree China. We are engaged in digital warfare with both of our major world opponents. And if one side begins to lose in a significant way…what do you think the other side will do? If one side’s ability to wage an appropriate cyber based response…what do you think their option(s) would then be? Could digital warfare morph into a shooting war?

OK, now all that being said…what is the solution? Sadly, at the individual level there is virtual no solution for this issue since it is controlled on a national and international level. What you can do is:

1 – Vote for politicians who appear to be least likely to get us into useless wars.

2 – If a useless war begins to take shape, protest against it.

3 – Generally be a well-prepared prepper in case the war (digital or shooting) begins to seriously affect the US.

4 – Voice your opposition to useless war whenever engaging in conversation about it.

Political –

Dang! This issue just plains sucks! I hate trying to come up with suggestions on this one because all politics just sucks and I hate it all. But, I promised I would provide some potential solutions, so here goes…

1 – Base political beliefs on fundamentally correct principles. I base my political beliefs on the Constitution. I am an originalist and a literalist in regards to the Consitution. I believe in the Constitution and Bill of Rights as originally written and intended by the Founding Fathers. If it isn’t in the Constitution, if it is not authorized in the Constitution, then it is not just illegal, it is immoral. If a politician doesn’t support the Constitution as such…then I won’t support the politician. Or, at the very least I will highly criticize them as appropriate.

Examples: The Civil Asset Forfeiture laws are clearly anti-Constitutional, violating a number of the 10 Bill of Rights amendments. Any law that infringes on the right to own a gun is clearly anti-Constitutional. If a politician supports CAF laws or any gun control law…then that politician does NOT support the Constitution nor our founding principles. And that is a huge Red Flag!!

2 – Understand who politicians are. All politicians lust for power and/or money. Yes, even the well-intentioned politicians lust for power…even if it is the power to change things for the better. As we well know through our knowledge of the nature of man…give a man a little power and he always wants more. There is very little in this life that corrupts a soul faster or more completely than power.

When looking at what a politician does or proposes, ask yourself this…Who gains power and money through this proposal or action?

3 – Understand power exists only in one place at a time. When the Founding Fathers wrote the Constitution the vast majority of the power rested with the individual and then the states. Now where does the vast majority of power reside?

As the federal government has grown in power it has shifted from the individual citizen to the federal government. And it has also shifted from the states to the federal government.

Power is not created, it can only shift from one owner to another. The individual (rightful owner) is far more trustworthy with power than the federal government any day! The founders knew that and tried to write the Constitution to prevent the federal government from being as powerful as it is. While their effort was gallant, tireless, and paid for in blood…they failed. The Constitution has become corrupted and we have an all-powerful federal government that makes 1770’s England look passive.

Know when the individual and/or state is losing power to the federal government…and resist it.

4 – Never trust what a politician says. Politicians will say anything to get elected and stay in power. They will also lie to pass their legislation. Watch what a politician does…that will show his character and intentions.

5 – Don’t support the “impeach Trump” effort in any way. Not only is it a political scheme by radical democrats…it is an actual coup. It is an effort by democrats to forcibly remove a sitting President from office outside of the electoral process. Why? Because the democrats want that power. It is nothing more than that…a power struggle. It is NOT a fight of good vs. evil…it is only about the struggle for power.

6 – Pay close attention to what is happening politically. Along with that…”who” is on “what” side of the political spectrum. Your good friend who is a moderate democrat today could well be the radical violent democrat protesting on the street and participating in the coup against Trump tomorrow. And how might that person begin to view your political beliefs? And what might they decide to do about it?

OK, that’s enough for now.

Technology –

One part of technology that I kinda skimmed over in the original SitRep is social media. I didn’t want to get into that subject. But, I think I better state a couple thoughts…maybe just one. Social media is a very dangerous environment. Companies can learn virtually anything about you via your social media activities. And that means any government agency has access to that information as well. Don’t for a moment think that the federal government isn’t monitoring social media…THEY ARE!

The secret police agencies of the federal government (mostly the FBI, CIA, & NSA) monitor every form of social media, record all that activity, create files on individuals containing that activity, and can use it against anyone at any time for any reason. And that means you and I !!!  You cannot hide your social media activity…it’s impossible. You can’t mask it, you cannot trick them, you can’t avoid them tracking you.

I am not telling you to get off all social media…or even reduce your activity. I just want you to be aware of what is FBI & DHS report on rightwing extrmeism and domestic terroristshappening. Remember this…as we’ve clearly seen, the federal government has weaponized the FBI, CIA, NSA, and even the IRS against anyone they view as an “enemy” or “potential terrorist”. Who’s that? <click here> Be aware and decide for yourself how easy you want to make it for them to target you.

Now, generally speaking what is my solution for the problem of technology?

1 – Clearly understand that the purpose of AI, as stated by technology companies, is to replace humans with AI controlled machines. And many of those machines are designed to be robots…some that are eerily similar in appearance to humans, some quite lethal.

2 – Make sure you have the capability to conduct your daily life 100% free of any and all technology.

3 – Make sure your prepping can be 100% technology free.

4 – Do not trust technology, those that are developing it, or especially their so-called mission statements for AI technology.

5 – When you start to see inflammatory statements by high-profile people, especially national leaders, STOP!!!  Think about what they are saying. Does it sound rational and does it make sense? Could it be sourced from a deepfake environment?

People –

This is going to be one area where I undoubtedly will make some folks uncomfortable…others will go completely off their nut. I hope a few find some useful information.

1 – Develop a firm foundation for your belief system. I believe, for me at least, it is Christianity. And I don’t mean some Taliban form of it. And I certainly don’t mean some mushy form of it. For me it is simple…the 10 Commandments, the Golden Rule, and the Beatitudes provide a great foundation. If people would follow those simple, clear, and practical guidelines there would be virtually no problems in the world today.

2 – Do not be a CBB. I coined a new term…Christians Behaving Badly. By this I mean try to live up to #1 all the time. That being said, allow others to believe as they wish. I am not referring to Carte Blanche behavior. What I am referring to is simple…don’t attack others when they don’t agree with your opinion. And when I mean attack…I mean personally attack, demean, criticize, etc…especially publicly. Why? For crying out loud, do I need to explain that!? Ask yourself this, if you find yourself about to be publicly critical of someone you think is wrong on a spiritual subject…is what you are saying helpful to that person or not?

Those that engage in CBB activities are often deluded in to thinking they are being some great advocate for Christ. They are not! They are behaving in a very un-Christian manner.

And there are a few, fortunately very few, who would try and justify their wrong-hearted behavior by saying, “Yeah but Christ contended with so and so, or got violent with the money changers!” Yup, He did…and you are NOT Christ! You do not know the heart of the person you are attacking, you don’t know their intention. Heck…you don’t even know if they misspoke or mistyped! They might be a poor communicator. Or you may have jumped to a wrong conclusion.

Rather than lash out in a manner that would make Satan smile, use your heart and your head. Discuss in a loving manner the principle, your view, and substantiate it through scripture or other authoritative sources.

If you are a Taliban Christian (CBB) try reading Colossians 3:12, Romans 15:5, Galatians 5:22-23 and a long list of other scriptures. But, most of all think about the Golden Rule. Then ask yourself…What are the results of your behavior…for your target…and for you?

If you are a CBB…Stop!

If you encounter CBB treat them like you would any weak-minded, cowardly bully. First, don’t engage them. They are acting this way due to a mental and/or spiritual problem…and you are highly unlikely going to be able to change them. Heck, don’t even try to change them, leave that up to their family, close friends, their spiritual leadership, a professional councilor, etc. Second, support the person they are attacking. Find something about the other person that you can complement them on, agree with them on, or in some other way let them know that they are not alone. A CBB is nothing more than a misguided bully. But, their target needs to know that Christians are good people and don’t behave that way. Defend them publicly, but also reach out to them privately. I’ve seen victims of CBBs get really down due to the attack. Don’t let Satan win! Let good Christians know that other good Christians are there for them…that they are not alone!

3 – Understand democrats and act accordingly. Remember I consider democrats to be Progressives, Liberals, Democrats, and RINOs. Democrats desire to overthrow the US government, via democracy, into a socialist/Communist country…then establish a complete totalitarian regime. They want nothing less!

There are no moderate democrats. ALL members of the democratic party support, directly or in-directly, the same goals and policies. And that includes infanticide. Some democrats are more vocal than others in speaking the truth about their goals…but the support is unanimous…whether they think so or not.

4 – Conservatism is not a good thing. Our Founding Fathers were not conservatives. They were classical liberals.

For the record… “Classical liberalism” is the term used to designate the ideology advocating private property, an unhampered market economy, the rule of law, constitutional guarantees of freedom of religion and of the press, and international peace based on free trade.

Conservatism as it is known today is not classical liberalism. Libertarians are a much closer match to our Founding Fathers. Remove the anarchists that have hijacked part of libertarianism and you would have a nearly perfect match.

Fortunately, many people who claim to be conservatives are actual libertarian in their beliefs. If you add the belief in a civil society to libertarianism (civil-society libertarianism) then you have a match with many people who think they are conservatives.

Think about politicians who claim to be conservatives…do they match the definition of “classical liberalism” or do they distort it? Do they justify variances to it? Or, do they advocate for more law and order vs defending rights and liberties? Do they advocate war, police actions, military interventions, democracy building? Do they defend freedom of religion, regardless of the consequences…or do they vote in favor of reducing religious liberties/rights? Do they favor Civil Asset Forfeiture laws and other violations of due process…or do they support private property and the rule of law?

It is not hard to determine who is a friend of the Constitution and believe in our founding principles…and who are the enemies of the same. Figure out who is who…and who you choose to support politically.

5 – Get to know people for who they really are…not who they say they are. This will be incredibly important as time goes on. It will have the ability to prevent misunderstandings and help avoid being easily deceived by people.

6 – Stick with the scriptures and authorized servants of God. Don’t get sucked into paths that lead away from the gate to heaven. Do not trust in the arm of flesh. Do not get caught up in spiritual fads. Learn the difference between spiritual feelings and emotional feelings. Follow spiritual feelings, question emotional feelings.

7 – Be careful of, leery of, cautious of, people who claim dreams and visions. Many who believe in these things will quote Joel 2:28 from the Bible. And they neglect, maybe purposely ignore, the context and prior verses. Namely who these people will be, what they have to go through, and what type of people they are, and the environment in which it all occurs. And be even more doubtful and disbelieving of what they claim they saw in these visions and dreams (i.e. content).

Why? Because the Bible also tells us to expect false prophets in the last days. And what is the purpose of false prophets? To lead people astray from God…into Satan’s grasp.

So are there people who are legitimately entitled to messages from God through dreams and visions? Absolutely, 100% there are. Who are they? People who have the right to such. Namely, everyone has the right to receive guidance from God for their personal life. Parents have the right to guidance from God for their family. The leader of a congregation same thing. An entire church, same thing. There are people who are authorized servants of God who are perfectly entitled to receive messages from God via dreams and visions. My faith states as a core belief… “We believe in the gift of tongues, prophecy, revelation, visions, healing, interpretation of tongues, and so forth.”

The key to this point is this…is the message from God (i.e. spiritual), or a sincere/honest desire of the person (i.e. emotional), or nefarious (i.e. commercial venture or lust for power)? And the only way to determine that is a process.

First- is the message clearly supported by scripture?

Second- is the message clearly supported by current authorized servants of God?

Third- is there a “right” to receive this message, are they authorized to receive the message?

Fourth- is this message and its delivery method free from commercial gain?

Fifth- is this message free of any shift of power, or God-given right, from yourself to another?

Any “no” is a huge Red Flag!

If all five answers are “yes” then the message is probably good. But, this is only a start to figuring out if the message is from God or not. A good question to follow-up the above five with (if you’ve received five yes answers)…”Why this person? What makes them so special for God to speak through them to me? Why didn’t God speak directly to me?”

If you have others saying that so and so is special, has a special path to God, sees visions/dreams, and then they testify that they are from God…Red Flag! You may be deceived into believing the person testifying vs. testing the validity of the message itself.

Yes, I am urging much caution in this area. There has been an alarming increase in the numbers of people being led astray by false prophets in the last 10 years. Please don’t be one of these that put your trust in someone, or your belief in someone, that is a false prophet.

Now, conversely…if you have someone teaching messages from scripture or if you have an authorized servant of God talking to you about things that are corroborated in scripture…you are probably on safe ground. But, be safe…kneel in prayer to God with an honest and sincere heart, asking if what you are hearing is true. God will not fail you when it comes to revealing truth. The Comforter will bear witness. Just make sure it is the Comforter and not your emotions.

Solutions Summary –

We are in the last days. We are experiencing wars and the probability of more wars grows almost daily. There are some very bad people in our world trying to do many bad things. The US government is no longer a government of, or for, the people. Financially we are on very unstable ground. Wicked forms of government are taking root and getting stronger. People’s hearts are failing them and becoming cold and hard. Calamities and chaos is all around us.

At the same time…there are some incredible people out there doing amazing things, selfless acts of kindness, pouring out mercy, and miracles occurring. We have some of the best and sweetest souls on earth that we have ever seen. Opportunities to prepare, help others, and gather useful information has never been greater.

Many people I talk with are experiencing nothing short of miracles in their lives. They are doing God’s work and spreading His word. People are leaving old ways and embracing God’s plan by the tens of thousands each moth, if not each week. Technology is allowing more people to hear God’s messages more than at any time in the history of the world.

We have more opportunities to help others, to be kind to others, to minister to others, and to be His children than can be imagined. We need but to seize those opportunities.

I ask of you a few simple things:

1 – Learn the principles of preparedness.

2 – Become prepared and ready to help you family, neighbors, and community.

3 – Grow closer to God.

4 – Grow closer to your family.

5 – Build a strong foundation of beliefs.

Remember a couple of things:

1 – It’s never the wrong time to do the right thing.

2 – The harder right is worth more than the easier wrong.

 

The storm is coming…sooner than many think. Please be prepared for all that is to come. You won’t regret it.

 

Note: I am not expert. I am just a guy sharing his opinions and views with you. I hope in some small way I’ve helped.

 

2009 - 2019 Copyright © AHTrimble.com ~ All rights reserved
No reproduction or other use of this content 
without expressed written permission from AHTrimble.com
See Content Use Policy for more information.

SitRep – 6/16/2019

Introduction –

It has been a very long time since I did any new original articles and even longer since a SitRep has appeared on the site. But, that changes today! Why? Because a SitRep is needed, sorely needed. I started writing this SitRep on Saturday morning, finished it late Sunday…with lots of editing during the process. I didn’t want to write it too quickly after the most recent bombing in the Gulf, and I didn’t want to publish it too quickly and not get the right material in it. So here we go…

But, I want to answer a popular question first…

Why has there been little in the way of new website content? That is simple…I’m building the house my wife and I are going to retire in (January 2020). I started clearing and prepping the building site in late February. I just got back from a 5-week stint where I accomplished about 70% of the siding, roughed in the electrical, and completed the utility shed along with a lot of the infrastructure to a nearly usable point. And doing that by yourself when you are 64 years old ain’t easy! Everything takes more time…and plenty of Aleve each day.

One of the benefits to this time building the house is solitude. I have lots of time to think, ponder, and reflect since my wife is 320 miles away. Another benefit is no TV and no proverbial talking heads trying to sound important as well as knowledgeable…and almost always failing. And yet another positive aspect…I am able to read “news” on my schedule and as in-depth as I want. As the last two trips (5-weeks & 6 weeks respectively) have unfolded I have seen some very serious trends developing…and I am becoming ever increasingly concerned. Seriously concerned.

Now, one of the things that I’ve also been thinking about are “people.” But, in a slightly different way than you might be thinking. I’ve also had people ask for more solution oriented SitRep posts. I’ve even had a few folks express their…well…let’s just say disappoint that some of my SitRep posts seem fatalistic. They appear to think that I am somehow suggesting that they do nothing about the current world/national situation. That one surprised me. So, this SitRep will be my normal view/opinion of what’s happening and more details on a “solution”…or more accurately “solutions”.

And…of course I will probably step on a few toes in the process. And that should come as no surprise. If I was simply trying to make ya’ll happy I wouldn’t be honest…I would just be another target-audience pandering website.

And once again…if you are not willing to read this entire post to the end…including the “Summary/Solution” (Part #2) please don’t read any further. And yes, this is going to be a fairly long SitRep…not a simple fluff piece…be prepared to read a bunch. And sorry, I am not putting in pretty pictures for entertainment purposes.

So are you ready to rumble??????!!!!!!!

Flood & Food –

I figured I better get this one out of the way right off the bat.

I am not concerned about the current flooding in the US as it applies to food production. The US is a very large country with many areas able to produce the food that is being affected in the Mississippi flood plain. While individual farmers are facing terrible conditions, crops wiped out, cropland unusable for this growing season, etc…the nation as a whole is not suffering the same fate. As such, I don’t see a significant and worrisome condition as it pertains to available food due to flood conditions.

In a strange way the reduction in food exports to China due to the tariff wars has to a degree mitigated the reduction in food production due to abnormal flooding this year. 

Financial –

He we go again! If you were to listen to one particular group of financial “experts” you would think our country has never been in better shape financially/economically. Yeah, and it is motivated by, and originates from, a political viewpoint. But, if we are in such great shape as a country…

1 – Why do 60% of US citizens have mental anxiety and/or physical stress over their financial condition according to a recent poll? And especially when 55% approve of Trump’s handling of the economy?

2 – Why is private debt reaching an all-time high?

3 – Why are annual federal budget deficits running at record levels?  Especially considering that tax money is flowing out of the private sector (citizens and companies) to the federal government at historic levels?

4 – Why is the national debt skyrocketing the last couple of years? Well, actually for a couple of decades now? But, I am more concerned about the later year figures.

5 – Why is GDP softening and so dramatically falling below projections/expectations?

6 – Why is the Federal Reserve making it public that they are considering lowering interest rates?

7 – Why is the IMF announcing a softening in the US economy and reducing its projections of US economic growth?

8 – Why are new and existing home sales dropping? Why are pending home sales dropping? (Yes, according to national NAR statistics.)

I could go on but you get the idea. Now, if you are a political ideologue you either applaud my questions/implications or you think I am full of crap. Yes, that implies I am calling you a Trump hater or a Trump lover. And you would be dead wrong! I am simply pointing out substantial financial/economic information that objectively clarifies where we are financially/economically as a country. And my friends………it ain’t good!

The #1 concern of mine is “debt”…and that means private and public debt. Both are at record levels! And the private debt quality is getting lower. That means a combination of amount of and days that payments are delinquent, and it includes the amount of sub-prime debt. Those two figures, and trends, are in critical territory as far as I am concerned…and getting worse by the week.

And what happened the last time debt became this much of an issue combined with a weakening housing market? I am very, very concerned about the state of the US economy and our overall financial situation. I think it could tumble very easily. And when it does (notice I didn’t say “if”) it will go down hard and fast. I believe the probability of that happening has increased significantly over the last year and is growing more unstable by the week.

War –

This is one that I’ve not talked a whole lot about in the past…but now I must.

First, let’s talk reality…we’ve been at war continuously for nearly 20 years. The longest time period of US war footing in the history of the United States! And more to the point…What does the United States have to show for it? We’ve lost thousands and thousands of American military lives in that time frame. Tens of thousands more have been gravely injured and lost limbs, etc. Tens of thousands of families have been destroyed due to repeated deployments to war zones. Veteran and active duty suicides are at record highs. Conservative figures place the current suicide rate at a minimum of 20 per day….every single day we have our military folks killing themselves. That means more of our military people are dying from the aftermath of war than the war itself.

Next, reality check…What have we gained for 20 years of war? Well, we completely destroyed Iraq and hundreds of thousands of civilians died in the process. We opened that country up to one of the biggest scourges that this world has ever seen…ISIS. And we rained destruction down on Afghanistan…as if you could tell since it was a desolate country to begin with. We eliminated al-Qaeda and beat back the Taliban…just for the country to be ruled over by war lords and corrupt politicians. And then to have the Taliban reemerge as we withdraw.  Then we went after Syria. Again…our military crushed them as they were asked to do. But, what did we accomplish? Did we change their leadership? No. Did a whole lot of civilians die? Yes. Did we make the country/region ripe for ISIS? Yes. Did we eliminate ISIS? For the most part, but they still exist and are still operational in some limited area in Syria. And tell me again…what else did we accomplish in Syria? And yes, I could go on and on referencing a long list of other countries where the so-called “fight against terrorism” continues. And what could you state has been our significant accomplishments in those many conflicts?

And now the toughest question…Realistically, can you honestly say that our accomplishments over the last nearly two decades of continuous war warrant the horrendous cost to the lives of our military men and women?

Now, factor in the trillions and trillions of dollars spent to rain down all this destruction -the trillions and trillions that our federal government borrowed- and ask yourself this, “Besides the terrible cost in lives…was it all worth the $’s spent?”

My God…I hope you answered a resounding “No!” to the last two questions.

If you can’t be honest enough with those two questions through a “No!” answer, then the rest of this post will be of absolutely no value to you and I urge you to read no further.

As we look at the potential of yet another hot war (i.e. Iran) we can see ourselves being able to crush them militarily…but their terrorist activity would increase significantly because Iran will not go down quietly. And remember, they clearly won the last time we engaged them (1980), and they directly killed hundreds of our troops in Afghanistan, Iraq, and Syria (2003 – 2018) at relatively minor cost. And there is a wildcard when going after Iran in a shooting war…Russia. What will/can they do in supporting their close ally Iran? If Russia abandons Iran they lose all hope of influence, and credibility, in that region…and I don’t see Russia willing to accept that.

Now let’s talk about war with China. And please…only reality talk. I don’t want to factor in anyone’s dream or vision of some fantasy in this regards. There are other venues for that, but not here.

What has happened the last two times when we slapped tough financial sanctions on an Asia country? Simple answer…war. In 1949 sanctions went into effect against the Soviet Union and its allies. (Don’t forget, a large swath of the old Soviet Union [Russia] was in Asia.) So what happened? In 1950 the Korean War broke out, and shortly thereafter Vietnam. In 1940 the US imposed sanctions on Japan. In 1941 Japan attacked the USA and a brutal world war erupted. So what exactly do you think will happen if we continue to battle China in an economic war through sanctions?

How much more does it take before we, as a country or us individuals, get sick and tired of useless war and say, “Enough is enough!”?

Well, as long as we have war mongers like John Bolton in positions of influence we will continue to have devastating wars, and threats of war…with few, if any, accomplishments to show for it.

What are the chances of going to war? First off, we are already in numerous wars. Second, we could end up in war with Iran any day. The US government has been pushing very hard for military action against Iran. Granted, Iran is a “bad guy”…an evil regime of which there is no doubt. And, we (the US) have bad guys as well pushing for war with them, John Bolton is at the head of that list. Over the last few months there have been numerous attacks on oil infrastructure in the Middle East. They include attacks on refining facilities, shipping facilities, and shipping. Most recently Iran attacked several oil tankers with mines…indisputable proof of such activity via drone footage. War with Iran could break out any day, they’ve already fired missiles at our drones. One was shot down in Yeman. We will strike them…then it will be up to Iran if we go to war.

I am saying it plainly…We are already at war, and there are three more potential wars that could spring up overnight. And if those wars would involve Russia or China…we will not win. If any kind of major conflict would develop with either country we will lose. Maybe not militarily, but the end result would be devastating to the US and to the rest of the world.

Why would the US government seek more war? Oh come on! You know the answer to that question already. War is a primary tool of any government to distract its own citizens from internal strife. ALL politicians are capable of using that tool when they feel their power is in jeopardy…no exceptions. And if that isn’t enough…the military-industrial complex make huge profits during times of war. Money and power…the root of politicians…and evil.

Political –

Right after the inauguration of Trump I laid out the coup that was taking place against him. And I identified the major players on the ground. I was 100% correct then, and I even identified the players by name and position who were waging the coup against him. And I believe I am just a correct as I share the following with you.

But first, let me clear up a misconception. You will hear many folks speak of a “soft” or “hard” coup. I don’t believe those terms to be correct. A coup is a coup…period. And any attempt to remove a President from office outside of the electoral process is a coup…period. Now, there is a difference in the means of a coup. But, not aligned with soft or hard terms. Coups are either violent or non-violent. An impeachment attempt of a President is a non-violent coup. An assassination of President is a violent coup. So, let’s be clear…way back after Trump was elected a non-violent coup began in earnest with the Whitehouse, DOJ, CIA, FBI, DNI, NSA, as well as others. Its plan was to create such a cloud of “treason” against Trump that he would never become President. I also believe that there were plans for a violent coup in the inner circle of conspirators as well…and that would include the armed intelligent agencies; CIA, DNI, & FBI with the assistance of the NSA.

The initial non-violent coup has failed. Although the second non-violent coup (impeachment) has the democrats -meaning Democrats, Progressives, liberals, RINOs- still fighting that fight. What we have to look at is the renewed resurgence of the non-violent impeachment coup via additional activity of the House of Representatives towards that end. They have somehow taken the Mueller Report results and convoluted them into the foundation of their coup efforts.

Even if the House impeached Trump they know that a conviction in the Senate would be highly, highly unlikely.  However, the impeachment alone would be enough to destroy Trump’s chances of reelection in 2020. In the event of impeachment there would be little impact on Trump’s base, but it would rally the democrats for the election to a fever pitch. And most importantly, it would ruin Trump’s chances with the bulk of independent voters for their support. Why? Conflict…people would be tired (if not already are) of conflict and controversy and ready from some peace and quiet. And that would be the democrat’s mantra.

What shows up on my radar as dangerous are the recent calls for 100+ rallies for “Impeach Trump!”. And this could turn into a violent coup attempt. Granted, there were only a few dozen rallies that actually occurred that weekend. But, the important note of that is…there were a few dozen rallies that occurred that weekend. If the street level “Impeach Trump!” movement begins to gain a head of steam what do you think will happen? If you said violence you are exactly right. Remember, historical facts show the Democrats are the party of violence and war. And what would the reaction to that protest/rally violence be? Yup, increasing violence coming from both sides…then from law enforcement. This scenario is a threat that many folks haven’t looked seriously at as of yet.

Now, second to last in the political arena…the 2020 elections. There will be no winner in the 2020 presidential election. Certainly not the country. There will be only two outcomes if Trump runs…he wins, or he loses.

First, if Trump wins…the democrats will go absolutely crazy, out of their mind, insane. And the more extreme of those radicals will go violent. Another issue will be, not maybe, a violent coup. There are still many, many deep state (shadow state) players in the government. The DOJ, DNI, FBI, NSA, and CIA are full of them. And they have the training, capability, and motivation to carry out a violent coup against Trump…they just need a spark.

Second, if Trump loses…there are some very radical Trump supporters fully capable of violence. Perhaps not nearly as many, nor as insane as democrats, but they are there. What do you think they will be motivated to do? And how newly empowered do you think the democrats will be? They are already talking about prosecuting Trump once he is out of office, do you think they would follow through with it? If they did, what do you think the radical right’s reaction would be?

If Trump doesn’t run…there is only one reason he would not run…he knows he would lose. And that knowledge might come from polling, from impeachment, or from blackmail. If Trump doesn’t run, democrats win by default. Why? Because if Trump doesn’t run his 4-years as President will be seen by Independents as a failure. And that vision will be all the motivation they will need to go for a democrat.

And now the unpredictable…what if the democrats win the Senate? Look out! Couple that with them winning the Presidency and the country is 100% screwed…at the speed of light. And what do you think some of the crazies on the right might do when they see that happening?

Once more…there is absolutely no winner for the 2020 elections. I think the campaign will be extremely turbulent at best, extremely violent at worst. Be prepared!

Note: I think the 2020 election will be one of accountability. Yes, which political party will be held the most accountable for their actions. But, I also firmly believe that we, as individuals, should look at being held accountable for who we vote for…regardless of the office in question. I would like to lay this out there for your consideration…vote for the person who most closely mirrors your personal and political beliefs. I mean in terms of ethics, morals, and the Constitution…vote for that person regardless of party affiliation. Basically…vote your conscience.

Final point in this political category…the Electoral College disbandment. Before I get started I want to make sure that you understand a very, very important point…the United States of America is NOT a democracy! The USA is a Constitutional Republic. There is a massively huge difference. If you don’t know that the USA is a Constitutional Republic, or you don’t understand the difference…PLEASE research it out now.

One key aspect of preventing the destruction of the USA is the fact it is not a democracy and was never intended to be such. The Constitution was specifically written to prevent that. And one of the key elements to prevent the USA from degenerating into just another sewage based country is the Electoral College. It was designed with the intention to prevent mobocracy (a synonym for democracy). It was also designed to prevent a single party being able to so deceive the public into bring back a monarchy or some other undesirable form of government.

And so what are the democrats up to…continuing to destroy the USA…which they have been working at for over 100 years. This time they are trying to do it through the elimination of the Electoral College. There are 15 states now, controlling 195 electoral votes, with laws that require their state to cast their Electoral College votes for the popular vote winner. That is in 100% direct opposition to the Constitution. And the democrats are 100% behind it!

So, why are democrats so intent on this move? Simple, they want to change America into a socialist country to be able to implement totalitarianism. And they have a plan to do that through the destruction of the Constitutional Republic via instituting democracy.

Technology –

This particular category has risen in my opinion as being one of the biggest threats to freedom the world has ever seen. Actually, one of the biggest threats to humanity that the world has ever seen. Yes, there are many good things about technology and its uses…there is no denying that. But, it is being used for evil (and will be more so in the very near future) far more than it is being used for good. How?

There is a two-pronged attack via technology in the war against the human race taking place right now that are very significant in nature. And I mean it in every sense of the term “war” in a very real sense.

First, there is the refinement of Artificial Intelligence (AI). And within this first point is:

1 – AI being used more and more to replace humans. No, not supplement humans…replace them.

Emerging and increasing popular use of armed machines, controlled by AI, used to kill people. We see the technology used widely in the war on terrorism in the form of armed “drones” which are now capable of making independent “kill” decisions. We are also seeing AI used in law enforcement work. We saw that back in 2016 the Dallas PD used a robot to kill a suspected gunman. The technology has refined exponentially since then.  Then there is the law enforcement agencies use of computer software, AI based, to predict criminal activity. That has been going on for at least a couple of decades on a community level but has recently made a quantum leap on the individual citizen level as AI has evolved to truly scary point.

2 – And a very weird category of AI is in the use of sex robots. While mostly ignored, usually scoffed at, it will have more impact on civilization/humanity than all military and law enforcement use of AI combined. It is already shown through studies that humans are increasingly more favorable to robots as sex partners than humans. Think of those implications. Enough said.

Second, the dramatic creation of refined “deepfake” media. Deepfake media is media produced that is not real (i.e. fake) but appears to be 100% real and true. The form of deepfake that I am most concerned with is visual media. Do you remember watching comedy based TV shows where they would take someone’s face and superimpose moving lips to say jokes, sing a song, etc.? That was kindergarten stuff!

The technology now exists to make videos using someone’s entire face/body and they appear to say whatever the creator wishes. It is almost impossible to notice any superficial movement to the lips/body or in voice manipulation. And since the voice is actually the person’s real voice whose words are being manipulated it sounds like them in every sense of the word. Now, all that being said, the software (powered by AI) is currently being refined to make it impossible for the average person (i.e. without the aid of sophisticated technology) to tell the difference between a person giving an actual speech or one that is completely fabricated through the use of deepfake technology.

The truly frightening aspect of this will come to play in politics. Politicians, including national leaders, will appear to give a speech or comment…and the question will be…is it true or not? Unfortunately, most people will be fooled into thinking that deepfake media will be true media. And, I believe it will appear in the 2020 elections to some degree. And both foreign governments and US based political operatives will use it against the public.

Now, the horrifying aspect of this technology will come to light as governments begin to use it through its national level intelligence and law enforcement agencies. Think of the prospect of US agencies having the technology to present media to the public that is completely fabricated and indistinguishable from the truth. How far do you think the US government would go using this kind of technology against its citizens?  Now, if you don’t remember what I laid out in the “political” category go read it again. Then ask yourself…How far would the US government go with deepfake capabilities…based on what they have already done that we know to be historical infamous fact?

Why is it so scary? Shortly, very shortly, you will not be able to believe what you see or what you hear. So then, how are you going to discern truth from lies? Reality from fantasy?

People –

This is the most disheartening category that I will write about in this SitRep. Why? Because it is so disappointing to see people changing so much lately.

Before I get started I want to publically thank the Catholic Church. While it does have serious issues and problems right now that are very public, they are leading the public fight against abortion/infanticide. For that valiant fight defending the unborn children…Thank you!

First group I am worried about…democrats. Remember, I include Progressives, Liberals, Democrats, and RINOs in this collective term. Why? Because it is applicable and an easier to term to use when typing.

Democrats have become the party/group of evil about 100 years ago. And yes, I mean evil in the true sense of the word. They are the backers of infanticide. They are trying to eliminate the Electoral College and hence destroy our very Constitutional Republic itself. And let us not forget…they want to install Communism in the US…and violently if needed. Penny Kuzmich, Colorado democrat politician, made that clear in June 2019.

The Democrats have corrupted the education system in the USA. Remember John Dewey is regarded as the father of public schools? Yeah, did you know that John Dewey was a rabid socialist/Marxist? Did you know the ideas he brought to America to establish government education here were based on European fascist government’s original development of the so-called public education system? Yeah, I hope you did…but many don’t. To this day teacher unions are some of the most socialist/communist based organizations in the country. And it is they who are educating the vast majority of our children…and have done so for well over 100 years.

Results: by a large majority Millennials (Democrats or Republicans) view socialism more favorably than capitalism. And in terms of all age groups of Democrats…they are evenly split 50-50 as seeing socialism as a more favorable form of economic system than capitalism. That means we are losing our country to the forces of evil…and thanks in great part to our government school system.

And most disturbing and disgusting of all people and their behavior…democrats lauding and bragging about infanticide. It is utterly disgusting that democrats so wholly and enthusiastically support this worst of human crimes. More and more so-called Christians are embracing abortion. It simply can’t be! You cannot be both a Christian and pro-abortion…period…end of story. The sixth of the Ten Commandments forbids the shedding of innocent blood. There is nothing more innocent that an unborn baby in a mother’s womb. End of story.

And now another group of people that I am increasingly aware of…some Christians. And within that group are two  concerns…first, shrinking number of Christians. I pointed that out some months ago what is happening to the numbers…they are shrinking and an alarming rate.

The other trend I am seeing is Christians behaving badly. Not in a general term…for we all sin and fall short. What I am referring to is Christian-on-Christian behavior. I am becoming more aware of some Christians treating other Christians in a way that is wholly inappropriate, ever increasing, and something to be worried about as a prepper. Not that long ago I saw a debate between two people, both professing to be Christians. One person in the discussion pointed out evils committed by a government agency using historical facts to support their claim. Another person disagreed with the first person but used only opinion, not a single fact. The first person came back and stated again that his opinion/view was based on actual documented historical events. The second person (defender of government agency) came back with a very personal attack and threatened to turn the person into the government agency in question. Think about that for a minute…let it sink in.

Why do I think that is a bad thing? Ravening wolf in sheep’s clothing (Mathew 7). These are those individuals that after an emergency, disaster, or grid-down event occurs, will be the first in line to turn in neighbors and fellow Christians to the bad guys to win some disagreement. In a hard grid-down they will see themselves as doing a great community service to let government authorities know who has food and water storage, guns, ammunition, or who have expressed anti-government sentiments in the past. They will be the “Judas” of their time against fellow Christians. Sad, but true.

Another type of person I am starting to see more of is the self-righteous, deluded protector of truth. This type of person takes the position of being perfectly right on every subject/point of Christianity and demeaning all others who don’t agree with them on every point. Normally that kind of person would only be viewed as obnoxious, irritating, or pitied. However, when viewed in a larger picture…they can be dangerous. What, if after grid-down, this person decides that you aren’t sufficiently Christian enough…and they are in some position of power? What if you are living in a Christian community and somehow he becomes the developer or enforcer of rules/laws of the group? When I think of people who take the position of self-righteous, deluded protectors of religious truth and attack others for not living up to their standard…well, I think of the Taliban. That is exactly the kind of behavior those monsters (the Taliban) displayed…to the fatal detriment of others…mostly women and the weaker.

Unfortunately, some of these folks are well-intentioned, well-meaning, but harm fellow Christians none the less. Then there are others who view, and excuse, the inappropriate behavior as simply being strict, obsessive, a little over the top, gruff, etc. But don’t kid yourself! These “protector” folks are suffering from mental and/or spiritual maladies. And in a pre or post prepping environment they could easily end up being very dangerous to you and your family.

Now, don’t get me wrong…generally speaking there are great people in this world alongside the dirt bags! At our property we have one neighbor that is basically a jerk for a number of reasons. Then there is another neighbor, an Army combat vet who is a gem. We work on our common fence together, he has helped me with projects, and I have helped him to do the same. We’ve shared family time, meal time, laughs around camp fires, and a couple vet-to-vet moments. Who do you think is the person you more likely can count on when the world falls apart? Who would likely be a problem?

What my point is…figure out who your friends, neighbors, and associates really are. Can you trust them, are they a danger, are they an asset, etc.? It is better to have an idea ahead of time rather than when your family’s lives are on the line.

There is another group of folks, Christians also, that I am also worried about. These folks end up following, like sheep, other people and trusting in the arm of flesh. They allegedly receive confirmation by the spirit that they are doing the right thing and the person they follow is inspired. But here is the rub…other folks put in the same position with the same person receive confirmation that it is a bad situation and that they should not get involved with that person. So what is the problem? Trusting in the arm of flesh and/or not being able to discern spiritual vs. emotional feelings. There are too many false prophets out there today and we know there are more to come.

The number one red flag I see in this regard is a person claiming some special knowledge, path, information, etc. that is contradicted by, or not supported by, scripture. The number two red flag shows itself when they attempt to make money off their specialness.

In my view…with these people you are dealing with the two basic problems that the world has in general…power and money. So I ask myself, “Would an Apostle of Jesus Christ, such as Mathew, have attempted to sell his writings or freely give them to the world?” or, “Would the Apostle John have written a book concerning the last days (i.e. The Book of Revelations) and sell it through Amazon for $24.95?” I think you know the answer. So would somebody who claims to have special spiritual information such as dreams of heaven or a vision of the last days charge you money to learn of such? Would that indicate a true Christian spirit or one lusting for money and/or fame, perhaps seeking power?

Note: If their work is available for free in some form for people to read (i.e. posted on the Internet) but is also optionally published in a book for people to reference…well, I see that as far, far more acceptable. Why? Because they are making it available for people to learn from without using it to make money off of special spiritual matters. In other words their alleged spiritual event(s) is not solely a commercial venture.

FYI…I am an author. My first 2 books were available free online, but in a limited environment. They were subsequently published at the request of quite a few people. My third book was exclusively published on-line, on this website, available completely free. My fourth book will be also available on this website 100% free! When the fourth book is finished being published online I will then publish books #1 and #2 online, free as well. There is valuable information in those book (IMHO) and I want it to be freely available and not restricted based solely on a person’s ability to pay.

Summary/Solution –

For years now I’ve shared with you my opinion on when this country falls apart. And, as so goes the United States…so goes the world. My opinion has been consistent, I believe two basic paths wherein the country falls apart. First, the continued slow descent into totalitarianism that started in earnest back in the Woodrow Wilson administration and continues, albeit accelerating, today. Secondly, would be a single event -mostly unexpected- that will plunge us into a national disaster overnight. I still hold that two-path belief today…more than ever.

During the years I’ve been monitoring those two distinct, but same destination, paths I’ve seen the probabilities of each swing. What I mean by that is this…sometimes we are more likely to experience a single event vs. a continual decline. At other times, the slow decline is far more probable with no single event on the near horizon to plunge us into oblivion. Recently, on any given day, those rather stable “probability” views of mine have swung widely. Why? The events of each day, and the manipulation of those events, are growing increasingly dangerous. And I can’t even tell which is more dangerous…the event itself, or the manipulation of a specific event. What I do know…it is getting worse…exponentially worse.

With the renewed push by radical, extremist Democrats (which means all of them) to continue their overthrow of our US President…it could explode overnight based on their ever increasing call to action (violent and otherwise). As we look at the potential of yet another hot war (i.e. Iran), two cold wars (Russia and China), and two economic wars (China and Mexico), we see that, again, an overnight event could explode right in our faces. Our economic situation is more tenuous than I’ve ever seen it. We’ve never been more in debt, we have huge annual federal budget deficits, and all the while draining more money out of the private sector via federal income taxes. Our GDP is quickly softening to dangerous warning levels. And most of all…our country’s morals make Sodom and Gomorrah look like a Girl Scout camp. Simply put…we are ripe for destruction.

So there is the summary part…not so different than my other SitReps over the last couple of years. But, I want to make this perfectly clear…I believe the chance of an “overnight event” occurring to the degree that it could bring down our Constitutional Republic is greater than it has ever been in my lifetime…and that covers 64 years.

So what is the “solution”????? Ah yes…there is the key. And that will come in Part 2!

 

 

2009 - 2019 Copyright © AHTrimble.com ~ All rights reserved
No reproduction or other use of this content 
without expressed written permission from AHTrimble.com
See Content Use Policy for more information.