Danger Sign – Economy

Several serious signs have been reported that may clearly show the path that the US economy is heading down:

  1. US personal savings have collapsed by $5.5 trillion since April 2020. The less cash available to consumers, the less they can buy, the less that goes into businesses, and the more consumers go into consumer debt.
  2. Also adding pressure on the US economy is the return of student loan bills, which could cut both consumer savings and spending levels. A new report by Oxford Economics forecasts US consumer spending could fall by more than $100 billion a year due to student loan payments kicking in, increasing the odds of an economic downturn.
  3. Almost all reputable economic sources are referring to inflation as the sleeping giant that is awake and will roar for decades to come. One source stated it this way, “We’re moving from a world that was previously dominated by the abundance of resources to one that’s dominated by scarcity. The economic world could look quite different over the next five to 10 years. Using past performance as a guide to the future is something we always warn against, but it’s especially true now.” Another put a hard number to it, “Even if you toss out food and energy prices — which are notoriously volatile and have driven much of the price surge — so-called core inflation soared 5.9% over the last year.”
  4. Affecting income, “The Labor Department says that after accounting for higher consumer prices, hourly earnings for private-sector employees fell 3.6% last month from a year earlier, the 15th straight drop.

Get your financial house in order…please.


Related Articles –
Danger Sign Articles –

note: Remember, I an not a market expert, a stock broker, an economist, or any other kind of financial expert. I am simply passing along some danger signs that influence me.

 

 

 

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Danger Sign – FedNow is now active!

FedNow is now active and available!

The Federal Reserve, at the direction of the US federal government, has now created a quasi digital currency that is 100% controlled by the Federal Reserve. It is called FedNow. It is completely computerized (i.e. digitized) money…and completely controlled by the Federal Reserve at every point imaginable.

 

 

 

FedNow is currently voluntary by banks and other corporations. The question is…How long does it stay ‘voluntary’?

Be very careful of this latest attempt by the government to track everything! This program is one of the first steps towards the Great Reset.

The Fed said 35 banks and credit unions are already participating. Early adopters include JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo, with other institutions. Oddly, the Fed has stated repeatedly that FedNow is not a federal digital currency nor an opening step towards one. Interestingly, in the explanation videos it uses a digital currency coin to show how the money is transferred and refers to it as a digital currency service alternative.

FWIW…almost all non-Fed and non-government experts say the new system could lay the groundwork for the infrastructure needed for a potential central bank digital currency (CBDC) in the U.S.. And so this week’s announcement has led to a fresh airing of warnings about potential privacy and control risks around a digital dollar.

Not alone, one notable expert in this field states what critics have all been suggesting, “…the launch of Fednow to be a move toward an eventual central bank digital currency and a cashless society. They argue that the government having access to every transaction opens the door to authoritarianism and abuse.”

To read more about FedNow – < click here >


Danger Sign Articles –

note: Remember, I an not a market expert, a stock broker, an economist, or any other kind of financial expert. I am simply passing along some danger signs that influence me.

 

 

 

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See Content Use Policy for more information.

The Irony of Back-Up Plans

There I was early last week, we were having a long string of partly cloudy days, and I had been running the air conditioners a bunch. And of course with that combination our solar system batteries were running a bit low. Okay, not just a bit low but hovering in the 40 – 70% charged range.

Time to check the Victron app that shows all kinds of system information. Ooooppppsssss…..

So as of mid-July the batteries hadn’t been 100% charged since May. While not terrible for the batteries or the system, it isn’t good practice to do so. Before I go down that rabbit hole let me explain our power system…and our back-up plans. Yes, meaning Plan B & Plan C & even Plan D. Why? The irony.

Our Plan A is a rather robust 100% off-grid solar system that powers our house very nicely.

Plan B is an inverter style (clean power) 4000watt gasoline Champion generator. It can power the whole house directly, or provide power to the solar system to assist in charging the batteries if needed.

Plan C is a regular (dirty power) 4375watt gasoline/propane Champion generator that can do the same job as Plan B’s generator but with lower quality power. But, this generator is also dual fuel…meaning it can run off gasoline or propane. So run out of gas, no problem…hook up one of our 5gal propane tanks, or one of our 25gal propane tanks, or hook into our 150gal propane tank.

Plan D is a very small portable solar panel and charger system that could probably keep the refrigerator and a couple of lights on. Plus, we have 4 small solar charged portable lights in storage. And some emergency candles as well. This is survival mode plan.

FYI…our freezer is located in my shop and it has its own solar system. So not all our cold food is dependent on a single power system. And if there ever was a very serious grid-down problem and our house solar system went down, I could relocate all of the shop solar equipment to the house. So I guess in reality we have a Plan E as well.

Now, back to early last week…

As I looked at the history from the Victron app I saw we were marginally producing more energy than we were consuming. And that is consistent with last year which was a driving force to the major system upgrade I had planned for our system. Part of that plan was adding an additional 3000 – 3500 watts of solar panels for much needed production capability. Ooooppppsssss…..

So I got 2/3 of the upgrade done and everything worked perfectly. Yeah, the other 1/3 that didn’t get done was…you guessed it…the additional solar panels installed and on-line. Well, no problem…go to Plan B to assist in charging the batteries back up to 100% taking about 6 – 10 hours. Then keep the generator running for another 24-hours while its cloudy to keep the batteries fully charged for conditioning purposes. No problem!!

I grabbed the 6×6 UTV, hooked up the generator cart, pulled it to the house, topped off the gasoline, and it started on the first pull. (That’s a Champion for you!) Plugged it in, system recognized the power coming in, and within seconds the generator was supplying an additional 2000watts charging the batteries. Yea! Back-up plans work!!! Well, almost.

Two hours later I had a prompting to go check on how things were going. Ooooppppsssss…..

The generator was running but a red flashing light on the panel indicated a fault. Twenty minutes of troubleshooting later the generator was dead for all intents and purposes…it wasn’t producing power. No problem, go to Plan C…the back-up generator.

I went to the shop to get the back-up generator and remembered that I had not fixed the pull cord after its last use; broken cord. No problem, I had fixed it before, maybe a 10 minute job. Ooooppppsssss…..

It wasn’t the easy fix it was last time…the pull cord mechanism was shattered and unusable. And then no shop/store in the area carried a replacement.

Time out…Remember our solar system was still up and running, just not at full potential and not fully healthy batteries. And now both generators were out-of-service. The back-up generator was an easy fix, I ordered the part from Amazon and it would be delivered late the next day, install it the following morning and back up and running for Plan C. The Plan B was a different story.

The primary generator used in Plan B was down hard…meaning I couldn’t fix it no matter what I did…it was an internal burned out issue. Why did it happen? Me.

I have written about that Champion generator before…an amazing machine, better than a Honda for sure. The generator had about 4000+ hours on it; about 2/3rds of that was daily use for 6 – 12 hours a day over the span of 18 months. It was run in the rain, snow, dusty wind, harsh sun, etc. While I did change the oil and clean the air filter, other maintenance was mostly overlooked and I knew there were problems…that I would fix later. Yeah, well, later never came around…and it simply wore out from neglect.

There was only a realistic fix for it…replacement. It was $589 originally so we could afford to replace it…well, kind of. Now that same machine was $960…OUCH!!! But I did some looking and realized it was no longer in production and that is why the increase in price…availability. What I could buy put a smile on my face.

On Amazon I found a 4250 watt, dual fuel (gasoline & propane) inverter style (clean power) Champion generator for $555. Yup, the same high-quality Champion generator but with slightly more power and the dual fuel capability for less money than the old one, plus a couple other additional features. So the replacement for Plan B in on the way.

Summary –

I have a solid Plan A all along but the improvement for Plan A was delayed…and that caused a problem. My Plan B failed because I neglected to perform the maintenance to keep it viable. And the exact same thing for Plan C…my neglect.

Yes, I still had a Plan D…and theoretically a Plan E…and thankfully I didn’t need to go to those extremes. But, had I stayed on top of my prepping…well, all of the plans would have been just fine should I have needed them.

So what is the irony? My back-up plans didn’t work out so well. So I guess they didn’t really qualify as plans at all.

Do you have back-up plans…and are they realistic and viable? When was the last time you tested them?

 


If you are interested in learning more about or purchasing this great FANTASTIC generator from Amazon…click the image below…
(note: if you buy the generator through the link above I might earn a small commission from your purchase, about $4.)

 


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Do not let them get away with this…

Jason Aldean music video, “Try That In A Small Town”

So you probably heard about all of the hoopla regarding Jason Aldean’s song, “Try That In A Small Town” and the sheer stupidity surrounding it. Yeah, it is just another blatant attempt for the radical moron left (yes, the mentally insane Progressives) to silence anything and everything good about America.

Well…I ain’t having it!!

I am embedding the official Jason Aldean music video, “Try That In A Small Town”…please watch!

Why? Because for one…it shows the whacko left that they are just that…WHACKO! It also tells them we are Americans and proud of it…and our small towns. And also… Jason Aldean makes money from YouTube when people watch it.

Thank you 🙂

For those of you who haven’t heard…there is a focused campaign Jason Aldean for his song Try That In A Small Town. Aldean is being called a racist, bigot and worse. They are saying his song in inflammatory against black people, etc. Even CMT pulled the video from their channel due to the insanity of those who wish to destroy America.

I would love it if you watched the video, click his ‘like’ button (the thumbs up) and then share it with a couple of friends. Let’s do a BudLight on the left ! ! !    Then go watch the video 🙂

SitRep – 7/20/2023

It’s been almost 4 months since I wrote my last SitRep; honestly, I was hoping to never write another…ever. I think it’s time that I share a bit more of what I believe to be true as to what is happening right now…and more importantly what is coming at us like a freight train.

Those of you that have been visiting this site for any length of time already have a pretty good idea of how I feel about both current and the future events. However, I feel prompted/compelled to continue to be a warning voice for whomever will take the time to listen. If you are brand knew to this site…well, you’ve got a lot of reading available to you should you desire to know more.

Economy –

As you well know I follow the national and global economic issues pretty closely and report when needed. This past week I read the following statement in a well-regarded financial article in respect to de-dollarization, “doom-and-gloom scenarios are overblown.” But then strangely enough they also mentioned the following:

  • Most major countries in the world are looking at, or already, conducting some amount of their business in non-dollars.
  • Foreign Central Banks are reducing the dollars as reserve currency they hold in favor of non-dollars.
  • A growing number of foreign Central Banks are abandoning dollars entirely as their reserve currency holdings.
  • Central banks are stock piling gold by the thousands of tons vs dollars.
  • The percentage of global transactions done in dollars is dropping significantly.

Weird, eh? They say that de-dollarization is “doom and gloom” and then they went on to say it is little more than a “classic conspiracy” to think the dollar is losing it world predominance. Their next step was to buoy their case by referring to the three main historic global reserve currencies; the Dutch guilder, the French franc, and the British pound sterling. Ahhhhhh, none of those are even close to a global reserve currency now…and all are linked to fallen empires.

So what is my point? You know yourself the dollar is collapsing on the global economic stage…you can clearly and plainly see it. So why do I bring it up? The conflicting opinions.

The last 10 days as I have been seriously researching economic issues and I have noticed a single major and very concerning trend…basically two entirely opposite views of our nation’s economy and the global economy. For every article I found saying it’s all bad, another said it was all good. So why the exact opposing expression of opinions? Well, why do you think?

And then there is Biden himself (an oxymoron)…remember Joe the child nibbler Biden saying during a May 2022 press conference, “We’re on track to cut the federal deficit by another $1.5 trillion by the end of this fiscal year. The biggest decline ever in a single year, ever, in American history.” Yeah, well the budget deficit for 2022 was nearly $1.5trillion, a near record amount. And, the budget deficit at this point in time, 2023, compared to the same point in time last year, 2022…up about 260%.

And another little tidbit…77% of financial advisors said that America is in a recession or will experience one soon. Why do you think an overwhelming number of financial advisors are saying that?

One area of the economy, nationally & globally, that is going great guns and making money hand over fist is what? Imagine that…if you guessed the military-industrial complex you would be 100% correct!! And those companies are owned/controlled by whom? Globalist elites! Go figure, right.

War –

Yeah, I didn’t write about the call-up of reserves when it occurred. Why? Because I didn’t need to. I’ve already explained in detail why/how Biden it taking us into WWIII, why keep going on? But I hope you do know when before this has happened…right before America gets into another war. And remember, since WWII we have not won a single war.

Once again, who benefits from our endless wars and our national lust for war? Yup, the military-industrial complex. Notice a pattern here?

No, I didn’t need to write about the wonderful heart-felt gift to the Ukraine from America of cluster bombs either. You already know how wrong that is.

According to munition experts the ‘dud rate’ of the bomblets in a cluster bomb averages 5 – 12%. The Department of Defense, who would never lie to or deceive us, claims a ‘dud rate’ of 2.35%. A CBU-100 Rockeye contains 247 bomblets…that means 6 duds per bomb dropped according to the DOD.

But, they are not actually duds, they just didn’t explode on impact…they are still live munitions…think ‘landmine’ now just waiting for someone to drive over them or some child to step on one. And now let’s talk real numbers…they are talking about hundreds of thousands of cluster bombs for the Ukraine to use. Is that a big deal?

Two options; 1) they use them offensively on Russian soil = almost instant WWIII, 2) they use them defensively on Ukrainian soil. If they send, and Ukraine uses, 300,000 cluster bombs they reportedly will send, you are talking 1.8million so-called duds that are now landmines sitting there on Ukrainian soil…according to the DOD. What does that do to the Ukrainian civilians…especially their children?

Now if you believe knowledgeable munition experts vs the DOD…the real numbers of unexploded bombs waiting to kill civilians, including children, will be between 3.7million and 8.9million…all provided by the citizens of the United States of America. Aren’t we just wonderful folks to pay for all that death and destruction!!! Makes you feel all warm and fuzzy inside…don’t it! Our hard-earned taxpayer dollars at work. No wonder the US is universally loved and admired around the world by everyone!

And now you know why over 100 countries have banned the use of cluster bombs. But why would the American government be so evil as to send these monstrous weapons? Plain and simple…the American government is behind this Ukraine/Russia War…period. We overthrew the Ukraine government to install the current puppet anti-Russian government. We gave Russia the go-ahead to invade Ukraine the month before they invaded. We stopped a peace agreement within months of the war starting. We have escalated the war at every possible step. Strangely giving the Ukraine military aid that our government staunchly declared they never would give to them.

What is the endgame here? Simple…money and power. The c are making money hand-over-fist through the military-industrial complex…and the Democratic Party is making 10’s of millions with the money laundering going on through the Ukrainian aid.

And oddly enough…Biden has been involved in this all the back to the beginning when the Department of State and the CIA overthrew the sovereign government of Ukraine in the last decade. Imagine that! Oh, about the same time Hunter Biden, pervert and coke-head, began making 10’s of millions from the Ukrainian oil industry.

The ‘power’ aspect of this…you can figure that one out on your own…it is plain to see. Who benefits from another world war…or at least an on-going endless proxy war between American and Russia?

Have you ever wondered why America is such a warmongering country? If not, you should.

Politics –

One word to describe politics in America today…sad. There is only a single bright spot anywhere on the horizon…in my opinion.

Did you get to watch the Tucker Carlson interviews at the The Summit? Wow! Every single GOP candidate he interviewed destroyed their own chances at getting my vote…except one. Vivek Ramaswamy was nothing short of amazing!!!

Vivek Ramaswamy has the right vision, the right intelligent (including the knowledge of the Constitution), the money, the leadership experiences, ability to clearly and intelligently communicate, and he demonstrates inspiring character/morals/ethics when he speaks. At this point in the race…he is clearly my #1 pick by a very, very wide margin. Everyone else that Tucker spoke with was a complete dud.

If you are interested…

 

National Divide –

The divide(s) in America continue to worsen every day. You can pick a group, or any number of groups, and they are at odds with, or at war with, a long list of other groups. And that whole concept is keeping everyone in America weak and virtually powerless to make things better. And that is by design.

However, there is one group that has a very simple vision of divide…the elites are against everyone else. And they are winning…at least at this point.

It is time to be bold in your principles (NOT your politics) and let your voice be heard and your actions seen & felt!!

A note of caution, or encouragement, seek not for division – seek for solutions. Know who the real enemy is…and be bold in your battle against that evil…for it is nothing less than evil.

FWIW…even Biden isn’t the enemy. Joe the perv Biden is simple a useful idiot for those who control him. If you are going to hate evil…hate those with the real power, those that control Biden and virtually every other politician and bureaucrat in Washington. Hate the evil that is destroying rights, liberties, freedoms, agency, and people believing in God.

Summary –

Look, you know what’s wrong, you feel it…you know that this is one big sh*tshow on the national and global levels. At the same time you also see incredible and wonderful things happening in people’s lives, maybe even your own. Just look at the success of the movie Sound of Freedom!

I am asking you to be aware but not fearful. I am asking to prepare but not panic. I am asking you to do what is right. Because the time is soon coming that without the correct principles and the courage to follow them…well, you might be in a world of hurt.

Basic emergency preparedness for emergencies, disasters and grid-down. Plan Planning


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Rattlesnake in the Garden!!

Bear with me please while I share this…

Two weeks ago my wife and I were riding in our UTV about 300’ from our house heading over to our neighbor’s place. Boom! There is a 22” Prairie Rattlesnake crossing the 2-track path.

Any non-venomous / non-poisonous snake is welcome on our property…potentially deadly/fatal ones, nope. And of course, I neglected to have any self-defense tools on me at the time. We proceeded to the neighbor’s place.

Upon arrival at the neighbor’s place, the snake story was the first discussion…he was hungry, he is ex-army, he grabbed a tool, we headed back to the snake spot. Three minutes and a single .45 round later we were headed back to his place, snake corpse was placed in the kitchen, original reason for visit concluded, and we headed back home.

Back to present day…

It has been very hot here and we get our basic chores done early and in the house with AC by noon. The downside is simple…a bit of cabin fever after 3 – 4 days of that routine. My wife went outside last night at dusk to just stretch her legs and look over the garden…that is doing fantastic by the way. And now you know why the wording of this post…she stumbled across a Prairie Rattlesnake in the garden, this one about 15” in length.

She came back into the house and explained the situation, I grabbed a gun, she grabbed a tactical light, off to the garden with all due haste. About 20 minutes later, almost full-dark, we were back in the house, the snake was dead, head buried, the garden a safe place once again.

Later in the evening I started thinking about it and realized there was a perfect metaphor here. Do we have snakes in our ‘garden’…deadly snakes?

Ah, but you don’t have a garden! Well, a metaphor is a likeness of one thing applied in a story about something else…so the ‘garden’ in this case is our country…the USA.

Do we have snakes in our country that are just as lethal/deadly as a rattlesnake?

To get the proper perspective I went back in history to the later half of the 1700’s, Colonial America. The colonists did all the work, settled and cleared the land, planted crops, raised families, conducted trade, built towns and villages. And at every turn the British Empire sucked taxes and fees out of the life blood of Colonial America. Should a person resist the tyranny of the British they were mercilessly and brutally crushed.

As resentment and rebellion grew the oppression likewise grew and the British Empire became more oppressive, more tyrannical, more brutal, and more vicious against its own subjects.

Finally, the brave Colonial men and women had had enough and decided to run the snakes out of the garden…but the snakes were having none of it…and began to kill the Colonists in large numbers, burning farms, imprisoning citizens, confiscating property, and using the military as a police force to lock-down the colonies. But, the colonists were determined to drive the deadly snakes out of the garden…or kill them.

On July 4, 1776, a year after hostilities had begun, the colonists made it formal…they would have no more snakes in their garden. It would be 7 years before the last of the snakes were either dead or driven out. And now their garden, our garden, was safe…the United States was officially born.

I ask again…Do we have snakes in our garden today? Are they just as stealthy? Are they just as deadly as a rattlesnake? Are they just as willing to strike us and kill us…as they were in the 1770’s & 1780’s?

So how to rid our garden of snakes in this day and age?


Additional Info –
  • Yes, the garden was overgrown with both plants and weeds. I hadn’t done much to clean it up since my surgery 2 weeks ago.
  • Yes, the snake was looking for shade during the day, water, and whatever little critters he could find hiding in the plants and weeds.
  • Yes, a Prairie Rattlesnake in both venomous and potentially lethal and their strike potentially fatal.
  • No, we’ve never seen a Prairie Rattlesnake in our area before the one 2-weeks ago.
  • And FWIW…safety comes before any crap snake-hugging, snake-loving, liberal BS that we have to be one with our environment. A deadly threat is a deadly threat…and I won’t allow deadly threats on my property. 

     

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Brain Dump & Clarifications (yeah, important stuff)

This post is a collection of different issues that have been brought to my attention…

French Riots –

Q: Why aren’t you talking about the recent French riots?

A: There are two aspects of the riots and I was not prompted to comment on the riots. 1) The riots lasted a couple of weeks and did momentarily spread to another country. But, they failed to sustain a movement that would be seriously impactful. So no need to write about it. 2) The riots were caused by two factors; a) a stupid traffic stop where 2 zealot cops shot an unarmed man who was no threat, b) the rioters were mostly Muslim, with a sprinkling of anarchists. That is important! France had a no barrier mass immigration policy for Muslims coming into their country…and now they are, and have been, paying a very steep price for it. There is a large element of immigrant Muslims that have no desire to be French; they want to take over France and destroy its culture. And they have won. True, they have not completed their mission yet, but that are winning and will win…baring some very unforeseen courage and action on the part of the French people and their government. Gee, I wonder if anything like that could happen here in the US involving our southern border and our uncontrolled immigrant invasion?

“Plan B, Plan C, and Strawberries…” –

There seems to be some misunderstanding with that article. It wasn’t really about strawberries, it wasn’t even really about gardening, nor food storage…it was about having back-up plans. I was using my strawberry experience as an example of depending on a ‘Plan A’ but making sure there was a Plan B, Plan C, etc. The same was true when I mentioned food storage. < click here to read the article >

Q: I don’t get the whole picture. Can you please write more on plans and back-ups in regards to your ‘7 Common’?

A: Yes. I will write a brief article on each of the ‘7’ giving my thoughts on how to have plans and back-up plans to those plans. Give me a week or two to get that underway.

Exposing LBGTQ+ –

Q: Why aren’t you writing more to expose the LBGTQ+ crap like other websites?

A: You already understand the issues with the “LBGTQ+ crap” because you just asked a question that also included that you are already reading about it on other websites. Why should I waste my time, and yours, writing about stuff you are already reading elsewhere? And you probably already know enough about that subject to have a clear principled opinion on that subject. If something major comes up that I think is relevant I will write about it.

Child Transgender Affirmation –

Q: You had some pretty tough words about gender affirmation for children. Why?

A: Let’s be clear…if an adult wants to mutilate their body, I won’t stand in their way as long as it doesn’t violate another person’s rights. As for children…HELL NO!! Children have no clue about much of anything body-related. Their mind/brain and personality are still developing…females undeveloped until about 25, and guys…well, maybe never fully developed minds/brains 🙂

So let me be perfectly clear; parents who allow their children to have their child’s bodies mutilated, chemically or surgically, are criminally insane beyond comprehension. Doctors and healthcare folks who do the mutilations are absolute evil monsters committing horrendous criminal acts of evil. They are no better than the Nazi ‘doctors’ who committed horrific acts in the name of medicine during the 1930’s and 1940’s in Nazi Germany under Hitler.

FYI…Magnus Hirschfeld, a German physician, created the term “transvestite” in 1918 at his Institute for Sexual Science in Berlin. Hirschfeld performed the first full gender transition surgery at that German ‘institute’ in 1931 just 2 years before the Nazis took over Germany and Hitler became a madman authoritarian ruler. Gee, some kind of link there?

There will come a day of reckoning for these Satan following, evil monsters mutilating our children. Maybe here on earth, maybe when they stand before God. But it will come.

Boycotts –

Q: Why don’t you promote boycotts like other prepper and social media websites?

A: Well, honestly I don’t think it is my job. Truth be told, I probably should. However, remember I am a ‘civil society libertarian’ and being such moves me to let people make their own choices regarding their behavior…including boycotts. Let me present information and opinion on subjects and then you make the best decision for yourself. Granted, there may come a time where I will promote a boycott…but I imagine that will only come when my passion goes nuclear.

Housing Market –

Q: You keep nailing the economy related stuff, including the housing market. Where do you see it going?

A: Don’t know…short & medium-term. Long-term…it tanks big time. The short & medium-term swings will be just that swings based on price ranges, locations, and other economic factors such as interest rates. But the long-term is clear…TPTB (i.e. WEF) do not want us to own our homes or property. There is a really good book You Will Own Nothing by Carol Roth on this subject < click here to see it on Amazon >. And it is already taking place in the US. In Arizona if you own more than 10acres you get a special penalty fee on your property taxes…that is a Communist/Socialist/Marxist principle.

One of things I have noticed are the stats regarding the higher mortgage rates (well over 7%) vs home prices. With the mortgage rates at least doubled in the last few years home prices are not coming down. That is troublesome. Why? Corporate buyers are buying a larger share of homes for sale, individual buyers are over-extending, and there is less post-mortgage disposable income available for other purposes. What is really seriously troublesome…ok, near panic…is the fact that there are some indicators that show home prices are getting ready to spike.

If I were in the market to buy today…I would look for a modest home in a great conservative area, nowhere near a large city, outside of city limits, on a decent sized piece of land capable of growing food…and having a well drilled.

De-Dollarization –

Q: You nailed the dollar reserve currency issues taking place. How bad is it going to get?

A: I’ve already written extensively about this…go back and read the articles again. Summary…bad, very bad, very, very bad. < click here to read that article >

Check out these stats from the last week:

      • About 50% of all foreign central banks have significantly increased their gold holdings. So why do you think these countries are hoarding gold?
      • More than that, 70% have moved their gold stored outside of their country, into their country. Why do you think they wanted it closer at hand?
      • In 2022 foreign country central banks bought 1136 metric tons of gold. That is $70billion worth of gold that they added to their existing stock piles. And why do you think they did that?

And listen to this one…S&P Global top economist warned the US dollar will ‘no longer be the dominant world currency’ as trade in Chinese yuan rises. Yeah, that came out this morning (7/12/2023 @10AM eastern)

Economy –

I have had several questions on this one…basically how bad is the economy now. So a few things to consider:

      • On July 6th I wrote an “Immediate Action Warning” on the economy…6 days ago! You really need to read it if you want to know my true feelings on the subject…you can probably guess most of it. < click here to read that article >
      • This morning Bank of America just released a report saying that stocks are headed for a “big collapse”.
      • Highly respected Wharton economic professor Jeremy Siegel just said this morning that consumers are spending the last of their cash reserves on traveling and enjoying the summer. And that they are about to run out of their cash reserves…and max out their credit card limits. He went on to say that will have a serious negative impact on the US economy…less money means less consumer purchasing.
      • Bill Gross, known as the ‘Bond King’, yesterday warned American consumers are on track to run out of cash later this year. He went on to say that consumer spending is a key driver of economic growth. As it drops, a recession will be the result. Gross said the government’s aggressive spending during the pandemic is still buoying the economy…in a negative way.
      • This information verifies exactly what I was pointing out from my 7/6 warning, The M2 money supply has shrunk at an historic rate, more than in the last 90 years. The last time that the M2 has shrunk that must was…wait for it…The Great Depression era. FYI…a large component of the M2 is the amount of money that companies and consumers have available in bank accounts, all forms of savings accounts, retirement accounts, etc. Yeah, look at it as the money reserve of every person and company in the US is drying up.
      • And as individual and corporate cash reserves dry up, remember this from the 7/6 warning, “Last week a paper was published by the Fed that stated an historic percentage of American companies were in extreme danger of failing due to the Fed’s inflation fight. They said clearly that high credit costs could cause ‘huge’ numbers of companies to go out of business…starting with a notable upswing very soon. The “huge” number of companies going out of business that they are talking about? That number approaches 40% of ALL American companies.

So I ask this in regards to the economy…considering the fact that I have been warning about the US economic situation for over 10 years, what more can I tell you? What other information can I possibly provide on this site to let you know what is happening?

What do you think is happening with the economy right now? Where do you think it is headed?

Better yet…

WHAT ARE YOU DOING TO PREPARE FOR WHAT IS HAPPENING AND WHAT IS COMING?

Keep moving forward by planning.


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Plan B, Plan C, and Strawberries…

So let’s do this in reverse order…strawberries first. But stick around for the Plan B & Plan C part…or jump directly to it.

You know there is always method to my madness 🙂

Strawberries –

Last spring (2022) I put in an amazing small strawberry patch, 8 plants total. Did a great job of prepping the containers, getting compost for a local source, and setting in the plants correctly with love and care. They all died.

Yup, the compost was too ‘hot’…meaning the compost hadn’t sat long enough and was extremely high in nitrogen. Yeah, the new plants ‘burned up’ and died…basically chemical burning from the nitrogen.

So for 2 weeks I flushed the boxes with lots of water and got the nitrogen out, planted 6 plants, and they flourished like crazy. I wasn’t looking for berry production, I just wanted to get strong healthy plants to produce lots of runners to create a large patch. And it worked well. I think the final count by the end of fall was 52 great looking plants ready to hibernate for the winter after I mulched them in.

Then spring hit and I was patient and didn’t ‘unmulch’ them too early which resulted in a great looking strawberry patch with 50+ plants ready to give us plenty of big, juicy, sweet berries. That amount of plants would produce about 25 – 40 pints of berries if all went well. ‘If’ being the operative word…and it didn’t.

I am switching my gardening style over to water-soluble fertilizers…mostly fish emulsion based, but others as well. So, early in the spring it was time to give my plants a good start with fertilizer to bring em up right…a nice dose of fertilizer. Each plants already had a nice bunch of berries started and it looked to be a bumper crop. And that was fine with me because I love strawberries!

I won’t go into all the details but it was a heavily weighted nitrogen fertilizer and I put too much mixture on each plant. Within 10 days all of the berries that had been on the plants were dead or completely gone. Well, with the exception of the 5 berries that I picked, each the size of a marble.

So what happened? Uh, strawberry plants don’t like a bunch of nitrogen…at all…especially in the spring with fruit on the plant. So I had to do some research on the best way to fertilize strawberry plants. Yeah, I know what you are thinking…you’re right.

Generally speaking, I will be using a 10-10-10 water-soluble fertilizer…and apply it after the plants have produced its fruit but well before fall sets it, probably about late August. This will give me strong healthy plants, plenty of runners if I need them, and the plants will be ready for the next year. If the plant flowering looks too thin and spotty I will add bonemeal as needed to the soil and water it in generously.

But what does that have to do with Plans B & C?????? Ahhhhhh yes. Remember I was expecting 25 – 40 pints of berries earlier this spring. Yeah, well, didn’t work out so well did it? But what does that actually mean?

25 – 40 pints of strawberries means 3000 – 4700 calories, 180 – 285 grams of dietary fiber, and most importantly…5300 – 8400mg of vitamin C. OK, the absolute heaven of eating them as well…meaning to help stave off food fatigue. So how would you replace that in a grid-down prepper scenario?

Plan B & C, etc. –

Late last August we had a hail storm hit us…destroying our garden completely. And I just shared how I screwed up the strawberry patch this year. Fortunately for us we are not in a grid-down prepper situation or in dire need to eat from our garden last year, or depend on our strawberries this year. But what if it had been different…and we were dependent on both?

My point, we would have been fine. We have sufficient and appropriate food storage to handle a worst case scenario. We would not have starved and we have enough supplies to replant a garden.

So it looks something like this:

  • Plan A – Buy our food at the store just like normal.
  • Plan B – Supplement store-bought food with garden produce.
  • Plan C (hard times) – Plant larger garden and reduce store-bought food. Barter food with neighbors as needed and appropriate.
  • Plan D (hard times, limited store available food) – Plant much larger garden, supplement with food storage, utilize green house for additional food production. Barter food with neighbors as needed and appropriate.
  • Plan E (very hard times, no store available food) – Plant seriously larger garden, supplement with food storage, utilize second green house for additional food production. Barter food with neighbors as needed and appropriate.

Will my plans work? I have no idea with complete certainty. I do know that without a plan I will fail. But my plans do give me a framework to build on. Starting with Plan B I have to acquire gardening skills and supplies. With Plan C I have to have considerably more garden supplies plus multiple years worth of seed bank. Plans D & E require that I have either built, or have the supplies to build, two greenhouses. That gives me a clear path on what to buy, when, and either store the supplies or produce with them.

Something to think about…for a family of four, to have a large enough garden to feed yourselves you are realistically looking at about 2 acres of well planned, good quality land. Put in your head about 1-1/2 football fields of garden. Yup, that is about what you are looking at on average. Yes, you can go vertical, do ‘square foot gardens’, greenhouse gardening, etc.

My point is this…have you done enough planning to put in over a football field of garden? If not, how long will your food storage last your family? And no, I didn’t ask if you had already put in a huge garden, I asked if you’ve done enough planning to do so.

When it comes to long-term food storage the general rule of thumb is one case (6 cans) of #10 cans of food is enough food for one person for one month. How many cases of food do you have? A family of four would need 48 cases of #10 cans of food stored…properly stored. How many cases of food do you have? Are they all stored in one place such as your house? What happens if your house is flooded, burns down, or is vandalized?

Plan B & C: Generally Speaking –

prepper ics planing section long-term and special projects planning branch responsibilitiesThe point to this article is get you thinking about back-up plans. And back-ups to your back-ups…with every aspect of prepping.

Consider self-defense tools (i.e. guns & Ammo). First, do you have some? Second, are they all stored in the same place? What is your plan if your guns are confiscated or stolen? What happens if they have a part that breaks?

Is all your ammo in one place? What if it is destroyed, stolen, or confiscated? Can you reload your spent brass?

What I am asking you to do is simple…review your plans. What is your Plan A? Do you have a Plan B…if so, what is it? Do you have a Plan C…if so, what is it? Does you family know what your plans are and how to execute them?Basic emergency preparedness for emergencies, disasters and grid-down. Plan Planning

And this review process applies to ALL aspects of prepping!

If you need a guide to help you through this review the 7 Common Risks & Threats to help get you organized in this effort. Another helpful guide would be to review the ‘layering’ aspect of prepping in regards to the 7 Common Risks & Threats – Layering.

Summary –

In April of this year I wrote that I believe that it all falls apart by the end of 2024…ALL of it! < click here to read the article > No, that is not a 100% certain revelatory fact. It is what I see coming based on the cumulative of current events as of April 2023…and as of today as well.

I am thinking it would be a pretty good idea with you and I were ready for that ‘fall’ of America. That way we can protect our families and communities/congregations as best we can. And it could be very, very ugly in this country by then. Then again, it might be all roses and butterflies with pink unicorns for all. But at least you would be ready if it is not that fantasy land and no one gets a unicorn.

Do you have to be perfect in your planning and prepping? That goal is impossible, let alone remotely realistic. But you can do your best and together we can do this!

PLan for bugging out and bugging in. failure to plan will bring failure and that means death or injury to you and your family.


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Immediate Action Warning! (economic situation)

 

7/6/2023

US Economic Situation / Collapse

Background –

First:

I want to remind folks about my methodology regarding these warnings. I use a “probability & severity” model called risk management. I calculate how probable an event could be, and how soon (time-frame). I add to that if the referenced event does occur how severe of an impact it could have. If I see a notable swing in the probability to an alarming point then I review my severity outlook. If a combination of both reaches a significant point I write about it.

What my warnings are not…my warnings are not 100% predictions of something that will occur. I try to calculate my best guess on the probability but I rarely hit 100%. The severity guess is also a rough estimate, I have no way to predict exactly what it would/will be. I simply do my best with the information, experience, and knowledge I have.

Also, remember I have been saying for years that the economy has been going downhill for over 100 years, essentially since the creation of the Federal Reserve and the Federal Income Tax. And it is easily proven using such key indicators as the price of a home relative to income, or the price of homes (or pretty much anything else) to gold or silver prices. And also think back to the times I have proven that the middle class (middle income) has been dying off for about the last 50 years.

So the economy as we know it will crash totally at some point, 2 years or 20 years, but it will collapse, that is a 100% surety.

Or, as I have stated for years, we could wake up on any given day and it is over…banks closed, businesses shuttered, markets collapsed and closed…money worthless.

Economic Starting Point:

Remember, I already believe that the economy has crashed. Meaning, it has already gone off the cliff and hit the bottom, and we are simply waiting for the extent and timing of the damage to ripple outward. We have already begun that ripple and are feeling the early stages of the pain…there is much more to come.

US Empire:

I wrote extensively on the absolute fact that the Unites States of America is an “empire” in every aspect, including the “fall” aspect of an empire. And the US Empire is falling, that is an absolute indisputable fact. < click here to read about it > It is vitally important to understand this whole “empire” aspect to truly grasp what has been happening, what is happening, and what will absolutely happen.

Current Economy:

      • Last week a paper was published by the Fed that stated an historic percentage of American companies were in extreme danger of failing due to the Fed’s inflation fight. They said clearly that high credit costs could cause “huge” numbers of companies to go out of business…starting with a notable upswing very soon. The “huge” number of companies going out of business that they are talking about? That number approaches 40% of ALL American companies. Did you even hear a minor squeak regarding that report out there in the media?
      • More and more market veterans are saying that the recession is coming, or already here, and it will get much worse. I won’t list them all, but the list grows longer by the day.
      • And now consider this from one of the nation’s top morons…Treasury Secretary Jannet Yellen has now said Americans should anticipate a decline in the USD as the world’s reserve currency. What she failed to mention, that experts have been warning us about, is how quickly it is happening, how soon the dollar will fall completely, who is doing it to us, and the devastating effect it will have on the US economy. Our declared enemies are the ones doing it to us. You know, the ones who control almost all the trade with us, the ones who control most of the world’s oil & gas production, the ones who control a huge portion of the world’s food production, the ones who control almost all of the rare earth minerals, and who combined, dwarf our military.
      • Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell came out and talked about inflation last week. He was doing the typical understating tactic. But even then he was warning about inflation is here to stay for years. What he didn’t say was the full truth. Inflation is here, it is rampant, it is high and it is getting higher for the basics of life that affect the middle and lower income classes. The rich are not impacted to the degree that others are due to their disposable income and accumulated wealth. The lower income class is not affected as badly due to the wide range of government welfare program available to them. Those most affected will be the middle income class that continues to shrink…as it has for 50 years.
      • The M2 money supply has shrunk at an historic rate, more than in the last 90 years. The last time that the M2 has shrunk that must was…wait for it…The Great Depression era. FYI…a large component of the M2 is the amount of money that companies and consumers have available in bank accounts, all forms of savings accounts, retirement accounts, etc. Yeah, look at it as the money reserve of every person and company in the US is drying up.
Narrative –

I’ve been keeping you informed of the American economy for years through this website, producing at every turn hard facts and figures that the economy is tanking. Well, it already has tanked actually, that is impossible to dispute with evidence and logic. We are now just waiting to see how painful it will become and when the actual final crash/collapse of all it takes place.

Now here is one last piece I want to add in today that may stagger you a bit. Well, it won’t if you have been reading my SitReps and Warnings over the years. In January of this year I explained the massive employment problems we are having, especially in terms of layoffs. But I have been warning you about these layoff problems since April of 2020. Here is the chart you should see and digest to get a true picture of the scope of what is happening with the American economy…

If you did the math in your head we saw nearly 40,000,000 (yeah, 40million) layoffs between May 2022 – May 2023. Breaking it down just a bit more…7.93million layoffs the first 3 months, 8.55million the last 3 months. That is 8% increase. Meaning…the layoff problem is getting worse…and rapidly!


Note: Yes, many of those folks have found other work, many haven’t. A growing number of those folks aren’t even looking for work anymore. And that is proven by the alarming decrease in the Workforce Participation Rate. A disturbing underlying fact…the average wage of those returning to work after having been laid off is lower than prior to their layoff.


This layoff evidence reinforces the M2 problem I mentioned earlier…companies are running short of cash reserves; and to save money they are laying off people. And the people that are being laid off are using all of their savings to pay bills. All of which reduces the amount of money that companies and individuals have in savings.

But here is the real takeaway number that I want you to think about…there are about 167million people in the American workforce, nearly 40million have been laid-off in the last 12 months…that is 23% of the American workforce has been laid-off in the last 12 months!!!

Now factor in current interest rates…which the Federal Reserve has been raising for quite a while now. In good times if a company fell short of payroll funds they would just do a short term loan to cover it. They can’t now…because the Fed raised interest rates so high…to fight inflation that is bad and getting worse.

Now ask yourself this…well, wait till the end for the question.

      • Inflation is not getting better, it is getting worse…and the Fed Chairman just told us there is no end of inflation for years to come.
      • People are losing their jobs (40,000,000 people) and burning through their savings…at an average rate of 3million+ people per month.
      • Many of those folks burned through all of their savings so Americans have run-up historically massive amounts of personal debt…that they are now paying higher interest rates on.
      • The Fed just told us that we are looking at potentially 40% of American companies going out of business due to high interest rates. And corporate debt is at historic highs.
      • And the Treasury Secretary finally admitted publicly we are losing the US Dollar as the world’s reserve currency.
      • The US national debt is catastrophically high, approaching $32,000,000,000,000 (32trillion dollars).

So here is the question, a 2-part question; 1) Is this happening due to incompetence or according to a plan? 2) How much longer can we last?

If it is ‘incompetence’ why have we allowed/accepted it to happen?

If is is some kind of ‘plan’ why haven’t we stopped it?

If you think we can’t last much longer…what are you doing about it?

Warning Specifics –

The ‘probability’ of a total and complete collapse/crash of the economy has grown much higher in the last couple of months and the recently revealed signs of it have become brazenly and officially made public in the last 10 days. Meaning, the ‘probability’ of an overnight collapse/crash of the economy has grown significantly while the time-frame has moved it much closer. The ‘severity’ has not changed…it still stands at ‘nationally devastating’.

Suggestions & Thoughts –

This is something I have not ever discussed before on this site, or outside of my closest circle, personal debt. There are two schools of thought regarding debt in mainstream prepping; 1) debt is bad, get out of debt, 2) debt doesn’t matter, no one will be left to collect it.

In an all-out nuclear war or even a widespread and devastating EMP…maybe #2 might be true. But, I feel those are extreme examples and not likely to occur…’probability’ = very low.

What we do know is…

      • The economic situation is dire and getting worse.
      • The Fed (and by proxy the US Federal Government) knows everything there is to know about you…what you own, what you owe, and how much money you have and where it all is.
      • The Federal Reserve controls the entire US economy and they are a cabal of private banks working hand-in-hand with the US Federal Government.
      • The US government has made it clear…any US bank in trouble will be saved one way or another.

Now let’s look at the final crash, meaning everything goes belly up. What can the Fed do for the banks in this scenario? They know your debt, they know your cash on hand, and all other assets. Well, could simply suck every dime of yours out of every account you have…virtually instantly? And not a single account you have would be exempt…not one…would they?

And since they also know about all your assets, such as cars and homes, and every other non-monetary asset…they can foreclose on ALL of those assets automatically before you could dial your cell phone.

But they can only do that justifiably if you have debt.

And what is one of the primary/main goals of the World Economic Forum? You will own nothing.

So here is what my wife and I think is a good thing for us:

      • Get out of debt.
      • Have cash money in hand (obviously safe & hidden).
      • Have tangible assets that will maintain their value, or increase, should times get tough.
      • Be prepared to physically defend those tangible assets.
      • Have plenty of food storage and gardening supplies for 2-years worth of gardens.
      • Keep your preps to yourselves…don’t share with anyone the extent of your preps you have or where they are…including your family.
      • You also might want to read some of my past article for more thoughts.
General Caution –

Watch how you spend your money…especially electronically (debit, credit, etc.)…because they are watching and recording exactly how you spend your money…ALL of it.

Review how you spend your money (i.e. your budget) and cut back the Starbucks, the McDonalds, and vacations…use that savings to dramatically improve your prepper situation.

Keep your eyes wide open…things are changing rapidly…and deteriorating probably faster than you might think. Keep your Situational Awareness high…but don’t become obsessive or get tunnel vision.

Final Thought –

Look, I am no professional economic anything…I am just a guy who is watching what is happening and connecting the dots. You and I both know that the US is in a world of hurt…it is painfully obvious. It is just as obvious that they are trying to keep us fed a bunch of BS and somehow hide the obvious. Don’t fall for it!

But that is only the first step.

I am telling you as plain as I possibly can…you gotta prepare for an economic collapse. Exactly what that will look like I don’t know…no one does for sure. Exactly when it will happen…again, I don’t know…no one does for sure. But ALL of the warning signs are there and they are all flashing bright red and the alarm bells are going off also. You know that in your gut…just about everyone does.

I have no idea what you need to do to prepare for it; everyone’s situation is different. But YOU HAVE TO START PREPARING!!

If the only thing you do to start preparing for it is to think about it, think how it might affect you, how it might affect those around you, including your community, that is good enough. You are a smart person…once you start thinking about it little promptings will come to you on what you can do, what is within your reach that you can do to prepare for this. But please don’t delay starting.

As I told you earlier…it will collapse, crash, fall, whatever…and the chances of it happening sooner than previously thought has grown more certain. The warning signs are there, they are all around you, please don’t ignore them. You know this to be true.

Basic emergency preparedness for emergencies, disasters and grid-down. Plan Planning


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I appreciate your prayers…(update)

Update: Monday 0500 – Thank you all so much for all the kind words, wishes, and prayers. They are all immensely appreciated. We are headed out the door to the hospital in a minute. Just wanted to express my gratitude to all of you! AH

Update: Monday 2:00pm – Surgeon says the procedure went extremely well, success. Under the knife for 2 hours. Got home about 12:30, neighbor helped me into the house to the couch. Ate lunch, love those chicken airfyer nuggets! Moving around a bit on my own, weird with a completely numb leg below the knee (for another 8 – 16 hours) and a weird cast kinda thing from knee to toes. Wife is being wonderful! A couple chocolate chip cookies are waiting for me. I have to post an “Immediate Action Warning!“…hopefully later today. It is extremely important!! Thank you again for all the prayers…they worked.